Millwall at Luton Town

Updated

Millwall

25.7%27.1%47.2%
Millwall WinDrawLuton Town Win
0.96Projected Goals 1.40
2Final Score 2

Luton Town

Last 5 Games

Millwall
Money Line
L 0-2 at Stoke City+240
W 0-2 vs Huddersfield+135
T 0-0 vs Middlesbrough+205
T 0-0 at Blackburn+290
W 1-0 at Reading+150
Luton Town
Money Line
W 3-1 at Hull City+160
W 0-4 vs Preston North End+135
L 2-1 vs Queens Park Rangers+125
W 1-0 at Coventry City+270
L 1-2 at Middlesbrough+370

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+254+275+245+291+265+245+291+287.9
Luton Town+113+120+119+123+119+119+123+129.0
Draw+223+190+200+209+206+200+209+227.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+245---+225+275+275+287.9
Luton Town+120---+105+110+110+129.0
Draw+225---+200+225+225+227.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Luton Town: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 10.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +289 to +283
Luton Town ML moved from +120 to +109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Luton Town: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 0.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Millwall ML
No Steam Moves On Luton Town ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+102o2-110o2-112o2-111-o2-112o2-110o2-104
Underu2¼-122u2-110u2-108u2-104-u2-108u2-104u2+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-104
Under-----u2+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.4%
 
No53.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.45%
Exactly 226.30%
Exactly 412.20%
Exactly 62.26%
Exactly 80.22%
 
Exactly 122.29%
Exactly 320.68%
Exactly 55.76%
Exactly 70.76%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 038.39%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.60%
Exactly 35.62%
Exactly 41.34%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Luton Town
Exactly 024.62%
Exactly 134.51%
Exactly 224.18%
Exactly 311.30%
Exactly 43.96%
Exactly 51.11%
Exactly 60.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.54%
Exactly 220.01%
Exactly 41.99%
 
Exactly 136.64%
Exactly 37.29%
Exactly 50.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 064.19%
Exactly 128.46%
Exactly 26.31%
Exactly 30.93%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Luton Town
Exactly 052.26%
Exactly 133.91%
Exactly 211.01%
Exactly 32.38%
Exactly 40.39%

Alternate Props

Spread

Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals9.02%
Wins by 3+ goals2.39%
Wins by 4+ goals0.48%
Luton Town
Wins by 2+ goals22.80%
Wins by 3+ goals8.60%
Wins by 4+ goals2.59%
Wins by 5+ goals0.62%

Exact Winning Margin

Millwall
Luton Town
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal16.64%
Wins by 2 goals6.62%
Wins by 3 goals1.91%
Wins by 4 goals0.42%
Luton Town
Wins by 1 goal24.36%
Wins by 2 goals14.20%
Wins by 3 goals6.00%
Wins by 4 goals1.97%
Wins by 5 goals0.52%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.55%9.45%
1.568.26%31.74%
2.541.96%58.04%
3.521.28%78.72%
4.59.08%90.92%
5.53.33%96.67%
6.51.06%98.94%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.61%38.39%
1.524.86%75.14%
2.57.26%92.74%
3.51.65%98.35%

Total Goals Luton Town Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.38%24.62%
1.540.88%59.12%
2.516.69%83.31%
3.55.39%94.61%
4.51.43%98.57%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.46%33.54%
1.529.82%70.18%
2.59.80%90.20%
3.52.52%97.48%

Score Props

Correct Score

Millwall
Luton Town
Score012345
0
9.45%
13.25%
9.28%
4.34%
1.52%
0.43%
1
9.05%
12.68%
8.89%
4.15%
1.46%
0.41%
2
4.33%
6.07%
4.26%
1.99%
0.70%
0.20%
3
1.38%
1.94%
1.36%
0.63%
0.22%
0.06%
4
0.33%
0.46%
0.33%
0.15%
0.05%
0.01%
Millwall
1-09.05%
2-04.33%
2-16.07%
3-01.38%
3-11.94%
3-21.36%
4-00.33%
4-10.46%
4-20.33%
4-30.15%
Draw
0-09.45%
1-112.68%
2-24.26%
3-30.63%
Luton Town
0-113.25%
0-29.28%
1-28.89%
0-34.34%
1-34.15%
2-31.99%
0-41.52%
1-41.46%
2-40.70%
3-40.22%
0-50.43%
1-50.41%
2-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Millwall
Luton Town
Score01234
0
33.54%
21.77%
7.06%
1.53%
0.25%
1
14.87%
9.65%
3.13%
0.68%
0.11%
2
3.30%
2.14%
0.69%
0.15%
0.02%
3
0.49%
0.32%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Millwall
1-014.87%
2-03.30%
2-12.14%
3-00.49%
3-10.32%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-033.54%
1-19.65%
2-20.69%
Luton Town
0-121.77%
0-27.06%
1-23.13%
0-31.53%
1-30.68%
2-30.15%
0-40.25%
1-40.11%