Watford at Stoke City

Updated

Watford

35.3%27.9%36.8%
Watford WinDrawStoke City Win
1.16Projected Goals 1.20
1Final Score 3

Stoke City

Last 5 Games

Watford
Money Line
T 1-1 at Sheffield Wednesday-260
W 2-1 at Bristol City+185
L 2-0 vs Ipswich Town+230
W 0-2 vs Derby County+115
T 2-2 at Preston North End+155
Stoke City
Money Line
T 3-3 vs Ipswich Town+425
L 0-2 at Swansea City+315
L 1-2 at Coventry City+485
W 1-2 vs Oxford United-115
T 2-2 vs Leicester City+145

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+151+164+157+160+160+160+164+169.3
Stoke City+176+176+167+180+180+180+180+190.0
Draw+210+225+212+240+240+240+240+252.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+170----+160+160+169.3
Stoke City+160----+180+180+190.0
Draw+240----+225+225+252.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 0.0%
Stoke City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Watford: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +162 to +156
Stoke City ML moved from +184 to +178

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 0.0%
Stoke City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Watford: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Watford ML
No Steam Moves On Stoke City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-115o2¼-111o2¼-115o2¼-113o2¼-113o2¼-113o2¼-111o2¼-103
Underu2¼-105u2¼-101u2¼-105u2¼-107u2¼-107u2¼-107u2¼-101u2¼+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-103
Under-----u2¼+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.1%
 
No51.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.41%
Exactly 226.28%
Exactly 412.23%
Exactly 62.28%
Exactly 80.23%
 
Exactly 122.24%
Exactly 320.70%
Exactly 55.78%
Exactly 70.77%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 031.17%
Exactly 136.34%
Exactly 221.18%
Exactly 38.23%
Exactly 42.40%
Exactly 50.56%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 030.19%
Exactly 136.16%
Exactly 221.65%
Exactly 38.65%
Exactly 42.59%
Exactly 50.62%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.48%
Exactly 220.04%
Exactly 42.00%
 
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 37.31%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 058.29%
Exactly 131.46%
Exactly 28.49%
Exactly 31.53%
Exactly 40.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 057.43%
Exactly 131.85%
Exactly 28.83%
Exactly 31.63%
Exactly 40.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

Watford
Wins by 2+ goals14.61%
Wins by 3+ goals4.67%
Wins by 4+ goals1.19%
Wins by 5+ goals0.24%
Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals15.61%
Wins by 3+ goals5.11%
Wins by 4+ goals1.34%
Wins by 5+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Watford
Stoke City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Watford
Wins by 1 goal20.63%
Wins by 2 goals9.94%
Wins by 3 goals3.48%
Wins by 4 goals0.95%
Wins by 5 goals0.21%
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal21.20%
Wins by 2 goals10.49%
Wins by 3 goals3.78%
Wins by 4 goals1.06%
Wins by 5 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.59%9.41%
1.568.35%31.65%
2.542.07%57.93%
3.521.37%78.63%
4.59.13%90.87%
5.53.35%96.65%
6.51.07%98.93%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.83%31.17%
1.532.49%67.51%
2.511.32%88.68%
3.53.09%96.91%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.81%30.19%
1.533.66%66.34%
2.512.00%88.00%
3.53.36%96.64%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.52%33.48%
1.529.89%70.11%
2.59.84%90.16%
3.52.53%97.47%

Score Props

Correct Score

Watford
Stoke City
Score012345
0
9.41%
11.27%
6.75%
2.69%
0.81%
0.19%
1
10.97%
13.14%
7.87%
3.14%
0.94%
0.23%
2
6.39%
7.66%
4.59%
1.83%
0.55%
0.13%
3
2.48%
2.98%
1.78%
0.71%
0.21%
0.05%
4
0.72%
0.87%
0.52%
0.21%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.17%
0.20%
0.12%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Watford
1-010.97%
2-06.39%
2-17.66%
3-02.48%
3-12.98%
3-21.78%
4-00.72%
4-10.87%
4-20.52%
4-30.21%
5-00.17%
5-10.20%
5-20.12%
Draw
0-09.41%
1-113.14%
2-24.59%
3-30.71%
Stoke City
0-111.27%
0-26.75%
1-27.87%
0-32.69%
1-33.14%
2-31.83%
0-40.81%
1-40.94%
2-40.55%
3-40.21%
0-50.19%
1-50.23%
2-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Watford
Stoke City
Score01234
0
33.48%
18.57%
5.15%
0.95%
0.13%
1
18.07%
10.02%
2.78%
0.51%
0.07%
2
4.88%
2.70%
0.75%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.88%
0.49%
0.13%
0.02%
0.00%
4
0.12%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Watford
1-018.07%
2-04.88%
2-12.70%
3-00.88%
3-10.49%
3-20.13%
4-00.12%
Draw
0-033.48%
1-110.02%
2-20.75%
Stoke City
0-118.57%
0-25.15%
1-22.78%
0-30.95%
1-30.51%
2-30.14%
0-40.13%
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