Stoke City at Birmingham City

Updated

Stoke City

36.2%29.0%34.7%
Stoke City WinDrawBirmingham City Win
1.13Projected Goals 1.08
0Final Score 0

Birmingham City

Last 5 Games

Stoke City
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Reading+105
W 2-0 at Bournemouth+370
L 2-0 vs Queens Park Rangers+125
T 1-1 at Nottingham Forest+220
L 3-2 vs Coventry City+170
Birmingham City
Money Line
L 2-5 at Blackburn+290
L 4-0 vs Cardiff City+220
W 2-1 at Derby County+290
T 1-1 vs Nottingham Forest+165
W 1-0 at Rotherham United+160

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.1%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+205-+160+157+146+157+160-
Birmingham City+140-+190+205+200+205+205-
Draw+215-+205+200+213+200+213-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+160---+145+160+160-
Birmingham City+150---+175+200+200-
Draw+190---+180+200+200-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 20.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +159 to +151
Birmingham City ML moved from +200 to +190

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 20.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +190 to +160
Birmingham City ML moved from +180 to +160

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-125-o2-120o2-112-o2-112o2-112-
Underu2+105-u2+100u2-108-u2-108u2+100-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.7%
 
No55.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.98%
Exactly 226.79%
Exactly 410.90%
Exactly 61.77%
Exactly 80.15%
 
Exactly 124.25%
Exactly 319.73%
Exactly 54.82%
Exactly 70.56%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 032.39%
Exactly 136.51%
Exactly 220.58%
Exactly 37.73%
Exactly 42.18%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - Birmingham City
Exactly 033.89%
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 219.84%
Exactly 37.16%
Exactly 41.94%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.95%
Exactly 218.81%
Exactly 41.64%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 36.41%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 059.34%
Exactly 130.97%
Exactly 28.08%
Exactly 31.41%
Exactly 40.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Birmingham City
Exactly 060.59%
Exactly 130.36%
Exactly 27.60%
Exactly 31.27%
Exactly 40.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals14.88%
Wins by 3+ goals4.60%
Wins by 4+ goals1.09%
Wins by 5+ goals0.17%
Birmingham City
Wins by 2+ goals13.50%
Wins by 3+ goals4.03%
Wins by 4+ goals0.92%
Wins by 5+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Stoke City
Birmingham City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal21.62%
Wins by 2 goals10.28%
Wins by 3 goals3.52%
Wins by 4 goals0.92%
Wins by 5 goals0.17%
Birmingham City
Wins by 1 goal20.75%
Wins by 2 goals9.47%
Wins by 3 goals3.11%
Wins by 4 goals0.78%
Wins by 5 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.02%10.98%
1.564.77%35.23%
2.537.98%62.02%
3.518.25%81.75%
4.57.35%92.65%
5.52.54%97.46%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.61%32.39%
1.531.10%68.90%
2.510.51%89.49%
3.52.78%97.22%

Total Goals Birmingham City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.11%33.89%
1.529.44%70.56%
2.59.60%90.40%
3.52.44%97.56%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.05%35.95%
1.527.27%72.73%
2.58.46%91.54%
3.52.04%97.96%

Score Props

Correct Score

Stoke City
Birmingham City
Score012345
0
10.98%
11.88%
6.43%
2.32%
0.63%
0.14%
1
12.37%
13.39%
7.24%
2.61%
0.71%
0.15%
2
6.98%
7.55%
4.08%
1.47%
0.40%
0.09%
3
2.62%
2.84%
1.53%
0.55%
0.15%
0.03%
4
0.74%
0.80%
0.43%
0.16%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.17%
0.18%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-012.37%
2-06.98%
2-17.55%
3-02.62%
3-12.84%
3-21.53%
4-00.74%
4-10.80%
4-20.43%
4-30.16%
5-00.17%
5-10.18%
Draw
0-010.98%
1-113.39%
2-24.08%
3-30.55%
Birmingham City
0-111.88%
0-26.43%
1-27.24%
0-32.32%
1-32.61%
2-31.47%
0-40.63%
1-40.71%
2-40.40%
3-40.15%
0-50.14%
1-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Stoke City
Birmingham City
Score0123
0
35.95%
18.01%
4.51%
0.75%
1
18.77%
9.40%
2.35%
0.39%
2
4.90%
2.45%
0.61%
0.10%
3
0.85%
0.43%
0.11%
0.02%
4
0.11%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-018.77%
2-04.90%
2-12.45%
3-00.85%
3-10.43%
3-20.11%
4-00.11%
Draw
0-035.95%
1-19.40%
2-20.61%
Birmingham City
0-118.01%
0-24.51%
1-22.35%
0-30.75%
1-30.39%
2-30.10%
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