Stoke City at Middlesbrough

Updated

Stoke City

35.7%29.3%35.0%
Stoke City WinDrawMiddlesbrough Win
1.10Projected Goals 1.08
0Final Score 3

Middlesbrough

Last 5 Games

Stoke City
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Wycombe Wanderers-160
L 2-1 vs Swansea City+165
L 1-2 at Brentford+375
L 0-2 at Barnsley+225
W 0-3 vs Luton Town+120
Middlesbrough
Money Line
L 1-2 at Swansea City+215
W 2-1 at Coventry City+160
T 1-1 vs Cardiff City+165
L 3-1 vs Bristol City-160
W 2-0 at Reading+210

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+240+248+245+220+243+220+248-
Middlesbrough+119+129+130+129+130+129+130-
Draw+205+203+200+200+198+200+203-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+230---+230+255+255-
Middlesbrough+110---+110+130+130-
Draw+185---+185+200+200-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 30.0%
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +254 to +243
No Steam Moves On Middlesbrough ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 30.0%
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Stoke City ML
No Steam Moves On Middlesbrough ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-119o2-127o2-120o2-127-o2-127o2-120-
Underu2-101u2+103u2+100u2+107-u2+107u2+107-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.0%
 
No56.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.33%
Exactly 226.87%
Exactly 410.61%
Exactly 61.68%
Exactly 80.14%
 
Exactly 124.68%
Exactly 319.50%
Exactly 54.62%
Exactly 70.52%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 033.27%
Exactly 136.61%
Exactly 220.15%
Exactly 37.39%
Exactly 42.03%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - Middlesbrough
Exactly 034.07%
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 219.75%
Exactly 37.09%
Exactly 41.91%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.49%
Exactly 218.54%
Exactly 41.57%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.23%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 060.07%
Exactly 130.61%
Exactly 27.80%
Exactly 31.32%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Middlesbrough
Exactly 060.74%
Exactly 130.28%
Exactly 27.55%
Exactly 31.25%
Exactly 40.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals14.37%
Wins by 3+ goals4.36%
Wins by 4+ goals1.01%
Wins by 5+ goals0.15%
Middlesbrough
Wins by 2+ goals13.64%
Wins by 3+ goals4.06%
Wins by 4+ goals0.92%
Wins by 5+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Stoke City
Middlesbrough
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal21.48%
Wins by 2 goals10.01%
Wins by 3 goals3.35%
Wins by 4 goals0.86%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%
Middlesbrough
Wins by 1 goal21.01%
Wins by 2 goals9.58%
Wins by 3 goals3.14%
Wins by 4 goals0.79%
Wins by 5 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.67%11.33%
1.563.99%36.01%
2.537.12%62.88%
3.517.62%82.38%
4.57.01%92.99%
5.52.38%97.62%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.73%33.27%
1.530.12%69.88%
2.59.97%90.03%
3.52.58%97.42%

Total Goals Middlesbrough Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.93%34.07%
1.529.24%70.76%
2.59.49%90.51%
3.52.41%97.59%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.51%36.49%
1.526.72%73.28%
2.58.18%91.82%
3.51.95%98.05%

Score Props

Correct Score

Stoke City
Middlesbrough
Score012345
0
11.34%
12.20%
6.57%
2.36%
0.63%
0.14%
1
12.48%
13.43%
7.23%
2.60%
0.70%
0.15%
2
6.87%
7.39%
3.98%
1.43%
0.38%
0.08%
3
2.52%
2.71%
1.46%
0.52%
0.14%
0.03%
4
0.69%
0.75%
0.40%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.15%
0.16%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-012.48%
2-06.87%
2-17.39%
3-02.52%
3-12.71%
3-21.46%
4-00.69%
4-10.75%
4-20.40%
4-30.14%
5-00.15%
5-10.16%
Draw
0-011.34%
1-113.43%
2-23.98%
3-30.52%
Middlesbrough
0-112.20%
0-26.57%
1-27.23%
0-32.36%
1-32.60%
2-31.43%
0-40.63%
1-40.70%
2-40.38%
3-40.14%
0-50.14%
1-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Stoke City
Middlesbrough
Score0123
0
36.49%
18.19%
4.53%
0.75%
1
18.60%
9.27%
2.31%
0.38%
2
4.74%
2.36%
0.59%
0.10%
3
0.80%
0.40%
0.10%
0.02%
4
0.10%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-018.60%
2-04.74%
2-12.36%
3-00.80%
3-10.40%
4-00.10%
Draw
0-036.49%
1-19.27%
2-20.59%
Middlesbrough
0-118.19%
0-24.53%
1-22.31%
0-30.75%
1-30.38%
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