Manchester City at Brighton

Updated

Manchester City

70.5%13.8%15.7%
Manchester City WinDrawWin
2.52Projected Goals 0.56
2Final Score 3

Brighton and Hove Albion

Last 5 Games

Manchester City
Money Line
W 4-3 at Newcastle United-300
L 2-1 vs Chelsea+105
W 2-0 at Crystal Palace-300
W 2-1 at Aston Villa-300
L 2-1 vs Leeds United-270
Brighton and Hove Albion
Money Line
T 1-1 vs West Ham United+242
L 1-2 at Wolverhampton+115
W 0-2 vs Leeds United+105
L 0-1 at Sheffield United-176
T 0-0 at Chelsea+460

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-193--225-225-231-225-225-
Brighton+523-+650+650+606+650+650-
Draw+316-+355+380+355+377+377-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-205--230--260-225-225-
Brighton+575-+625-+550+625+625-
Draw+335-+360-+290+360+360-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 0.0%
Brighton: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -231 to -243
Brighton ML moved from +670 to +650

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 0.0%
Brighton: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -240 to -260
Brighton ML moved from +575 to +560

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-110-o2½-130o2¾-108-o2¾-108o2½-130-
Underu2½-110-u2½+110u2¾-112-u2¾-112u2¾-112-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-125o2½-130o2½-130-o2½-140o2½-130o2½-130-
Underu2½+105u2½+110u2½+110-u2½+110u2½+110u2½+110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes39.5%
 
No60.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.60%
Exactly 221.81%
Exactly 417.23%
Exactly 65.44%
Exactly 80.92%
 
Exactly 114.17%
Exactly 322.38%
Exactly 510.61%
Exactly 72.39%
Exactly 90.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 08.06%
Exactly 120.30%
Exactly 225.56%
Exactly 321.45%
Exactly 413.50%
Exactly 56.80%
Exactly 62.85%
Exactly 71.03%
Exactly 80.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 057.08%
Exactly 132.01%
Exactly 28.97%
Exactly 31.68%
Exactly 40.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.04%
Exactly 224.42%
Exactly 44.14%
Exactly 60.28%
 
Exactly 134.27%
Exactly 311.61%
Exactly 51.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 031.17%
Exactly 136.33%
Exactly 221.18%
Exactly 38.23%
Exactly 42.40%
Exactly 50.56%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 077.13%
Exactly 120.03%
Exactly 22.60%
Exactly 30.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals57.93%
Wins by 3+ goals35.14%
Wins by 4+ goals17.91%
Wins by 5+ goals7.75%
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 2+ goals1.33%
Wins by 3+ goals0.20%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester City
Brighton and Hove Albion
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal21.93%
Wins by 2 goals22.79%
Wins by 3 goals17.23%
Wins by 4 goals10.16%
Wins by 5 goals4.89%
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 1 goal4.88%
Wins by 2 goals1.12%
Wins by 3 goals0.18%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.40%4.60%
1.581.23%18.77%
2.559.42%40.58%
3.537.04%62.96%
4.519.82%80.18%
5.59.21%90.79%
6.53.76%96.24%
7.51.37%98.63%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.94%8.06%
1.571.64%28.36%
2.546.08%53.92%
3.524.63%75.37%
4.511.13%88.87%
5.54.32%95.68%
6.51.47%98.53%

Total Goals Brighton and Hove Albion Over/Under

OverUnder
0.542.92%57.08%
1.510.92%89.08%
2.51.94%98.06%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.96%24.04%
1.541.69%58.31%
2.517.27%82.73%
3.55.66%94.34%
4.51.53%98.47%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester City
Brighton and Hove Albion
Score0123
0
4.60%
2.58%
0.72%
0.14%
1
11.59%
6.50%
1.82%
0.34%
2
14.59%
8.18%
2.29%
0.43%
3
12.24%
6.87%
1.93%
0.36%
4
7.71%
4.32%
1.21%
0.23%
5
3.88%
2.18%
0.61%
0.11%
Manchester City
1-011.59%
2-014.59%
2-18.18%
3-012.24%
3-16.87%
3-21.93%
4-07.71%
4-14.32%
4-21.21%
4-30.23%
5-03.88%
5-12.18%
5-20.61%
5-30.11%
Draw
0-04.60%
1-16.50%
2-22.29%
3-30.36%
Brighton and Hove Albion
0-12.58%
0-20.72%
1-21.82%
0-30.14%
1-30.34%
2-30.43%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester City
Brighton and Hove Albion
Score012
0
24.04%
6.24%
0.81%
1
28.03%
7.28%
0.94%
2
16.34%
4.24%
0.55%
3
6.35%
1.65%
0.21%
4
1.85%
0.48%
0.06%
5
0.43%
0.11%
0.01%
Manchester City
1-028.03%
2-016.34%
2-14.24%
3-06.35%
3-11.65%
3-20.21%
4-01.85%
4-10.48%
5-00.43%
5-10.11%
Draw
0-024.04%
1-17.28%
2-20.55%
Brighton and Hove Albion
0-16.24%
0-20.81%
1-20.94%