Swansea City at Leeds United

Updated

Swansea City

10.3%16.1%73.6%
WinDrawLeeds United Win
0.80Projected Goals 2.46
2Final Score 2

Leeds United

Last 5 Games

Swansea City
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Burnley+285
L 0-1 at Watford+225
W 0-1 vs Middlesbrough+170
T 0-0 at Preston North End+225
W 0-3 vs Blackburn+150
Leeds United
Money Line
T 2-2 at Queens Park Rangers-220
W 0-2 vs Millwall-450
L 0-1 at Portsmouth-250
T 1-1 vs West Bromwich Albion-300
W 3-1 at Sheffield United-120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+1200+1187+1000+890+1070+890+1187+971.4
Leeds United-435-361-360-357-399-357-357-259.5
Draw+475+457+420+400+441+400+457+441.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+1150----+1200+1200+971.4
Leeds United-425-----410-410-259.5
Draw+525----+485+485+441.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 10.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Swansea City: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 30.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +1083 to +1036
Leeds United ML moved from -391 to -399

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 20.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Swansea City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 30.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Swansea City ML
Leeds United ML moved from -425 to -450

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-118o2½-112o2½-112o2½-103o2½-110o2½-103o2½-103o2½+106
Underu2¾-102u2½-105u2½-108u2½-117u2½-110u2½-117u2½-105u2½-106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+106
Under-----u2½-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2¾-112 to u2½+100

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.7%
 
No49.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.82%
Exactly 220.36%
Exactly 418.09%
Exactly 66.43%
Exactly 81.22%
Exactly 100.14%
 
Exactly 112.47%
Exactly 322.16%
Exactly 511.81%
Exactly 73.00%
Exactly 90.44%
Exact Goals Scored - Swansea City
Exactly 044.56%
Exactly 136.02%
Exactly 214.56%
Exactly 33.92%
Exactly 40.79%
Exactly 50.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Leeds United
Exactly 08.57%
Exactly 121.06%
Exactly 225.87%
Exactly 321.18%
Exactly 413.01%
Exactly 56.39%
Exactly 62.62%
Exactly 70.92%
Exactly 80.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.05%
Exactly 225.20%
Exactly 44.80%
Exactly 60.37%
 
Exactly 133.34%
Exactly 312.70%
Exactly 51.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Swansea City
Exactly 068.78%
Exactly 125.74%
Exactly 24.82%
Exactly 30.60%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Leeds United
Exactly 032.06%
Exactly 136.47%
Exactly 220.74%
Exactly 37.86%
Exactly 42.24%
Exactly 50.51%

Alternate Props

Spread

Swansea City
Wins by 2+ goals2.95%
Wins by 3+ goals0.64%
Leeds United
Wins by 2+ goals51.12%
Wins by 3+ goals29.79%
Wins by 4+ goals14.63%
Wins by 5+ goals6.11%
Wins by 6+ goals2.17%
Wins by 7+ goals0.64%
Wins by 8+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Swansea City
Leeds United
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Swansea City
Wins by 1 goal7.35%
Wins by 2 goals2.31%
Wins by 3 goals0.54%
Leeds United
Wins by 1 goal22.35%
Wins by 2 goals21.32%
Wins by 3 goals15.17%
Wins by 4 goals8.52%
Wins by 5 goals3.94%
Wins by 6 goals1.54%
Wins by 7 goals0.51%
Wins by 8 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.18%3.82%
1.583.71%16.29%
2.563.35%36.65%
3.541.19%58.81%
4.523.10%76.90%
5.511.29%88.71%
6.54.87%95.13%
7.51.87%98.13%

Total Goals Swansea City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.44%44.56%
1.519.42%80.58%
2.54.86%95.14%

Total Goals Leeds United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.43%8.57%
1.570.37%29.63%
2.544.50%55.50%
3.523.32%76.68%
4.510.31%89.69%
5.53.92%96.08%
6.51.30%98.70%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.95%22.05%
1.544.61%55.39%
2.519.41%80.59%
3.56.71%93.29%
4.51.91%98.09%

Score Props

Correct Score

Swansea City
Leeds United
Score012345
0
3.82%
9.38%
11.53%
9.44%
5.80%
2.85%
1
3.09%
7.59%
9.32%
7.63%
4.69%
2.30%
2
1.25%
3.07%
3.77%
3.08%
1.89%
0.93%
3
0.34%
0.83%
1.01%
0.83%
0.51%
0.25%
Swansea City
1-03.09%
2-01.25%
2-13.07%
3-00.34%
3-10.83%
3-21.01%
Draw
0-03.82%
1-17.59%
2-23.77%
3-30.83%
4-40.10%
Leeds United
0-19.38%
0-211.53%
1-29.32%
0-39.44%
1-37.63%
2-33.08%
0-45.80%
1-44.69%
2-41.89%
3-40.51%
0-52.85%
1-52.30%
2-50.93%
3-50.25%

Correct Score - First Half

Swansea City
Leeds United
Score012345
0
22.05%
25.08%
14.27%
5.41%
1.54%
0.35%
1
8.25%
9.39%
5.34%
2.02%
0.58%
0.13%
2
1.54%
1.76%
1.00%
0.38%
0.11%
0.02%
3
0.19%
0.22%
0.12%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Swansea City
1-08.25%
2-01.54%
2-11.76%
3-00.19%
3-10.22%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-022.05%
1-19.39%
2-21.00%
Leeds United
0-125.08%
0-214.27%
1-25.34%
0-35.41%
1-32.02%
2-30.38%
0-41.54%
1-40.58%
2-40.11%
0-50.35%
1-50.13%
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