Southampton at Derby County

Updated

Southampton

34.9%28.0%37.1%
Southampton WinDrawDerby County Win
1.15Projected Goals 1.19
1Final Score 1

Derby County

Last 5 Games

Southampton
Money Line
W 2-1 at Sheffield United+180
T 1-1 vs Middlesbrough+140
L 1-3 at Hull City+125
T 0-0 vs Portsmouth-120
T 2-2 at Watford+150
Derby County
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Charlton Athletic+180
T 1-1 at Wrexham+260
L 1-0 vs Preston North End+135
W 1-0 at West Bromwich Albion+400
T 2-2 at Ipswich Town+640

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+111+121+108+120+119+120+121+137.5
Derby County+220+253+240+220+238+220+253+245.5
Draw+235+229+220+220+226+220+229+245.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+110---+105+120+120+137.5
Derby County+205---+220+245+245+245.5
Draw+210---+205+225+225+245.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 0.0%
Derby County: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Southampton: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 0.0%
Derby County: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +129 to +120
Derby County ML moved from +241 to +231

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 0.0%
Derby County: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Southampton: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +115 to +105
Derby County ML moved from +255 to +245

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-131o2-145o2¼-105o2¼-110o2¼-106o2¼-110o2-145o2¼+100
Underu2½+111u2+123u2¼-115u2¼-110u2¼-114u2¼-110u2¼-110u2¼+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+100
Under-----u2¼+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.6%
 
No52.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.59%
Exactly 226.36%
Exactly 412.07%
Exactly 62.21%
Exactly 80.22%
 
Exactly 122.48%
Exactly 320.60%
Exactly 55.66%
Exactly 70.74%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 031.67%
Exactly 136.41%
Exactly 220.94%
Exactly 38.03%
Exactly 42.31%
Exactly 50.53%
Exactly 60.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 030.28%
Exactly 136.18%
Exactly 221.61%
Exactly 38.60%
Exactly 42.57%
Exactly 50.61%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.77%
Exactly 219.90%
Exactly 41.95%
 
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 37.20%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 058.72%
Exactly 131.26%
Exactly 28.32%
Exactly 31.48%
Exactly 40.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 057.52%
Exactly 131.81%
Exactly 28.80%
Exactly 31.62%
Exactly 40.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals14.32%
Wins by 3+ goals4.53%
Wins by 4+ goals1.14%
Wins by 5+ goals0.23%
Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals15.70%
Wins by 3+ goals5.14%
Wins by 4+ goals1.34%
Wins by 5+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Southampton
Derby County
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal20.55%
Wins by 2 goals9.79%
Wins by 3 goals3.39%
Wins by 4 goals0.91%
Wins by 5 goals0.20%
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal21.35%
Wins by 2 goals10.56%
Wins by 3 goals3.80%
Wins by 4 goals1.06%
Wins by 5 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.41%9.59%
1.567.93%32.07%
2.541.57%58.43%
3.520.98%79.02%
4.58.90%91.10%
5.53.24%96.76%
6.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.33%31.67%
1.531.92%68.08%
2.510.98%89.02%
3.52.96%97.04%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.72%30.28%
1.533.54%66.46%
2.511.93%88.07%
3.53.33%96.67%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.23%33.77%
1.529.57%70.43%
2.59.67%90.33%
3.52.47%97.53%

Score Props

Correct Score

Southampton
Derby County
Score012345
0
9.59%
11.46%
6.84%
2.72%
0.81%
0.19%
1
11.03%
13.17%
7.87%
3.13%
0.94%
0.22%
2
6.34%
7.57%
4.52%
1.80%
0.54%
0.13%
3
2.43%
2.90%
1.73%
0.69%
0.21%
0.05%
4
0.70%
0.83%
0.50%
0.20%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.16%
0.19%
0.11%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Southampton
1-011.03%
2-06.34%
2-17.57%
3-02.43%
3-12.90%
3-21.73%
4-00.70%
4-10.83%
4-20.50%
4-30.20%
5-00.16%
5-10.19%
5-20.11%
Draw
0-09.59%
1-113.17%
2-24.52%
3-30.69%
Derby County
0-111.46%
0-26.84%
1-27.87%
0-32.72%
1-33.13%
2-31.80%
0-40.81%
1-40.94%
2-40.54%
3-40.21%
0-50.19%
1-50.22%
2-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Southampton
Derby County
Score01234
0
33.77%
18.68%
5.17%
0.95%
0.13%
1
17.98%
9.95%
2.75%
0.51%
0.07%
2
4.79%
2.65%
0.73%
0.13%
0.02%
3
0.85%
0.47%
0.13%
0.02%
0.00%
4
0.11%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Southampton
1-017.98%
2-04.79%
2-12.65%
3-00.85%
3-10.47%
3-20.13%
4-00.11%
Draw
0-033.77%
1-19.95%
2-20.73%
Derby County
0-118.68%
0-25.17%
1-22.75%
0-30.95%
1-30.51%
2-30.13%
0-40.13%
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