Stoke City at Millwall

Updated

Stoke City

22.4%25.8%51.8%
Stoke City WinDrawMillwall Win
0.91Projected Goals 1.53
0Final Score 2

Millwall

Last 5 Games

Stoke City
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Wrexham+115
T 1-1 at Blackburn+170
T 0-0 at Middlesbrough+315
T 1-1 vs Norwich City-105
L 0-1 at Queens Park Rangers+145
Millwall
Money Line
W 2-1 at Queens Park Rangers+180
W 0-3 vs West Bromwich Albion+190
L 4-0 vs Coventry City+220
T 1-1 at Swansea City+250
W 0-1 vs Watford-105

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+205+203+195+180+180+180+210+202.2
Millwall+146+148+135+147+147+147+147+166.6
Draw+228+226+212+215+215+215+226+240.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+240---+200+210+210+202.2
Millwall+125---+115+140+140+166.6
Draw+220---+200+220+220+240.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Millwall: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 20.0%
Millwall: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +210 to +203
Millwall ML moved from +135 to +128

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Millwall: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 20.0%
Millwall: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +230 to +215
No Steam Moves On Millwall ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+124o2-143o2¼-102o2¼+100o2¼+100o2¼+100o2-143o2¼+109
Underu2½-146u2+121u2¼-118u2¼-120u2¼-120u2¼-120u2¼-118u2¼-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+109
Under-----u2¼-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.7%
 
No53.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.75%
Exactly 225.96%
Exactly 412.84%
Exactly 62.54%
Exactly 80.27%
 
Exactly 121.31%
Exactly 321.08%
Exactly 56.26%
Exactly 70.88%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 040.36%
Exactly 136.62%
Exactly 216.62%
Exactly 35.03%
Exactly 41.14%
Exactly 50.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 021.68%
Exactly 133.14%
Exactly 225.34%
Exactly 312.91%
Exactly 44.93%
Exactly 51.51%
Exactly 60.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.37%
Exactly 220.59%
Exactly 42.18%
 
Exactly 136.51%
Exactly 37.74%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 065.70%
Exactly 127.60%
Exactly 25.80%
Exactly 30.81%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 049.27%
Exactly 134.88%
Exactly 212.34%
Exactly 32.91%
Exactly 40.52%

Alternate Props

Spread

Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals7.46%
Wins by 3+ goals1.88%
Wins by 4+ goals0.36%
Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals26.65%
Wins by 3+ goals10.80%
Wins by 4+ goals3.51%
Wins by 5+ goals0.90%
Wins by 6+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Stoke City
Millwall
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal14.88%
Wins by 2 goals5.58%
Wins by 3 goals1.52%
Wins by 4 goals0.32%
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal25.06%
Wins by 2 goals15.85%
Wins by 3 goals7.29%
Wins by 4 goals2.61%
Wins by 5 goals0.75%
Wins by 6 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.25%8.75%
1.569.94%30.06%
2.543.97%56.03%
3.522.89%77.11%
4.510.05%89.95%
5.53.79%96.21%
6.51.25%98.75%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.64%40.36%
1.523.02%76.98%
2.56.41%93.59%
3.51.38%98.62%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.32%21.68%
1.545.18%54.82%
2.519.84%80.16%
3.56.93%93.07%
4.52.00%98.00%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.63%32.37%
1.531.12%68.88%
2.510.53%89.47%
3.52.79%97.21%

Score Props

Correct Score

Stoke City
Millwall
Score012345
0
8.75%
13.38%
10.22%
5.21%
1.99%
0.61%
1
7.94%
12.14%
9.28%
4.73%
1.81%
0.55%
2
3.60%
5.51%
4.21%
2.15%
0.82%
0.25%
3
1.09%
1.67%
1.27%
0.65%
0.25%
0.08%
4
0.25%
0.38%
0.29%
0.15%
0.06%
0.02%
Stoke City
1-07.94%
2-03.60%
2-15.51%
3-01.09%
3-11.67%
3-21.27%
4-00.25%
4-10.38%
4-20.29%
4-30.15%
Draw
0-08.75%
1-112.14%
2-24.21%
3-30.65%
Millwall
0-113.38%
0-210.22%
1-29.28%
0-35.21%
1-34.73%
2-32.15%
0-41.99%
1-41.81%
2-40.82%
3-40.25%
0-50.61%
1-50.55%
2-50.25%

Correct Score - First Half

Stoke City
Millwall
Score01234
0
32.37%
22.91%
8.11%
1.91%
0.34%
1
13.60%
9.63%
3.41%
0.80%
0.14%
2
2.86%
2.02%
0.72%
0.17%
0.03%
3
0.40%
0.28%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-013.60%
2-02.86%
2-12.02%
3-00.40%
3-10.28%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-032.37%
1-19.63%
2-20.72%
Millwall
0-122.91%
0-28.11%
1-23.41%
0-31.91%
1-30.80%
2-30.17%
0-40.34%
1-40.14%
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