Derby County at West Brom

Updated

Derby County

15.0%21.5%63.5%
WinDrawWest Brom Win
0.80Projected Goals 1.90
3Final Score 1

West Bromwich Albion

Last 5 Games

Derby County
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Luton Town+150
T 2-2 at Portsmouth+225
T 0-0 vs Burnley+390
L 0-1 at Swansea City+315
W 0-2 vs Preston North End+115
West Bromwich Albion
Money Line
L 0-2 at Coventry City+235
W 1-2 vs Watford-135
L 1-2 at Bristol City+195
L 1-0 vs Sunderland+125
L 0-1 at Norwich City+265

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+420+323+310+265+336+265+336+297.7
West Brom-160+100-105+105-111+105+105+123.4
Draw+280+230+210+205+228+205+230+232.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+315---+300+355+355+297.7
West Brom-105----125-115-115+123.4
Draw+235---+210+235+235+232.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
West Brom: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
West Brom: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 40.0%
West Brom: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +275 to +265
West Brom ML moved from +100 to -102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
West Brom: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
West Brom: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 60.0%
West Brom: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Derby County ML
No Steam Moves On West Brom ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-110o2-119o2-122o2-119o2-121o2-119o2-119o2-108
Underu2¼-110u2+101u2+102u2-101u2-101u2-101u2+102u2+108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-108
Under-----u2+108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.7%
 
No53.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.75%
Exactly 224.52%
Exactly 414.85%
Exactly 63.60%
Exactly 80.47%
 
Exactly 118.19%
Exactly 322.04%
Exactly 58.01%
Exactly 71.39%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 045.15%
Exactly 135.90%
Exactly 214.27%
Exactly 33.78%
Exactly 40.75%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - West Bromwich Albion
Exactly 014.94%
Exactly 128.41%
Exactly 227.00%
Exactly 317.11%
Exactly 48.13%
Exactly 53.09%
Exactly 60.98%
Exactly 70.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.70%
Exactly 222.36%
Exactly 42.90%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.83%
Exactly 39.30%
Exactly 50.72%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 069.20%
Exactly 125.48%
Exactly 24.69%
Exactly 30.58%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - West Bromwich Albion
Exactly 041.47%
Exactly 136.50%
Exactly 216.06%
Exactly 34.71%
Exactly 41.04%
Exactly 50.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals4.41%
Wins by 3+ goals0.98%
Wins by 4+ goals0.16%
West Bromwich Albion
Wins by 2+ goals38.12%
Wins by 3+ goals18.50%
Wins by 4+ goals7.37%
Wins by 5+ goals2.44%
Wins by 6+ goals0.66%
Wins by 7+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Derby County
West Bromwich Albion
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal10.58%
Wins by 2 goals3.43%
Wins by 3 goals0.81%
Wins by 4 goals0.15%
West Bromwich Albion
Wins by 1 goal25.29%
Wins by 2 goals19.62%
Wins by 3 goals11.12%
Wins by 4 goals4.93%
Wins by 5 goals1.79%
Wins by 6 goals0.54%
Wins by 7 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.25%6.75%
1.575.06%24.94%
2.550.54%49.46%
3.528.50%71.50%
4.513.65%86.35%
5.55.64%94.36%
6.52.04%97.96%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.85%45.15%
1.518.94%81.06%
2.54.67%95.33%

Total Goals West Bromwich Albion Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.06%14.94%
1.556.65%43.35%
2.529.65%70.35%
3.512.55%87.45%
4.54.42%95.58%
5.51.32%98.68%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.30%28.70%
1.535.47%64.53%
2.513.11%86.89%
3.53.81%96.19%

Score Props

Correct Score

Derby County
West Bromwich Albion
Score012345
0
6.75%
12.83%
12.19%
7.72%
3.67%
1.40%
1
5.36%
10.20%
9.69%
6.14%
2.92%
1.11%
2
2.13%
4.05%
3.85%
2.44%
1.16%
0.44%
3
0.57%
1.07%
1.02%
0.65%
0.31%
0.12%
4
0.11%
0.21%
0.20%
0.13%
0.06%
0.02%
Derby County
1-05.36%
2-02.13%
2-14.05%
3-00.57%
3-11.07%
3-21.02%
4-00.11%
4-10.21%
4-20.20%
4-30.13%
Draw
0-06.75%
1-110.20%
2-23.85%
3-30.65%
West Bromwich Albion
0-112.83%
0-212.19%
1-29.69%
0-37.72%
1-36.14%
2-32.44%
0-43.67%
1-42.92%
2-41.16%
3-40.31%
0-51.40%
1-51.11%
2-50.44%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Derby County
West Bromwich Albion
Score012345
0
28.70%
25.26%
11.12%
3.26%
0.72%
0.13%
1
10.57%
9.30%
4.09%
1.20%
0.26%
0.05%
2
1.94%
1.71%
0.75%
0.22%
0.05%
0.01%
3
0.24%
0.21%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Derby County
1-010.57%
2-01.94%
2-11.71%
3-00.24%
3-10.21%
Draw
0-028.70%
1-19.30%
2-20.75%
West Bromwich Albion
0-125.26%
0-211.12%
1-24.09%
0-33.26%
1-31.20%
2-30.22%
0-40.72%
1-40.26%
0-50.13%
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