Blackburn at Derby County

Updated

Blackburn

34.0%28.7%37.3%
Blackburn WinDrawDerby County Win
1.09Projected Goals 1.16
1Final Score 3

Derby County

Last 5 Games

Blackburn
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Bristol City+140
W 0-1 vs Preston North End+115
W 3-1 at Queens Park Rangers+240
L 0-2 at Norwich City+280
W 0-1 vs Sheffield Wednesday-300
Derby County
Money Line
L 2-4 at Hull City+185
L 0-2 at Watford+245
W 0-2 vs Swansea City+155
L 2-1 vs Ipswich Town+285
W 5-0 at Bristol City+245

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Blackburn+240-+245+270+270+270+270+286.0
Derby County+111-+107+112+112+112+112+121.2
Draw+212-+220+232+232+232+232+246.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Blackburn+260----+260+260+286.0
Derby County+115----+115+115+121.2
Draw+225----+225+225+246.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Blackburn: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Blackburn: 30.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Blackburn: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Blackburn: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Blackburn ML moved from +255 to +240
Derby County ML moved from +122 to +114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Blackburn: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Blackburn: 30.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Blackburn: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Blackburn: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Blackburn ML
No Steam Moves On Derby County ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-105-o2¼-115o2¼-113o2¼-109o2¼-113o2¼-109o2¼-103
Underu2¼-115-u2¼-105u2¼-107u2¼-111u2¼-107u2¼-105u2¼+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-103
Under-----u2¼+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.5%
 
No54.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.57%
Exactly 226.69%
Exactly 411.23%
Exactly 61.89%
Exactly 80.17%
 
Exactly 123.76%
Exactly 319.99%
Exactly 55.04%
Exactly 70.61%
Exact Goals Scored - Blackburn
Exactly 033.62%
Exactly 136.65%
Exactly 219.98%
Exactly 37.26%
Exactly 41.98%
Exactly 50.43%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 031.46%
Exactly 136.38%
Exactly 221.04%
Exactly 38.11%
Exactly 42.35%
Exactly 50.54%
Exactly 60.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.34%
Exactly 219.12%
Exactly 41.72%
 
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 36.63%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Blackburn
Exactly 060.37%
Exactly 130.47%
Exactly 27.69%
Exactly 31.29%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 058.54%
Exactly 131.35%
Exactly 28.39%
Exactly 31.50%
Exactly 40.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Blackburn
Wins by 2+ goals13.38%
Wins by 3+ goals4.01%
Wins by 4+ goals0.91%
Wins by 5+ goals0.14%
Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals15.52%
Wins by 3+ goals4.97%
Wins by 4+ goals1.26%
Wins by 5+ goals0.26%

Exact Winning Margin

Blackburn
Derby County
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Blackburn
Wins by 1 goal20.49%
Wins by 2 goals9.38%
Wins by 3 goals3.09%
Wins by 4 goals0.78%
Wins by 5 goals0.14%
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal21.74%
Wins by 2 goals10.56%
Wins by 3 goals3.70%
Wins by 4 goals1.01%
Wins by 5 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.43%10.57%
1.565.67%34.33%
2.538.98%61.02%
3.518.99%81.01%
4.57.77%92.23%
5.52.72%97.28%

Total Goals Blackburn Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.38%33.62%
1.529.74%70.26%
2.59.76%90.24%
3.52.50%97.50%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.54%31.46%
1.532.16%67.84%
2.511.12%88.88%
3.53.01%96.99%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.66%35.34%
1.527.90%72.10%
2.58.79%91.21%
3.52.16%97.84%

Score Props

Correct Score

Blackburn
Derby County
Score012345
0
10.57%
12.23%
7.07%
2.73%
0.79%
0.18%
1
11.53%
13.33%
7.71%
2.97%
0.86%
0.20%
2
6.28%
7.27%
4.20%
1.62%
0.47%
0.11%
3
2.28%
2.64%
1.53%
0.59%
0.17%
0.04%
4
0.62%
0.72%
0.42%
0.16%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.14%
0.16%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Blackburn
1-011.53%
2-06.28%
2-17.27%
3-02.28%
3-12.64%
3-21.53%
4-00.62%
4-10.72%
4-20.42%
4-30.16%
5-00.14%
5-10.16%
Draw
0-010.57%
1-113.33%
2-24.20%
3-30.59%
Derby County
0-112.23%
0-27.07%
1-27.71%
0-32.73%
1-32.97%
2-31.62%
0-40.79%
1-40.86%
2-40.47%
3-40.17%
0-50.18%
1-50.20%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Blackburn
Derby County
Score01234
0
35.34%
18.92%
5.07%
0.90%
0.12%
1
17.84%
9.55%
2.56%
0.46%
0.06%
2
4.50%
2.41%
0.65%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.76%
0.41%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Blackburn
1-017.84%
2-04.50%
2-12.41%
3-00.76%
3-10.41%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-035.34%
1-19.55%
2-20.65%
Derby County
0-118.92%
0-25.07%
1-22.56%
0-30.90%
1-30.46%
2-30.12%
0-40.12%
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