Luton Town at Watford

Updated

Luton Town

29.3%28.2%42.5%
Luton Town WinDrawWatford Win
1.01Projected Goals 1.27
0Final Score 2

Watford

Last 5 Games

Luton Town
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Plymouth Argyle-135
L 1-0 vs Sheffield United+235
L 0-2 at Sunderland+675
T 1-1 at Sheffield Wednesday+300
L 1-0 vs Millwall+120
Watford
Money Line
W 1-0 at Middlesbrough+440
L 4-0 vs Leeds United+850
T 2-2 at Sunderland+550
L 1-0 vs Norwich City+170
L 1-2 at Coventry City+365

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Luton Town+194+218+205+192+211+192+218+213.9
Watford+139+137+140+138+133+138+140+155.9
Draw+255+228+200+220+224+220+228+244.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Luton Town+190---+175+210+210+213.9
Watford+135---+125+145+145+155.9
Draw+255---+215+215+215+244.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Luton Town: 0.0%
Watford: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Luton Town: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Luton Town: 10.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Luton Town ML moved from +226 to +218
Watford ML moved from +142 to +136

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Luton Town: 0.0%
Watford: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Luton Town: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Luton Town: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Luton Town ML
No Steam Moves On Watford ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+103o2½+123o2¼-105o2¼-107o2¼-105o2¼-107o2¼-105o2¼+103
Underu2½-121u2½-145u2¼-115u2¼-113u2¼-115u2¼-113u2½-145u2¼-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+103
Under-----u2¼-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.8%
 
No54.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.20%
Exactly 226.58%
Exactly 411.54%
Exactly 62.00%
Exactly 80.19%
 
Exactly 123.29%
Exactly 320.22%
Exactly 55.27%
Exactly 70.65%
Exact Goals Scored - Luton Town
Exactly 036.49%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.55%
Exactly 36.23%
Exactly 41.57%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 027.96%
Exactly 135.63%
Exactly 222.70%
Exactly 39.64%
Exactly 43.07%
Exactly 50.78%
Exactly 60.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.76%
Exactly 219.41%
Exactly 41.81%
 
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 36.84%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Luton Town
Exactly 062.70%
Exactly 129.27%
Exactly 26.83%
Exactly 31.06%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 055.43%
Exactly 132.71%
Exactly 29.65%
Exactly 31.90%
Exactly 40.28%

Alternate Props

Spread

Luton Town
Wins by 2+ goals10.81%
Wins by 3+ goals3.02%
Wins by 4+ goals0.64%
Watford
Wins by 2+ goals19.11%
Wins by 3+ goals6.65%
Wins by 4+ goals1.85%
Wins by 5+ goals0.41%

Exact Winning Margin

Luton Town
Watford
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Luton Town
Wins by 1 goal18.47%
Wins by 2 goals7.79%
Wins by 3 goals2.37%
Wins by 4 goals0.55%
Watford
Wins by 1 goal23.35%
Wins by 2 goals12.45%
Wins by 3 goals4.80%
Wins by 4 goals1.44%
Wins by 5 goals0.35%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.80%10.20%
1.566.51%33.49%
2.539.93%60.07%
3.519.71%80.29%
4.58.17%91.83%
5.52.90%97.10%

Total Goals Luton Town Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.51%36.49%
1.526.73%73.27%
2.58.18%91.82%
3.51.95%98.05%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.04%27.96%
1.536.41%63.59%
2.513.70%86.30%
3.54.06%95.94%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.24%34.76%
1.528.51%71.49%
2.59.10%90.90%
3.52.27%97.73%

Score Props

Correct Score

Luton Town
Watford
Score012345
0
10.20%
13.00%
8.28%
3.52%
1.12%
0.29%
1
10.29%
13.11%
8.35%
3.55%
1.13%
0.29%
2
5.19%
6.61%
4.21%
1.79%
0.57%
0.15%
3
1.74%
2.22%
1.42%
0.60%
0.19%
0.05%
4
0.44%
0.56%
0.36%
0.15%
0.05%
0.01%
Luton Town
1-010.29%
2-05.19%
2-16.61%
3-01.74%
3-12.22%
3-21.42%
4-00.44%
4-10.56%
4-20.36%
4-30.15%
Draw
0-010.20%
1-113.11%
2-24.21%
3-30.60%
Watford
0-113.00%
0-28.28%
1-28.35%
0-33.52%
1-33.55%
2-31.79%
0-41.12%
1-41.13%
2-40.57%
3-40.19%
0-50.29%
1-50.29%
2-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Luton Town
Watford
Score01234
0
34.76%
20.51%
6.05%
1.19%
0.18%
1
16.22%
9.57%
2.82%
0.56%
0.08%
2
3.79%
2.23%
0.66%
0.13%
0.02%
3
0.59%
0.35%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Luton Town
1-016.22%
2-03.79%
2-12.23%
3-00.59%
3-10.35%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-034.76%
1-19.57%
2-20.66%
Watford
0-120.51%
0-26.05%
1-22.82%
0-31.19%
1-30.56%
2-30.13%
0-40.18%
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