Burnley at Plymouth Argyle

Updated

Burnley

55.9%23.6%20.5%
Burnley WinDrawPlymouth Argyle Win
1.74Projected Goals 0.95
5Final Score 0

Plymouth Argyle

Last 5 Games

Burnley
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Sunderland+120
W 1-0 at Blackburn+125
T 0-0 vs Stoke City-200
T 0-0 at Middlesbrough+185
W 2-0 at Sheffield United+225
Plymouth Argyle
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Queens Park Rangers+180
T 1-1 vs Oxford United+130
T 0-0 at Stoke City+380
T 2-2 vs Bristol City+330
L 0-2 at Oxford United+310

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley-148-160-165-169-171-169-160-139.0
Plymouth Argyle+444+484+475+450+481+450+484+494.2
Draw+286+294+265+270+289+270+294+299.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley-145----180-170-170-139.0
Plymouth Argyle+425---+400+490+490+494.2
Draw+275---+250+300+300+299.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Plymouth Argyle: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 0.0%
Plymouth Argyle: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 0.0%
Plymouth Argyle: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Burnley ML moved from -179 to -185
Plymouth Argyle ML moved from +491 to +484

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Plymouth Argyle: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 0.0%
Plymouth Argyle: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 0.0%
Plymouth Argyle: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Burnley ML moved from -145 to -160
No Steam Moves On Plymouth Argyle ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+101o2½+114o2¼-115o2¼-111o2¼-111o2¼-111o2¼-111o2¼-101
Underu2½-119u2½-134u2¼-105u2¼-109u2¼-109u2¼-109u2½-134u2¼+101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-101
Under-----u2¼+101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-117 to u2¼-103

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.6%
 
No49.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.77%
Exactly 224.54%
Exactly 414.83%
Exactly 63.58%
Exactly 80.46%
 
Exactly 118.23%
Exactly 322.03%
Exactly 57.98%
Exactly 71.38%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 017.56%
Exactly 130.55%
Exactly 226.57%
Exactly 315.41%
Exactly 46.70%
Exactly 52.33%
Exactly 60.68%
Exactly 70.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Plymouth Argyle
Exactly 038.56%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.51%
Exactly 35.56%
Exactly 41.32%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.75%
Exactly 222.34%
Exactly 42.89%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.84%
Exactly 39.28%
Exactly 50.72%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 044.69%
Exactly 135.99%
Exactly 214.50%
Exactly 33.89%
Exactly 40.78%
Exactly 50.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Plymouth Argyle
Exactly 064.33%
Exactly 128.38%
Exactly 26.26%
Exactly 30.92%
Exactly 40.10%

Alternate Props

Spread

Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals31.20%
Wins by 3+ goals13.98%
Wins by 4+ goals5.13%
Wins by 5+ goals1.56%
Plymouth Argyle
Wins by 2+ goals6.97%
Wins by 3+ goals1.80%
Wins by 4+ goals0.35%

Exact Winning Margin

Burnley
Plymouth Argyle
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal24.64%
Wins by 2 goals17.22%
Wins by 3 goals8.85%
Wins by 4 goals3.57%
Wins by 5 goals1.18%
Plymouth Argyle
Wins by 1 goal13.50%
Wins by 2 goals5.16%
Wins by 3 goals1.45%
Wins by 4 goals0.31%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.23%6.77%
1.575.00%25.00%
2.550.45%49.55%
3.528.43%71.57%
4.513.60%86.40%
5.55.61%94.39%
6.52.03%97.97%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.44%17.56%
1.551.90%48.10%
2.525.33%74.67%
3.59.92%90.08%
4.53.22%96.78%

Total Goals Plymouth Argyle Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.44%38.56%
1.524.69%75.31%
2.57.18%92.82%
3.51.62%98.38%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.25%28.75%
1.535.42%64.58%
2.513.08%86.92%
3.53.80%96.20%

Score Props

Correct Score

Burnley
Plymouth Argyle
Score01234
0
6.77%
6.45%
3.07%
0.98%
0.23%
1
11.78%
11.22%
5.35%
1.70%
0.40%
2
10.25%
9.76%
4.65%
1.48%
0.35%
3
5.94%
5.66%
2.70%
0.86%
0.20%
4
2.58%
2.46%
1.17%
0.37%
0.09%
5
0.90%
0.86%
0.41%
0.13%
0.03%
Burnley
1-011.78%
2-010.25%
2-19.76%
3-05.94%
3-15.66%
3-22.70%
4-02.58%
4-12.46%
4-21.17%
4-30.37%
5-00.90%
5-10.86%
5-20.41%
5-30.13%
Draw
0-06.77%
1-111.22%
2-24.65%
3-30.86%
Plymouth Argyle
0-16.45%
0-23.07%
1-25.35%
0-30.98%
1-31.70%
2-31.48%
0-40.23%
1-40.40%
2-40.35%
3-40.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Burnley
Plymouth Argyle
Score0123
0
28.75%
12.68%
2.80%
0.41%
1
23.15%
10.22%
2.25%
0.33%
2
9.32%
4.11%
0.91%
0.13%
3
2.50%
1.10%
0.24%
0.04%
4
0.50%
0.22%
0.05%
0.01%
Burnley
1-023.15%
2-09.32%
2-14.11%
3-02.50%
3-11.10%
3-20.24%
4-00.50%
4-10.22%
Draw
0-028.75%
1-110.22%
2-20.91%
Plymouth Argyle
0-112.68%
0-22.80%
1-22.25%
0-30.41%
1-30.33%
2-30.13%