Derby County at Bournemouth

Updated

Derby County

8.3%15.8%75.9%
WinDrawBournemouth Win
0.65Projected Goals 2.37
0Final Score 2

Bournemouth

Last 5 Games

Derby County
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Barnsley+105
L 0-1 at Cardiff City+310
L 0-1 at Luton Town+370
L 2-1 vs Millwall+185
W 0-1 vs Peterborough United-120
Bournemouth
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Peterborough United-375
L 1-2 at Preston North End+125
W 1-2 vs Stoke City-150
W 2-1 at Blackpool-110
W 1-3 vs Birmingham City-225

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+400+425+400+512+449+400+512+504.9
Bournemouth-150-160-159-158-165-159-158-145.4
Draw+260+280+275+295+297+275+297+313.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+515---+475+505+505+504.9
Bournemouth-165----200-175-175-145.4
Draw+275---+250+300+300+313.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bournemouth: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Bournemouth: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 10.0%
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +463 to +449
Bournemouth ML moved from -175 to -182

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bournemouth: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Bournemouth: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 10.0%
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +515 to +505
Bournemouth ML moved from -165 to -175

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-110o2½-105o2½-106o2½-102-o2½-106o2½-102o2½+104
Underu2¼-110u2½-115u2½-114u2½-113-u2½-114u2½-113u2½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+104
Under-----u2½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-117 to o2½+101
The Under moved from u2½-122 to u2¼-104

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.1%
 
No56.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.90%
Exactly 222.29%
Exactly 416.89%
Exactly 65.12%
Exactly 80.83%
 
Exactly 114.79%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.18%
Exactly 72.20%
Exactly 90.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 052.43%
Exactly 133.85%
Exactly 210.93%
Exactly 32.35%
Exactly 40.38%
Exact Goals Scored - Bournemouth
Exactly 09.35%
Exactly 122.16%
Exactly 226.26%
Exactly 320.74%
Exactly 412.28%
Exactly 55.82%
Exactly 62.30%
Exactly 70.78%
Exactly 80.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.76%
Exactly 224.13%
Exactly 43.92%
Exactly 60.25%
 
Exactly 134.56%
Exactly 311.23%
Exactly 51.09%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 074.16%
Exactly 122.17%
Exactly 23.31%
Exactly 30.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bournemouth
Exactly 033.38%
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 220.09%
Exactly 37.35%
Exactly 42.02%
Exactly 50.44%

Alternate Props

Spread

Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals1.98%
Wins by 3+ goals0.34%
Bournemouth
Wins by 2+ goals52.70%
Wins by 3+ goals30.43%
Wins by 4+ goals14.70%
Wins by 5+ goals6.02%
Wins by 6+ goals2.10%
Wins by 7+ goals0.61%
Wins by 8+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Derby County
Bournemouth
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal6.28%
Wins by 2 goals1.64%
Wins by 3 goals0.30%
Bournemouth
Wins by 1 goal23.09%
Wins by 2 goals22.27%
Wins by 3 goals15.72%
Wins by 4 goals8.68%
Wins by 5 goals3.92%
Wins by 6 goals1.49%
Wins by 7 goals0.49%
Wins by 8 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.10%4.90%
1.580.31%19.69%
2.558.02%41.98%
3.535.62%64.38%
4.518.73%81.27%
5.58.55%91.45%
6.53.43%96.57%
7.51.22%98.78%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.547.57%52.43%
1.513.72%86.28%
2.52.79%97.21%

Total Goals Bournemouth Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.65%9.35%
1.568.49%31.51%
2.542.23%57.77%
3.521.49%78.51%
4.59.21%90.79%
5.53.39%96.61%
6.51.09%98.91%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.24%24.76%
1.540.68%59.32%
2.516.55%83.45%
3.55.33%94.67%
4.51.41%98.59%

Score Props

Correct Score

Derby County
Bournemouth
Score012345
0
4.90%
11.62%
13.77%
10.87%
6.44%
3.05%
1
3.17%
7.50%
8.89%
7.02%
4.16%
1.97%
2
1.02%
2.42%
2.87%
2.27%
1.34%
0.64%
3
0.22%
0.52%
0.62%
0.49%
0.29%
0.14%
Derby County
1-03.17%
2-01.02%
2-12.42%
3-00.22%
3-10.52%
3-20.62%
Draw
0-04.90%
1-17.50%
2-22.87%
3-30.49%
Bournemouth
0-111.62%
0-213.77%
1-28.89%
0-310.87%
1-37.02%
2-32.27%
0-46.44%
1-44.16%
2-41.34%
3-40.29%
0-53.05%
1-51.97%
2-50.64%
3-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Derby County
Bournemouth
Score012345
0
24.76%
27.16%
14.90%
5.45%
1.49%
0.33%
1
7.40%
8.12%
4.45%
1.63%
0.45%
0.10%
2
1.11%
1.21%
0.67%
0.24%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.11%
0.12%
0.07%
0.02%
0.01%
0.00%
Derby County
1-07.40%
2-01.11%
2-11.21%
3-00.11%
3-10.12%
Draw
0-024.76%
1-18.12%
2-20.67%
Bournemouth
0-127.16%
0-214.90%
1-24.45%
0-35.45%
1-31.63%
2-30.24%
0-41.49%
1-40.45%
0-50.33%