Nott'ham Forest at Derby County

Updated

Nottingham Forest

34.0%30.1%35.9%
Nott'ham Forest WinDrawDerby County Win
1.01Projected Goals 1.07
1Final Score 1

Derby County

Last 2 Games

Nottingham Forest
Money Line
W 1-0 at Rotherham United+170
W 0-1 vs Blackburn+165
Derby County
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Huddersfield+115
L 1-2 at Watford+400

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nott'ham Forest+185+202+205+193+198+193+205-
Derby County+145+163+160+156+159+156+163-
Draw+230+188+195+188+196+188+196-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nott'ham Forest+205---+175+210+210-
Derby County+155---+140+160+160-
Draw+205---+185+190+190-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nott'ham Forest: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nott'ham Forest: 50.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nott'ham Forest: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nott'ham Forest ML moved from +206 to +198
Derby County ML moved from +163 to +157

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nott'ham Forest: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nott'ham Forest: 50.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nott'ham Forest: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nott'ham Forest ML moved from +205 to +195
Derby County ML moved from +170 to +160

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-145o2-102o2+105o2+102-o2+102o2+105-
Underu2+115u2-119u2-125u2-122-u2-122u2-119-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.8%
 
No58.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 012.47%
Exactly 227.02%
Exactly 49.76%
Exactly 61.41%
Exactly 80.11%
 
Exactly 125.97%
Exactly 318.75%
Exactly 54.06%
Exactly 70.42%
Exact Goals Scored - Nottingham Forest
Exactly 036.31%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.63%
Exactly 36.29%
Exactly 41.59%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 034.36%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 219.61%
Exactly 36.98%
Exactly 41.86%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 038.15%
Exactly 217.71%
Exactly 41.37%
 
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 35.69%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nottingham Forest
Exactly 062.56%
Exactly 129.35%
Exactly 26.88%
Exactly 31.08%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 060.98%
Exactly 130.16%
Exactly 27.46%
Exactly 31.23%
Exactly 40.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Nottingham Forest
Wins by 2+ goals12.64%
Wins by 3+ goals3.59%
Wins by 4+ goals0.78%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%
Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals14.32%
Wins by 3+ goals4.26%
Wins by 4+ goals0.97%
Wins by 5+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Nottingham Forest
Derby County
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Nottingham Forest
Wins by 1 goal20.83%
Wins by 2 goals9.05%
Wins by 3 goals2.81%
Wins by 4 goals0.67%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal21.96%
Wins by 2 goals10.06%
Wins by 3 goals3.30%
Wins by 4 goals0.82%
Wins by 5 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.53%12.47%
1.561.56%38.44%
2.534.54%65.46%
3.515.79%84.21%
4.56.03%93.97%
5.51.97%98.03%

Total Goals Nottingham Forest Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.69%36.31%
1.526.91%73.09%
2.58.27%91.73%
3.51.98%98.02%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.64%34.36%
1.528.94%71.06%
2.59.33%90.67%
3.52.35%97.65%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.85%38.15%
1.525.09%74.91%
2.57.38%92.62%
3.51.68%98.32%

Score Props

Correct Score

Nott'ham Forest
Derby County
Score012345
0
12.47%
13.33%
7.12%
2.53%
0.68%
0.14%
1
12.64%
13.50%
7.21%
2.57%
0.69%
0.15%
2
6.40%
6.84%
3.65%
1.30%
0.35%
0.07%
3
2.16%
2.31%
1.23%
0.44%
0.12%
0.03%
4
0.55%
0.59%
0.31%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
5
0.11%
0.12%
0.06%
0.02%
0.01%
0.00%
Nottingham Forest
1-012.64%
2-06.40%
2-16.84%
3-02.16%
3-12.31%
3-21.23%
4-00.55%
4-10.59%
4-20.31%
4-30.11%
5-00.11%
5-10.12%
Draw
0-012.47%
1-113.50%
2-23.65%
3-30.44%
Derby County
0-113.33%
0-27.12%
1-27.21%
0-32.53%
1-32.57%
2-31.30%
0-40.68%
1-40.69%
2-40.35%
3-40.12%
0-50.14%
1-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Nott'ham Forest
Derby County
Score0123
0
38.15%
18.87%
4.67%
0.77%
1
17.89%
8.85%
2.19%
0.36%
2
4.20%
2.08%
0.51%
0.08%
3
0.66%
0.32%
0.08%
0.01%
Nottingham Forest
1-017.89%
2-04.20%
2-12.08%
3-00.66%
3-10.32%
Draw
0-038.15%
1-18.85%
2-20.51%
Derby County
0-118.87%
0-24.67%
1-22.19%
0-30.77%
1-30.36%