Stoke City at Millwall

Updated

Stoke City

21.3%25.3%53.4%
Stoke City WinDrawMillwall Win
0.89Projected Goals 1.57
0Final Score 1

Millwall

Last 5 Games

Stoke City
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Blackburn+160
L 2-3 at Coventry City+440
T 0-0 vs Watford+155
L 3-1 vs Middlesbrough+225
L 2-4 at Norwich City+395
Millwall
Money Line
L 0-2 at Leeds United+1400
W 2-1 at Watford+270
L 2-0 vs Bristol City+180
W 1-0 at Derby County+235
T 1-1 at Preston North End+235

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+290+245+215+220+257+220+257+245.6
Millwall-105+136+150+140+121+140+150+159.2
Draw+225+206+185+185+205+185+206+207.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+255---+255+270+270+245.6
Millwall-105---+100+120+120+159.2
Draw+200---+190+205+205+207.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Millwall: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 40.0%
Millwall: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +230 to +220
No Steam Moves On Millwall ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Millwall: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 70.0%
Millwall: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +280 to +270
No Steam Moves On Millwall ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-115o2+104o2+102o2+100o2-101o2+100o2+104o2+109
Underu2¼-105u2-122u2-122u2-120u2-121u2-120u2-120u2-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2+109
Under-----u2-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-142 to u2+117

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.7%
 
No53.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.53%
Exactly 225.85%
Exactly 413.05%
Exactly 62.63%
Exactly 80.28%
 
Exactly 121.00%
Exactly 321.20%
Exactly 56.42%
Exactly 70.93%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 041.08%
Exactly 136.55%
Exactly 216.26%
Exactly 34.82%
Exactly 41.07%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 020.77%
Exactly 132.65%
Exactly 225.65%
Exactly 313.44%
Exactly 45.28%
Exactly 51.66%
Exactly 60.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.00%
Exactly 220.77%
Exactly 42.25%
 
Exactly 136.46%
Exactly 37.89%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 066.24%
Exactly 127.29%
Exactly 25.62%
Exactly 30.77%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 048.31%
Exactly 135.15%
Exactly 212.79%
Exactly 33.10%
Exactly 40.56%

Alternate Props

Spread

Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals6.98%
Wins by 3+ goals1.73%
Wins by 4+ goals0.32%
Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals27.99%
Wins by 3+ goals11.60%
Wins by 4+ goals3.86%
Wins by 5+ goals1.02%
Wins by 6+ goals0.18%

Exact Winning Margin

Stoke City
Millwall
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal14.29%
Wins by 2 goals5.25%
Wins by 3 goals1.40%
Wins by 4 goals0.29%
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal25.24%
Wins by 2 goals16.39%
Wins by 3 goals7.74%
Wins by 4 goals2.85%
Wins by 5 goals0.84%
Wins by 6 goals0.18%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.47%8.53%
1.570.46%29.54%
2.544.62%55.38%
3.523.41%76.59%
4.510.37%89.63%
5.53.95%96.05%
6.51.31%98.69%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.92%41.08%
1.522.38%77.62%
2.56.12%93.88%
3.51.30%98.70%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.23%20.77%
1.546.58%53.42%
2.520.93%79.07%
3.57.49%92.51%
4.52.21%97.79%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.00%32.00%
1.531.54%68.46%
2.510.77%89.23%
3.52.88%97.12%

Score Props

Correct Score

Stoke City
Millwall
Score012345
0
8.53%
13.41%
10.54%
5.52%
2.17%
0.68%
1
7.59%
11.93%
9.37%
4.91%
1.93%
0.61%
2
3.38%
5.31%
4.17%
2.18%
0.86%
0.27%
3
1.00%
1.57%
1.24%
0.65%
0.25%
0.08%
4
0.22%
0.35%
0.28%
0.14%
0.06%
0.02%
Stoke City
1-07.59%
2-03.38%
2-15.31%
3-01.00%
3-11.57%
3-21.24%
4-00.22%
4-10.35%
4-20.28%
4-30.14%
Draw
0-08.53%
1-111.93%
2-24.17%
3-30.65%
Millwall
0-113.41%
0-210.54%
1-29.37%
0-35.52%
1-34.91%
2-32.18%
0-42.17%
1-41.93%
2-40.86%
3-40.25%
0-50.68%
1-50.61%
2-50.27%

Correct Score - First Half

Stoke City
Millwall
Score01234
0
32.00%
23.28%
8.47%
2.05%
0.37%
1
13.18%
9.59%
3.49%
0.85%
0.15%
2
2.71%
1.98%
0.72%
0.17%
0.03%
3
0.37%
0.27%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-013.18%
2-02.71%
2-11.98%
3-00.37%
3-10.27%
Draw
0-032.00%
1-19.59%
2-20.72%
Millwall
0-123.28%
0-28.47%
1-23.49%
0-32.05%
1-30.85%
2-30.17%
0-40.37%
1-40.15%
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