Middlesbrough at Leeds United

Updated

Middlesbrough

19.4%22.2%58.4%
WinDrawLeeds United Win
0.98Projected Goals 1.89
1Final Score 3

Leeds United

Last 5 Games

Middlesbrough
Money Line
T 1-1 at Burnley+205
W 1-3 vs Hull City-155
L 1-0 vs Blackburn-140
W 6-2 at Oxford United-135
W 1-5 vs Luton Town-130
Leeds United
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Derby County-280
L 0-1 at Blackburn-145
W 0-3 vs Luton Town-225
W 4-3 at Swansea City-120
W 0-2 vs Queens Park Rangers-420

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Middlesbrough+342+358+350+340+353+340+358+386.6
Leeds United-125-127-135-160-136-160-127-125.5
Draw+288+282+260+280+280+280+282+320.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Middlesbrough+330---+360+410+410+386.6
Leeds United-125----175-145-145-125.5
Draw+280---+265+280+280+320.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Leeds United: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Middlesbrough ML moved from +370 to +358
Leeds United ML moved from -150 to -160

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Leeds United: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Middlesbrough: 50.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Middlesbrough ML
Leeds United ML moved from -160 to -175

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-128o2½-127o2½-122o2½-125o2½-119o2½-125o2½-119o2½-114
Underu2½+109u2½+108u2½+102u2½+105u2½-101u2½+105u2½+108u2½+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-114
Under-----u2½+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.2%
 
No46.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.66%
Exactly 223.34%
Exactly 416.04%
Exactly 64.41%
Exactly 80.65%
 
Exactly 116.26%
Exactly 322.34%
Exactly 59.21%
Exactly 71.81%
Exactly 90.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Middlesbrough
Exactly 037.31%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.13%
Exactly 35.96%
Exactly 41.47%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Leeds United
Exactly 015.18%
Exactly 128.61%
Exactly 226.97%
Exactly 316.95%
Exactly 47.99%
Exactly 53.01%
Exactly 60.95%
Exactly 70.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.46%
Exactly 223.38%
Exactly 43.44%
Exactly 60.20%
 
Exactly 135.18%
Exactly 310.36%
Exactly 50.92%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Middlesbrough
Exactly 063.35%
Exactly 128.92%
Exactly 26.60%
Exactly 31.00%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Leeds United
Exactly 041.77%
Exactly 136.46%
Exactly 215.92%
Exactly 34.63%
Exactly 41.01%
Exactly 50.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Middlesbrough
Wins by 2+ goals6.65%
Wins by 3+ goals1.75%
Wins by 4+ goals0.35%
Leeds United
Wins by 2+ goals34.16%
Wins by 3+ goals16.21%
Wins by 4+ goals6.34%
Wins by 5+ goals2.06%
Wins by 6+ goals0.54%

Exact Winning Margin

Middlesbrough
Leeds United
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Middlesbrough
Wins by 1 goal12.65%
Wins by 2 goals4.90%
Wins by 3 goals1.40%
Wins by 4 goals0.31%
Leeds United
Wins by 1 goal24.20%
Wins by 2 goals17.94%
Wins by 3 goals9.87%
Wins by 4 goals4.28%
Wins by 5 goals1.52%
Wins by 6 goals0.45%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.34%5.66%
1.578.08%21.92%
2.554.74%45.26%
3.532.39%67.61%
4.516.36%83.64%
5.57.15%92.85%
6.52.74%97.26%

Total Goals Middlesbrough Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.69%37.31%
1.525.90%74.10%
2.57.77%92.23%
3.51.81%98.19%

Total Goals Leeds United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.82%15.18%
1.556.21%43.79%
2.529.24%70.76%
3.512.28%87.72%
4.54.29%95.71%
5.51.28%98.72%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.54%26.46%
1.538.36%61.64%
2.514.97%85.03%
3.54.61%95.39%
4.51.16%98.84%

Score Props

Correct Score

Middlesbrough
Leeds United
Score012345
0
5.66%
10.68%
10.07%
6.33%
2.98%
1.12%
1
5.58%
10.53%
9.92%
6.24%
2.94%
1.11%
2
2.75%
5.19%
4.89%
3.07%
1.45%
0.55%
3
0.90%
1.70%
1.61%
1.01%
0.48%
0.18%
4
0.22%
0.42%
0.40%
0.25%
0.12%
0.04%
Middlesbrough
1-05.58%
2-02.75%
2-15.19%
3-00.90%
3-11.70%
3-21.61%
4-00.22%
4-10.42%
4-20.40%
4-30.25%
Draw
0-05.66%
1-110.53%
2-24.89%
3-31.01%
4-40.12%
Leeds United
0-110.68%
0-210.07%
1-29.92%
0-36.33%
1-36.24%
2-33.07%
0-42.98%
1-42.94%
2-41.45%
3-40.48%
0-51.12%
1-51.11%
2-50.55%
3-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Middlesbrough
Leeds United
Score012345
0
26.46%
23.10%
10.08%
2.93%
0.64%
0.11%
1
12.08%
10.54%
4.60%
1.34%
0.29%
0.05%
2
2.76%
2.41%
1.05%
0.31%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.42%
0.37%
0.16%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Middlesbrough
1-012.08%
2-02.76%
2-12.41%
3-00.42%
3-10.37%
3-20.16%
Draw
0-026.46%
1-110.54%
2-21.05%
Leeds United
0-123.10%
0-210.08%
1-24.60%
0-32.93%
1-31.34%
2-30.31%
0-40.64%
1-40.29%
0-50.11%
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