Sheffield Weds at Derby County

Updated

Sheffield Wednesday

31.9%29.0%39.1%
Sheffield Weds WinDrawDerby County Win
0.98Projected Goals 1.20
3Final Score 3

Derby County

Last 5 Games

Sheffield Wednesday
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Nottingham Forest-105
L 1-3 at Middlesbrough+165
W 0-1 vs Blackburn+165
T 1-1 vs Bristol City+100
L 2-0 vs Swansea City+190
Derby County
Money Line
L 1-2 at Swansea City+160
L 2-1 vs Birmingham City+120
L 0-3 at Preston North End+150
L 1-2 at Blackburn+240
L 1-0 vs Norwich City+475

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sheffield Weds+205+220+215+200+218+200+220-
Derby County+135+130+130+125+122+125+130-
Draw+225+226+230+230+238+230+238-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sheffield Weds+210---+195+205+205-
Derby County+130---+120+135+135-
Draw+235---+200+235+235-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sheffield Weds: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sheffield Weds: 20.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sheffield Weds: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sheffield Weds ML moved from +199 to +191
Derby County ML moved from +129 to +122

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sheffield Weds: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sheffield Weds: 10.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sheffield Weds: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Sheffield Weds ML
No Steam Moves On Derby County ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-150o2¼-125o2½+105o2¼-121-o2¼-121o2¼-121-
Underu2+125u2¼+103u2½-125u2¼+101-u2¼+101u2½-125-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.8%
 
No56.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.25%
Exactly 226.85%
Exactly 410.68%
Exactly 61.70%
Exactly 80.14%
 
Exactly 124.58%
Exactly 319.55%
Exactly 54.67%
Exactly 70.53%
Exact Goals Scored - Sheffield Wednesday
Exactly 037.46%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.06%
Exactly 35.91%
Exactly 41.45%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 030.03%
Exactly 136.13%
Exactly 221.73%
Exactly 38.71%
Exactly 42.62%
Exactly 50.63%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.37%
Exactly 218.60%
Exactly 41.59%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.27%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sheffield Wednesday
Exactly 063.47%
Exactly 128.85%
Exactly 26.56%
Exactly 30.99%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 057.30%
Exactly 131.91%
Exactly 28.89%
Exactly 31.65%
Exactly 40.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sheffield Wednesday
Wins by 2+ goals10.88%
Wins by 3+ goals2.99%
Wins by 4+ goals0.62%
Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals17.77%
Wins by 3+ goals5.91%
Wins by 4+ goals1.57%
Wins by 5+ goals0.33%

Exact Winning Margin

Sheffield Wednesday
Derby County
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Sheffield Wednesday
Wins by 1 goal18.99%
Wins by 2 goals7.90%
Wins by 3 goals2.36%
Wins by 4 goals0.54%
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal23.26%
Wins by 2 goals11.86%
Wins by 3 goals4.35%
Wins by 4 goals1.24%
Wins by 5 goals0.28%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.75%11.25%
1.564.17%35.83%
2.537.32%62.68%
3.517.77%82.23%
4.57.09%92.91%
5.52.42%97.58%

Total Goals Sheffield Wednesday Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.54%37.46%
1.525.76%74.24%
2.57.70%92.30%
3.51.79%98.21%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.97%30.03%
1.533.84%66.16%
2.512.11%87.89%
3.53.40%96.60%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.63%36.37%
1.526.85%73.15%
2.58.24%91.76%
3.51.97%98.03%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sheffield Weds
Derby County
Score012345
0
11.25%
13.53%
8.14%
3.26%
0.98%
0.24%
1
11.05%
13.29%
7.99%
3.20%
0.96%
0.23%
2
5.42%
6.52%
3.92%
1.57%
0.47%
0.11%
3
1.77%
2.14%
1.28%
0.51%
0.15%
0.04%
4
0.44%
0.52%
0.32%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
Sheffield Wednesday
1-011.05%
2-05.42%
2-16.52%
3-01.77%
3-12.14%
3-21.28%
4-00.44%
4-10.52%
4-20.32%
4-30.13%
Draw
0-011.25%
1-113.29%
2-23.92%
3-30.51%
Derby County
0-113.53%
0-28.14%
1-27.99%
0-33.26%
1-33.20%
2-31.57%
0-40.98%
1-40.96%
2-40.47%
3-40.15%
0-50.24%
1-50.23%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Sheffield Weds
Derby County
Score01234
0
36.37%
20.25%
5.64%
1.05%
0.15%
1
16.53%
9.21%
2.56%
0.48%
0.07%
2
3.76%
2.09%
0.58%
0.11%
0.02%
3
0.57%
0.32%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Sheffield Wednesday
1-016.53%
2-03.76%
2-12.09%
3-00.57%
3-10.32%
Draw
0-036.37%
1-19.21%
2-20.58%
Derby County
0-120.25%
0-25.64%
1-22.56%
0-31.05%
1-30.48%
2-30.11%
0-40.15%