Millwall at Watford

Updated

Millwall

28.6%28.4%43.0%
Millwall WinDrawWatford Win
0.97Projected Goals 1.27
2Final Score 1

Watford

Last 5 Games

Millwall
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Bristol City+180
W 1-0 at Derby County+235
T 1-1 at Preston North End+235
T 1-1 vs West Bromwich Albion+180
L 1-5 at Plymouth Argyle+115
Watford
Money Line
T 0-0 at Stoke City+185
W 0-2 vs Luton Town+145
W 1-0 at Middlesbrough+440
L 4-0 vs Leeds United+850
T 2-2 at Sunderland+550

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+210+260+255+240+262+240+262+267.2
Watford+130+127+120+121+118+121+127+138.7
Draw+215+211+190+200+208+200+211+224.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+235---+205+270+270+267.2
Watford+140---+120+120+120+138.7
Draw+200---+190+205+205+224.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Watford: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Millwall: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +269 to +260
Watford ML moved from +131 to +125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Millwall: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 10.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Millwall ML
Watford ML moved from +140 to +120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-122o2+100o2+100o2+104o2+100o2+104o2+104o2+113
Underu2+102u2-118u2-120u2-124u2-122u2-124u2-118u2-113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2+113
Under-----u2-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.7%
 
No55.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.64%
Exactly 226.71%
Exactly 411.17%
Exactly 61.87%
Exactly 80.17%
 
Exactly 123.84%
Exactly 319.95%
Exactly 55.01%
Exactly 70.60%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 037.72%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 217.93%
Exactly 35.83%
Exactly 41.42%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 028.20%
Exactly 135.70%
Exactly 222.59%
Exactly 39.53%
Exactly 43.02%
Exactly 50.76%
Exactly 60.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.44%
Exactly 219.07%
Exactly 41.71%
 
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 36.59%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 063.67%
Exactly 128.74%
Exactly 26.49%
Exactly 30.98%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 055.65%
Exactly 132.61%
Exactly 29.56%
Exactly 31.87%
Exactly 40.27%

Alternate Props

Spread

Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals10.27%
Wins by 3+ goals2.79%
Wins by 4+ goals0.58%
Watford
Wins by 2+ goals19.32%
Wins by 3+ goals6.71%
Wins by 4+ goals1.86%
Wins by 5+ goals0.41%

Exact Winning Margin

Millwall
Watford
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal18.23%
Wins by 2 goals7.48%
Wins by 3 goals2.21%
Wins by 4 goals0.50%
Watford
Wins by 1 goal23.67%
Wins by 2 goals12.61%
Wins by 3 goals4.85%
Wins by 4 goals1.45%
Wins by 5 goals0.35%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.36%10.64%
1.565.52%34.48%
2.538.82%61.18%
3.518.87%81.13%
4.57.70%92.30%
5.52.69%97.31%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.28%37.72%
1.525.50%74.50%
2.57.58%92.42%
3.51.75%98.25%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.80%28.20%
1.536.10%63.90%
2.513.51%86.49%
3.53.97%96.03%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.56%35.44%
1.527.80%72.20%
2.58.73%91.27%
3.52.14%97.86%

Score Props

Correct Score

Millwall
Watford
Score012345
0
10.64%
13.47%
8.52%
3.60%
1.14%
0.29%
1
10.37%
13.13%
8.31%
3.51%
1.11%
0.28%
2
5.06%
6.40%
4.05%
1.71%
0.54%
0.14%
3
1.64%
2.08%
1.32%
0.56%
0.18%
0.04%
4
0.40%
0.51%
0.32%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
Millwall
1-010.37%
2-05.06%
2-16.40%
3-01.64%
3-12.08%
3-21.32%
4-00.40%
4-10.51%
4-20.32%
4-30.14%
Draw
0-010.64%
1-113.13%
2-24.05%
3-30.56%
Watford
0-113.47%
0-28.52%
1-28.31%
0-33.60%
1-33.51%
2-31.71%
0-41.14%
1-41.11%
2-40.54%
3-40.18%
0-50.29%
1-50.28%
2-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Millwall
Watford
Score01234
0
35.44%
20.77%
6.08%
1.19%
0.17%
1
16.00%
9.37%
2.75%
0.54%
0.08%
2
3.61%
2.12%
0.62%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.54%
0.32%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Millwall
1-016.00%
2-03.61%
2-12.12%
3-00.54%
3-10.32%
Draw
0-035.44%
1-19.37%
2-20.62%
Watford
0-120.77%
0-26.08%
1-22.75%
0-31.19%
1-30.54%
2-30.12%
0-40.17%
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