Millwall at Stoke City

Updated

Millwall

47.5%27.2%25.2%
Millwall WinDrawStoke City Win
1.39Projected Goals 0.94
3Final Score 1

Stoke City

Last 5 Games

Millwall
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Queens Park Rangers-145
T 0-0 at West Bromwich Albion+220
L 2-1 vs Norwich City+115
W 2-1 at Middlesbrough+385
T 1-1 at Ipswich Town+400
Stoke City
Money Line
L 0-2 at Wrexham+320
T 1-1 vs Blackburn+170
L 0-2 at Derby County+375
W 0-2 vs Sheffield Wednesday-260
L 1-3 at Preston North End+180

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+134-145-154-152-152-152-145-131.6
Stoke City+198+350+345+380+380+380+380+409.5
Draw+225+295+295+300+300+300+300+324.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+110-----110-110-131.6
Stoke City+230----+280+280+409.5
Draw+270----+280+280+324.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Stoke City: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Millwall: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 0.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from -132 to -143
Stoke City ML moved from +280 to +270

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Millwall: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Millwall: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 90.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +100 to -110
No Steam Moves On Stoke City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-138o2¾-115o2¾-125o3+110o3+110o3+110o2¾-115o3+119
Underu2¼+118u2¾+102u2¾+105u3-130u3-130u3-130u2¾+105u3-119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+119
Under-----u3-119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-118 to o2¾-105
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.7%
 
No54.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.74%
Exactly 226.41%
Exactly 411.94%
Exactly 62.16%
Exactly 80.21%
 
Exactly 122.68%
Exactly 320.51%
Exactly 55.56%
Exactly 70.72%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 024.81%
Exactly 134.58%
Exactly 224.10%
Exactly 311.20%
Exactly 43.90%
Exactly 51.09%
Exactly 60.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 039.24%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 217.17%
Exactly 35.35%
Exactly 41.25%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.01%
Exactly 219.78%
Exactly 41.92%
 
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 37.11%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 052.45%
Exactly 133.85%
Exactly 210.92%
Exactly 32.35%
Exactly 40.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 064.85%
Exactly 128.09%
Exactly 26.08%
Exactly 30.88%

Alternate Props

Spread

Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals22.92%
Wins by 3+ goals8.62%
Wins by 4+ goals2.59%
Wins by 5+ goals0.62%
Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals8.71%
Wins by 3+ goals2.27%
Wins by 4+ goals0.45%

Exact Winning Margin

Millwall
Stoke City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal24.56%
Wins by 2 goals14.30%
Wins by 3 goals6.03%
Wins by 4 goals1.97%
Wins by 5 goals0.52%
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal16.49%
Wins by 2 goals6.44%
Wins by 3 goals1.82%
Wins by 4 goals0.39%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.26%9.74%
1.567.58%32.42%
2.541.17%58.83%
3.520.66%79.34%
4.58.72%91.28%
5.53.16%96.84%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.19%24.81%
1.540.60%59.40%
2.516.50%83.50%
3.55.30%94.70%
4.51.40%98.60%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.76%39.24%
1.524.05%75.95%
2.56.88%93.12%
3.51.53%98.47%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.99%34.01%
1.529.31%70.69%
2.59.53%90.47%
3.52.42%97.58%

Score Props

Correct Score

Millwall
Stoke City
Score01234
0
9.74%
9.11%
4.26%
1.33%
0.31%
1
13.57%
12.70%
5.94%
1.85%
0.43%
2
9.46%
8.85%
4.14%
1.29%
0.30%
3
4.39%
4.11%
1.92%
0.60%
0.14%
4
1.53%
1.43%
0.67%
0.21%
0.05%
5
0.43%
0.40%
0.19%
0.06%
0.01%
Millwall
1-013.57%
2-09.46%
2-18.85%
3-04.39%
3-14.11%
3-21.92%
4-01.53%
4-11.43%
4-20.67%
4-30.21%
5-00.43%
5-10.40%
5-20.19%
Draw
0-09.74%
1-112.70%
2-24.14%
3-30.60%
Stoke City
0-19.11%
0-24.26%
1-25.94%
0-31.33%
1-31.85%
2-31.29%
0-40.31%
1-40.43%
2-40.30%
3-40.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Millwall
Stoke City
Score0123
0
34.01%
14.73%
3.19%
0.46%
1
21.95%
9.51%
2.06%
0.30%
2
7.08%
3.07%
0.66%
0.10%
3
1.52%
0.66%
0.14%
0.02%
4
0.25%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Millwall
1-021.95%
2-07.08%
2-13.07%
3-01.52%
3-10.66%
3-20.14%
4-00.25%
4-10.11%
Draw
0-034.01%
1-19.51%
2-20.66%
Stoke City
0-114.73%
0-23.19%
1-22.06%
0-30.46%
1-30.30%
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