Millwall at Plymouth Argyle

Updated

Millwall

40.4%27.9%31.7%
Millwall WinDrawPlymouth Argyle Win
1.26Projected Goals 1.08
1Final Score 5

Plymouth Argyle

Last 5 Games

Millwall
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Queens Park Rangers+135
W 1-0 at Portsmouth+240
W 1-0 at Luton Town+260
T 2-2 vs Cardiff City+125
L 1-0 vs Hull City+120
Plymouth Argyle
Money Line
W 1-2 vs West Bromwich Albion+390
T 2-2 at Sunderland+1200
L 5-0 vs Burnley+490
L 1-0 vs Queens Park Rangers+180
T 1-1 vs Oxford United+130

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+120-+125+123+117+123+125+141.0
Plymouth Argyle+255-+255+245+264+245+264+272.9
Draw+200-+185+192+208+192+208+215.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+120---+110+115+115+141.0
Plymouth Argyle+255---+230+280+280+272.9
Draw+220---+190+210+210+215.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Plymouth Argyle: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Plymouth Argyle: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 0.0%
Plymouth Argyle: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +135 to +129
Plymouth Argyle ML moved from +230 to +220

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Plymouth Argyle: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Plymouth Argyle: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 0.0%
Plymouth Argyle: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +120 to +110
Plymouth Argyle ML moved from +245 to +235

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-130-o2+105o1¾-120o1¾-126o1¾-120o1¾-120o1¾-109
Underu2+110-u2-125u1¾+100u1¾+104u1¾+100u2-125u1¾+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o1¾-109
Under-----u1¾+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.4%
 
No52.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.60%
Exactly 226.36%
Exactly 412.06%
Exactly 62.21%
Exactly 80.22%
 
Exactly 122.50%
Exactly 320.59%
Exactly 55.65%
Exactly 70.74%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 028.37%
Exactly 135.74%
Exactly 222.52%
Exactly 39.46%
Exactly 42.98%
Exactly 50.75%
Exactly 60.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Plymouth Argyle
Exactly 033.86%
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 219.86%
Exactly 37.17%
Exactly 41.94%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.80%
Exactly 219.89%
Exactly 41.95%
 
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 37.19%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 055.80%
Exactly 132.55%
Exactly 29.49%
Exactly 31.85%
Exactly 40.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Plymouth Argyle
Exactly 060.56%
Exactly 130.37%
Exactly 27.61%
Exactly 31.27%
Exactly 40.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals17.87%
Wins by 3+ goals6.13%
Wins by 4+ goals1.68%
Wins by 5+ goals0.37%
Plymouth Argyle
Wins by 2+ goals12.31%
Wins by 3+ goals3.64%
Wins by 4+ goals0.82%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Millwall
Plymouth Argyle
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal22.46%
Wins by 2 goals11.74%
Wins by 3 goals4.45%
Wins by 4 goals1.31%
Wins by 5 goals0.31%
Plymouth Argyle
Wins by 1 goal19.31%
Wins by 2 goals8.67%
Wins by 3 goals2.82%
Wins by 4 goals0.70%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.40%9.60%
1.567.89%32.11%
2.541.53%58.47%
3.520.95%79.05%
4.58.89%91.11%
5.53.23%96.77%
6.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.63%28.37%
1.535.89%64.11%
2.513.38%86.62%
3.53.92%96.08%

Total Goals Plymouth Argyle Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.14%33.86%
1.529.48%70.52%
2.59.62%90.38%
3.52.45%97.55%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.20%33.80%
1.529.54%70.46%
2.59.65%90.35%
3.52.46%97.54%

Score Props

Correct Score

Millwall
Plymouth Argyle
Score012345
0
9.60%
10.40%
5.63%
2.03%
0.55%
0.12%
1
12.10%
13.11%
7.10%
2.56%
0.69%
0.15%
2
7.62%
8.26%
4.47%
1.61%
0.44%
0.09%
3
3.20%
3.47%
1.88%
0.68%
0.18%
0.04%
4
1.01%
1.09%
0.59%
0.21%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.25%
0.28%
0.15%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Millwall
1-012.10%
2-07.62%
2-18.26%
3-03.20%
3-13.47%
3-21.88%
4-01.01%
4-11.09%
4-20.59%
4-30.21%
5-00.25%
5-10.28%
5-20.15%
Draw
0-09.60%
1-113.11%
2-24.47%
3-30.68%
Plymouth Argyle
0-110.40%
0-25.63%
1-27.10%
0-32.03%
1-32.56%
2-31.61%
0-40.55%
1-40.69%
2-40.44%
3-40.18%
0-50.12%
1-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Millwall
Plymouth Argyle
Score0123
0
33.80%
16.95%
4.25%
0.71%
1
19.72%
9.89%
2.48%
0.41%
2
5.75%
2.88%
0.72%
0.12%
3
1.12%
0.56%
0.14%
0.02%
4
0.16%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Millwall
1-019.72%
2-05.75%
2-12.88%
3-01.12%
3-10.56%
3-20.14%
4-00.16%
Draw
0-033.80%
1-19.89%
2-20.72%
Plymouth Argyle
0-116.95%
0-24.25%
1-22.48%
0-30.71%
1-30.41%
2-30.12%