Manchester City at Newcastle Utd

Updated

Manchester City

73.7%11.8%14.5%
Manchester City WinDrawWin
2.73Projected Goals 0.54
4Final Score 3

Newcastle United

Last 5 Games

Manchester City
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Chelsea+105
W 2-0 at Crystal Palace-300
W 2-1 at Aston Villa-300
L 2-1 vs Leeds United-270
W 2-0 at Leicester City-150
Newcastle United
Money Line
W 4-2 at Leicester City+800
L 2-0 vs Arsenal+281
T 1-1 at Liverpool+1175
W 2-3 vs West Ham United+265
W 2-1 at Burnley+230

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-345--315-295-316-295-295-
Newcastle Utd+1000-+850+750+693+750+850-
Draw+450-+450+480+476+480+480-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-340--300---300-300-
Newcastle Utd+875-+700--+700+700-
Draw+447-+465--+460+465-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 0.0%
Newcastle Utd: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Newcastle Utd: 50.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -315 to -325
Newcastle Utd ML moved from +751 to +693

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 0.0%
Newcastle Utd: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -345 to -360
Newcastle Utd ML moved from +741 to +700

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-110-o3½+120o3¼-120-o3¼-120o3½+120-
Underu3-110-u3½-145u3¼+100-u3¼+100u3¼+100-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-108o3½+105o3½+105-o3½+100o3½+110o3½+110-
Underu3-112u3½-125u3½-125-u3½-130u3½-130u3½-125-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-130 to o3½+105
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes38.9%
 
No61.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.80%
Exactly 220.32%
Exactly 418.11%
Exactly 66.46%
Exactly 81.23%
Exactly 100.15%
 
Exactly 112.42%
Exactly 322.15%
Exactly 511.84%
Exactly 73.02%
Exactly 90.45%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 06.50%
Exactly 117.77%
Exactly 224.28%
Exactly 322.12%
Exactly 415.12%
Exactly 58.26%
Exactly 63.76%
Exactly 71.47%
Exactly 80.50%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 058.44%
Exactly 131.39%
Exactly 28.43%
Exactly 31.51%
Exactly 40.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.00%
Exactly 225.22%
Exactly 44.82%
Exactly 60.37%
 
Exactly 133.31%
Exactly 312.73%
Exactly 51.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 028.21%
Exactly 135.70%
Exactly 222.59%
Exactly 39.53%
Exactly 43.01%
Exactly 50.76%
Exactly 60.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 077.98%
Exactly 119.39%
Exactly 22.41%
Exactly 30.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals63.05%
Wins by 3+ goals40.51%
Wins by 4+ goals22.08%
Wins by 5+ goals10.31%
Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals1.01%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester City
Newcastle United
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal20.12%
Wins by 2 goals22.54%
Wins by 3 goals18.43%
Wins by 4 goals11.77%
Wins by 5 goals6.14%
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal3.95%
Wins by 2 goals0.87%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.20%3.80%
1.583.78%16.22%
2.563.46%36.54%
3.541.31%58.69%
4.523.20%76.80%
5.511.36%88.64%
6.54.90%95.10%
7.51.89%98.11%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.50%6.50%
1.575.73%24.27%
2.551.45%48.55%
3.529.32%70.68%
4.514.21%85.79%
5.55.94%94.06%
6.52.18%97.82%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.541.56%58.44%
1.510.17%89.83%
2.51.74%98.26%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.00%22.00%
1.544.69%55.31%
2.519.47%80.53%
3.56.74%93.26%
4.51.93%98.07%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester City
Newcastle United
Score012
0
3.80%
2.04%
0.55%
1
10.38%
5.58%
1.50%
2
14.19%
7.62%
2.05%
3
12.93%
6.94%
1.87%
4
8.83%
4.75%
1.27%
5
4.83%
2.59%
0.70%
Manchester City
1-010.38%
2-014.19%
2-17.62%
3-012.93%
3-16.94%
3-21.87%
4-08.83%
4-14.75%
4-21.27%
4-30.23%
5-04.83%
5-12.59%
5-20.70%
5-30.12%
Draw
0-03.80%
1-15.58%
2-22.05%
3-30.33%
Newcastle United
0-12.04%
0-20.55%
1-21.50%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester City
Newcastle United
Score012
0
22.00%
5.47%
0.68%
1
27.84%
6.92%
0.86%
2
17.62%
4.38%
0.54%
3
7.43%
1.85%
0.23%
4
2.35%
0.58%
0.07%
5
0.59%
0.15%
0.02%
6
0.13%
0.03%
0.00%
Manchester City
1-027.84%
2-017.62%
2-14.38%
3-07.43%
3-11.85%
3-20.23%
4-02.35%
4-10.58%
5-00.59%
5-10.15%
6-00.13%
Draw
0-022.00%
1-16.92%
2-20.54%
Newcastle United
0-15.47%
0-20.68%
1-20.86%