Derby County at Norwich City

Updated

Derby County

24.8%26.2%49.0%
Derby County WinDrawNorwich City Win
0.97Projected Goals 1.48
1Final Score 2

Norwich City

Last 5 Games

Derby County
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Oxford United-105
L 1-2 at Southampton+460
W 0-2 vs Stoke City-140
L 2-3 at Coventry City+440
W 0-1 vs Birmingham City+180
Norwich City
Money Line
W 4-2 at Bristol City+155
L 2-0 vs Ipswich Town+190
W 2-1 at Millwall+230
T 1-1 vs Portsmouth+105
W 1-0 at Charlton Athletic+125

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+295+215+212+225+225+245+225+244.7
Norwich City-117+124+118+120+120+111+124+133.4
Draw+255+235+230+235+235+235+235+255.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+285----+265+265+244.7
Norwich City-105----+100+100+133.4
Draw+260----+260+260+255.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Norwich City: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Norwich City: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Norwich City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +230 to +220
Norwich City ML moved from +100 to -101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Norwich City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Norwich City: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 60.0%
Norwich City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +280 to +265
No Steam Moves On Norwich City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.2%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾+105o2½-108o2½-115o2¾+107o2¾+107o2¾+107o2½-108o2¾+116
Underu2¾-125u2½-104u2½-105u2¾-127u2¾-127u2¾-127u2¾-127u2¾-116
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+116
Under-----u2¾-116

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.0%
 
No52.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.62%
Exactly 225.90%
Exactly 412.96%
Exactly 62.59%
Exactly 80.28%
 
Exactly 121.13%
Exactly 321.15%
Exactly 56.35%
Exactly 70.91%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 037.88%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.85%
Exactly 35.78%
Exactly 41.40%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Norwich City
Exactly 022.77%
Exactly 133.69%
Exactly 224.93%
Exactly 312.30%
Exactly 44.55%
Exactly 51.35%
Exactly 60.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.15%
Exactly 220.70%
Exactly 42.22%
 
Exactly 136.48%
Exactly 37.83%
Exactly 50.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 063.79%
Exactly 128.68%
Exactly 26.44%
Exactly 30.97%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Norwich City
Exactly 050.40%
Exactly 134.53%
Exactly 211.83%
Exactly 32.70%
Exactly 40.46%

Alternate Props

Spread

Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals8.72%
Wins by 3+ goals2.33%
Wins by 4+ goals0.47%
Norwich City
Wins by 2+ goals24.49%
Wins by 3+ goals9.63%
Wins by 4+ goals3.04%
Wins by 5+ goals0.76%
Wins by 6+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Derby County
Norwich City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal16.01%
Wins by 2 goals6.39%
Wins by 3 goals1.86%
Wins by 4 goals0.41%
Norwich City
Wins by 1 goal24.41%
Wins by 2 goals14.86%
Wins by 3 goals6.59%
Wins by 4 goals2.28%
Wins by 5 goals0.63%
Wins by 6 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.38%8.62%
1.570.24%29.76%
2.544.35%55.65%
3.523.19%76.81%
4.510.23%89.77%
5.53.88%96.12%
6.51.29%98.71%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.12%37.88%
1.525.35%74.65%
2.57.50%92.50%
3.51.73%98.27%

Total Goals Norwich City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.23%22.77%
1.543.54%56.46%
2.518.61%81.39%
3.56.31%93.69%
4.51.76%98.24%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.85%32.15%
1.531.37%68.63%
2.510.67%89.33%
3.52.84%97.16%

Score Props

Correct Score

Derby County
Norwich City
Score012345
0
8.62%
12.76%
9.44%
4.66%
1.72%
0.51%
1
8.37%
12.39%
9.17%
4.52%
1.67%
0.50%
2
4.06%
6.01%
4.45%
2.20%
0.81%
0.24%
3
1.32%
1.95%
1.44%
0.71%
0.26%
0.08%
4
0.32%
0.47%
0.35%
0.17%
0.06%
0.02%
Derby County
1-08.37%
2-04.06%
2-16.01%
3-01.32%
3-11.95%
3-21.44%
4-00.32%
4-10.47%
4-20.35%
4-30.17%
Draw
0-08.62%
1-112.39%
2-24.45%
3-30.71%
Norwich City
0-112.76%
0-29.44%
1-29.17%
0-34.66%
1-34.52%
2-32.20%
0-41.72%
1-41.67%
2-40.81%
3-40.26%
0-50.51%
1-50.50%
2-50.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Derby County
Norwich City
Score01234
0
32.15%
22.03%
7.55%
1.72%
0.30%
1
14.45%
9.90%
3.39%
0.77%
0.13%
2
3.25%
2.23%
0.76%
0.17%
0.03%
3
0.49%
0.33%
0.11%
0.03%
0.00%
Derby County
1-014.45%
2-03.25%
2-12.23%
3-00.49%
3-10.33%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-032.15%
1-19.90%
2-20.76%
Norwich City
0-122.03%
0-27.55%
1-23.39%
0-31.72%
1-30.77%
2-30.17%
0-40.30%
1-40.13%
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