Cardiff City at Leeds United

Updated

Cardiff City

7.7%13.7%78.5%
WinDrawLeeds United Win
0.74Projected Goals 2.68
0Final Score 7

Leeds United

Last 5 Games

Cardiff City
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Derby County+105
T 2-2 at Millwall+290
W 0-3 vs Swansea City+190
T 1-1 vs Watford+130
T 1-1 at Middlesbrough+475
Leeds United
Money Line
T 0-0 at Burnley+140
W 0-2 vs Norwich City-300
W 0-3 vs Sheffield Wednesday-290
T 3-3 at Hull City-190
T 1-1 vs Blackburn-340

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cardiff City+1300+1014+900+830+1041+830+1041+903.4
Leeds United-480-335-360-345-371-345-335-255.4
Draw+500+455+440+410+441+410+455+450.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cardiff City+1075---+840+930+930+903.4
Leeds United-375----480-330-330-255.4
Draw+475---+425+430+430+450.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cardiff City: 0.0%
Leeds United: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Cardiff City: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cardiff City: 30.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cardiff City ML moved from +860 to +830
Leeds United ML moved from -345 to -360

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cardiff City: 0.0%
Leeds United: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Cardiff City: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cardiff City: 10.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cardiff City ML moved from +1025 to +930
Leeds United ML moved from -450 to -480

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-118o2½-123o2½-122o2½-115o2½-115o2½-115o2½-115o2½-104
Underu2¾-102u2½+104u2½+102u2½-105u2½-105u2½-105u2½+104u2½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-104
Under-----u2½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.4%
 
No51.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.29%
Exactly 219.17%
Exactly 418.63%
Exactly 67.24%
Exactly 81.51%
Exactly 100.20%
 
Exactly 111.23%
Exactly 321.82%
Exactly 512.73%
Exactly 73.53%
Exactly 90.57%
Exact Goals Scored - Cardiff City
Exactly 048.02%
Exactly 135.23%
Exactly 212.92%
Exactly 33.16%
Exactly 40.58%
Exact Goals Scored - Leeds United
Exactly 06.85%
Exactly 118.36%
Exactly 224.61%
Exactly 322.00%
Exactly 414.75%
Exactly 57.91%
Exactly 63.54%
Exactly 71.35%
Exactly 80.45%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.57%
Exactly 225.72%
Exactly 45.36%
Exactly 60.45%
 
Exactly 132.53%
Exactly 313.56%
Exactly 51.69%
Exactly 70.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cardiff City
Exactly 071.20%
Exactly 124.18%
Exactly 24.11%
Exactly 30.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Leeds United
Exactly 028.89%
Exactly 135.87%
Exactly 222.27%
Exactly 39.22%
Exactly 42.86%
Exactly 50.71%
Exactly 60.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Cardiff City
Wins by 2+ goals1.97%
Wins by 3+ goals0.36%
Leeds United
Wins by 2+ goals57.65%
Wins by 3+ goals35.90%
Wins by 4+ goals19.00%
Wins by 5+ goals8.63%
Wins by 6+ goals3.40%
Wins by 7+ goals1.16%
Wins by 8+ goals0.33%

Exact Winning Margin

Cardiff City
Leeds United
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Cardiff City
Wins by 1 goal5.69%
Wins by 2 goals1.61%
Wins by 3 goals0.32%
Leeds United
Wins by 1 goal20.84%
Wins by 2 goals21.74%
Wins by 3 goals16.90%
Wins by 4 goals10.37%
Wins by 5 goals5.23%
Wins by 6 goals2.24%
Wins by 7 goals0.83%
Wins by 8 goals0.27%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.71%3.29%
1.585.49%14.51%
2.566.32%33.68%
3.544.50%55.50%
4.525.86%74.14%
5.513.14%86.86%
6.55.89%94.11%
7.52.36%97.64%

Total Goals Cardiff City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.98%48.02%
1.516.75%83.25%
2.53.84%96.16%

Total Goals Leeds United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.15%6.85%
1.574.80%25.20%
2.550.19%49.81%
3.528.19%71.81%
4.513.44%86.56%
5.55.53%94.47%
6.51.99%98.01%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.43%20.57%
1.546.90%53.10%
2.521.18%78.82%
3.57.62%92.38%
4.52.27%97.73%

Score Props

Correct Score

Cardiff City
Leeds United
Score012345
0
3.29%
8.81%
11.82%
10.56%
7.08%
3.80%
1
2.41%
6.47%
8.67%
7.75%
5.20%
2.79%
2
0.88%
2.37%
3.18%
2.84%
1.91%
1.02%
3
0.22%
0.58%
0.78%
0.70%
0.47%
0.25%
Cardiff City
1-02.41%
2-00.88%
2-12.37%
3-00.22%
3-10.58%
3-20.78%
Draw
0-03.29%
1-16.47%
2-23.18%
3-30.70%
Leeds United
0-18.81%
0-211.82%
1-28.67%
0-310.56%
1-37.75%
2-32.84%
0-47.08%
1-45.20%
2-41.91%
3-40.47%
0-53.80%
1-52.79%
2-51.02%
3-50.25%

Correct Score - First Half

Cardiff City
Leeds United
Score0123456
0
20.57%
25.54%
15.86%
6.56%
2.04%
0.51%
0.10%
1
6.99%
8.68%
5.39%
2.23%
0.69%
0.17%
0.04%
2
1.19%
1.47%
0.91%
0.38%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
3
0.13%
0.17%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
0.00%
Cardiff City
1-06.99%
2-01.19%
2-11.47%
3-00.13%
3-10.17%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-020.57%
1-18.68%
2-20.91%
Leeds United
0-125.54%
0-215.86%
1-25.39%
0-36.56%
1-32.23%
2-30.38%
0-42.04%
1-40.69%
2-40.12%
0-50.51%
1-50.17%
0-60.10%
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