Swansea City at Southampton

Updated

Swansea City

29.6%26.1%44.3%
Swansea City WinDrawSouthampton Win
1.14Projected Goals 1.45
0Final Score 0

Southampton

Last 5 Games

Swansea City
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Leicester City+150
W 2-1 at Blackburn+175
T 1-1 vs Millwall+120
L 0-1 at Birmingham City+325
T 2-2 vs Hull City-125
Southampton
Money Line
T 1-1 at Derby County+120
W 2-1 at Sheffield United+180
T 1-1 vs Middlesbrough+140
L 1-3 at Hull City+125
T 0-0 vs Portsmouth-120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+275+285+255+245+240+245+285+275.5
Southampton-112-101-104+100+103+100+103+117.7
Draw+245+260+240+235+230+235+260+264.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+300---+275+285+285+275.5
Southampton-110----130-110-110+117.7
Draw+260---+240+270+270+264.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 20.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Swansea City: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 20.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +245 to +235
Southampton ML moved from -108 to -115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 30.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Swansea City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 20.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +320 to +290
Southampton ML moved from -110 to -120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+102o2½+107o2¼-125o2¼-121o2¼-121o2¼-121o2¼-121o2¼-110
Underu2½-122u2½-125u2¼+105u2¼+101u2¼+101u2¼+101u2½-125u2¼+110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-110
Under-----u2¼+110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.0%
 
No48.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.50%
Exactly 225.16%
Exactly 414.07%
Exactly 63.14%
Exactly 80.38%
 
Exactly 119.43%
Exactly 321.72%
Exactly 57.29%
Exactly 71.16%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Swansea City
Exactly 032.04%
Exactly 136.47%
Exactly 220.75%
Exactly 37.87%
Exactly 42.24%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 023.41%
Exactly 133.99%
Exactly 224.68%
Exactly 311.94%
Exactly 44.33%
Exactly 51.26%
Exactly 60.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.14%
Exactly 221.67%
Exactly 42.60%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.15%
Exactly 38.66%
Exactly 50.62%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Swansea City
Exactly 059.04%
Exactly 131.11%
Exactly 28.20%
Exactly 31.44%
Exactly 40.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 051.06%
Exactly 134.32%
Exactly 211.54%
Exactly 32.58%
Exactly 40.43%

Alternate Props

Spread

Swansea City
Wins by 2+ goals11.70%
Wins by 3+ goals3.55%
Wins by 4+ goals0.82%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%
Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals21.48%
Wins by 3+ goals8.22%
Wins by 4+ goals2.52%
Wins by 5+ goals0.61%

Exact Winning Margin

Swansea City
Southampton
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Swansea City
Wins by 1 goal17.82%
Wins by 2 goals8.15%
Wins by 3 goals2.73%
Wins by 4 goals0.70%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal22.74%
Wins by 2 goals13.27%
Wins by 3 goals5.69%
Wins by 4 goals1.91%
Wins by 5 goals0.51%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.50%7.50%
1.573.07%26.93%
2.547.90%52.10%
3.526.18%73.82%
4.512.12%87.88%
5.54.83%95.17%
6.51.69%98.31%

Total Goals Swansea City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.96%32.04%
1.531.49%68.51%
2.510.74%89.26%
3.52.86%97.14%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.59%23.41%
1.542.59%57.41%
2.517.92%82.08%
3.55.98%94.02%
4.51.64%98.36%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.86%30.14%
1.533.71%66.29%
2.512.03%87.97%
3.53.37%96.63%

Score Props

Correct Score

Swansea City
Southampton
Score012345
0
7.50%
10.89%
7.91%
3.83%
1.39%
0.40%
1
8.54%
12.40%
9.00%
4.36%
1.58%
0.46%
2
4.86%
7.05%
5.12%
2.48%
0.90%
0.26%
3
1.84%
2.68%
1.94%
0.94%
0.34%
0.10%
4
0.52%
0.76%
0.55%
0.27%
0.10%
0.03%
5
0.12%
0.17%
0.13%
0.06%
0.02%
0.01%
Swansea City
1-08.54%
2-04.86%
2-17.05%
3-01.84%
3-12.68%
3-21.94%
4-00.52%
4-10.76%
4-20.55%
4-30.27%
5-00.12%
5-10.17%
5-20.13%
Draw
0-07.50%
1-112.40%
2-25.12%
3-30.94%
Southampton
0-110.89%
0-27.91%
1-29.00%
0-33.83%
1-34.36%
2-32.48%
0-41.39%
1-41.58%
2-40.90%
3-40.34%
0-50.40%
1-50.46%
2-50.26%

Correct Score - First Half

Swansea City
Southampton
Score01234
0
30.14%
20.26%
6.81%
1.53%
0.26%
1
15.88%
10.68%
3.59%
0.80%
0.14%
2
4.18%
2.81%
0.95%
0.21%
0.04%
3
0.74%
0.49%
0.17%
0.04%
0.01%
Swansea City
1-015.88%
2-04.18%
2-12.81%
3-00.74%
3-10.49%
3-20.17%
Draw
0-030.14%
1-110.68%
2-20.95%
Southampton
0-120.26%
0-26.81%
1-23.59%
0-31.53%
1-30.80%
2-30.21%
0-40.26%
1-40.14%
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