Stoke City at Middlesbrough

Updated

Stoke City

16.9%22.0%61.1%
WinDrawMiddlesbrough Win
0.87Projected Goals 1.88
0Final Score 0

Middlesbrough

Last 5 Games

Stoke City
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Norwich City-105
L 0-1 at Queens Park Rangers+145
W 0-1 vs Birmingham City+200
L 1-0 vs West Bromwich Albion+155
W 2-1 at Southampton+330
Middlesbrough
Money Line
T 1-1 at Southampton+195
W 1-2 vs West Bromwich Albion+125
T 2-2 at Preston North End+115
W 0-1 vs Sheffield United+125
W 2-1 at Norwich City+200

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+296+334+310+275+325+275+334+308.5
Middlesbrough-105-114-126-116-120-116-114+102.9
Draw+263+260+250+250+259+250+260+281.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+310---+285+315+315+308.5
Middlesbrough-110----130-110-110+102.9
Draw+255---+230+250+250+281.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 30.0%
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +345 to +334
Middlesbrough ML moved from -122 to -130

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 10.0%
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +310 to +285
Middlesbrough ML moved from -115 to -130

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+104o2½+104o2½-105o2½-107o2½-102o2½-107o2½+104o2½+103
Underu2½-122u2½-122u2½-115u2½-113u2½-118u2½-113u2½-113u2½-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+103
Under-----u2½-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-120 to o2½-102
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.3%
 
No50.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.38%
Exactly 224.16%
Exactly 415.25%
Exactly 63.85%
Exactly 80.52%
 
Exactly 117.55%
Exactly 322.16%
Exactly 58.40%
Exactly 71.51%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 041.83%
Exactly 136.46%
Exactly 215.89%
Exactly 34.62%
Exactly 41.01%
Exactly 50.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Middlesbrough
Exactly 015.25%
Exactly 128.68%
Exactly 226.97%
Exactly 316.91%
Exactly 47.95%
Exactly 52.99%
Exactly 60.94%
Exactly 70.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.96%
Exactly 222.70%
Exactly 43.07%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.63%
Exactly 39.64%
Exactly 50.78%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 066.79%
Exactly 126.96%
Exactly 25.44%
Exactly 30.73%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Middlesbrough
Exactly 041.86%
Exactly 136.45%
Exactly 215.87%
Exactly 34.61%
Exactly 41.00%
Exactly 50.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals5.32%
Wins by 3+ goals1.27%
Wins by 4+ goals0.23%
Middlesbrough
Wins by 2+ goals36.14%
Wins by 3+ goals17.29%
Wins by 4+ goals6.80%
Wins by 5+ goals2.22%
Wins by 6+ goals0.59%
Wins by 7+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Stoke City
Middlesbrough
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal11.54%
Wins by 2 goals4.05%
Wins by 3 goals1.04%
Wins by 4 goals0.20%
Middlesbrough
Wins by 1 goal24.91%
Wins by 2 goals18.85%
Wins by 3 goals10.49%
Wins by 4 goals4.58%
Wins by 5 goals1.63%
Wins by 6 goals0.48%
Wins by 7 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.62%6.38%
1.576.07%23.93%
2.551.91%48.09%
3.529.75%70.25%
4.514.50%85.50%
5.56.10%93.90%
6.52.25%97.75%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.17%41.83%
1.521.72%78.28%
2.55.83%94.17%
3.51.21%98.79%

Total Goals Middlesbrough Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.75%15.25%
1.556.08%43.92%
2.529.11%70.89%
3.512.20%87.80%
4.54.25%95.75%
5.51.26%98.74%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.04%27.96%
1.536.41%63.59%
2.513.70%86.30%
3.54.06%95.94%

Score Props

Correct Score

Stoke City
Middlesbrough
Score012345
0
6.38%
11.99%
11.28%
7.07%
3.32%
1.25%
1
5.56%
10.45%
9.83%
6.16%
2.90%
1.09%
2
2.42%
4.56%
4.28%
2.69%
1.26%
0.48%
3
0.70%
1.32%
1.25%
0.78%
0.37%
0.14%
4
0.15%
0.29%
0.27%
0.17%
0.08%
0.03%
Stoke City
1-05.56%
2-02.42%
2-14.56%
3-00.70%
3-11.32%
3-21.25%
4-00.15%
4-10.29%
4-20.27%
4-30.17%
Draw
0-06.38%
1-110.45%
2-24.28%
3-30.78%
Middlesbrough
0-111.99%
0-211.28%
1-29.83%
0-37.07%
1-36.16%
2-32.69%
0-43.32%
1-42.90%
2-41.26%
3-40.37%
0-51.25%
1-51.09%
2-50.48%
3-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Stoke City
Middlesbrough
Score012345
0
27.96%
24.35%
10.60%
3.08%
0.67%
0.12%
1
11.28%
9.83%
4.28%
1.24%
0.27%
0.05%
2
2.28%
1.98%
0.86%
0.25%
0.05%
0.01%
3
0.31%
0.27%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-011.28%
2-02.28%
2-11.98%
3-00.31%
3-10.27%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-027.96%
1-19.83%
2-20.86%
Middlesbrough
0-124.35%
0-210.60%
1-24.28%
0-33.08%
1-31.24%
2-30.25%
0-40.67%
1-40.27%
0-50.12%