Liverpool at Brighton

Updated

Liverpool

51.2%25.5%23.3%
Liverpool WinDrawBrighton Win
1.55Projected Goals 0.96
0Final Score 3

Brighton and Hove Albion

Last 5 Games

Liverpool
Money Line
L 1-3 at Brentford-200
W 1-2 vs Leicester City-400
W 3-1 at Aston Villa-140
W 1-3 vs Southampton-400
W 2-1 at Tottenham+110
Brighton and Hove Albion
Money Line
W 4-1 at Everton+130
L 4-2 vs Arsenal+320
W 3-1 at Southampton+115
L 2-1 vs Aston Villa-134
W 3-2 at Wolverhampton+115

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Liverpool+105+135+135+137+129+137+137+133.8
Brighton+240+192+180+188+214+188+214+220.6
Draw+275+268+275+276+276+276+276+283.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Liverpool+105-+126-+100+120+126+133.8
Brighton+240-+198-+185+200+200+220.6
Draw+270-+264-+260+275+275+283.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Liverpool: 30.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Liverpool: 0.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Liverpool ML
Brighton ML moved from +195 to +188

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Liverpool: 30.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Liverpool: 0.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Liverpool ML
Brighton ML moved from +205 to +198

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3-115o3-108o3-107o3-102o3-107o3-102o3+105
Underu3-115u3-103u3-112u3-109u3-113u3-109u3-103u3-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3-115o3+102-o3-115o3-105o3+102o3+105
Underu3-115u3-105u3-122-u3-115u3-115u3-105u3-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.7%
 
No51.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.10%
Exactly 225.58%
Exactly 413.47%
Exactly 62.84%
Exactly 80.32%
 
Exactly 120.35%
Exactly 321.43%
Exactly 56.77%
Exactly 71.02%
Exact Goals Scored - Liverpool
Exactly 021.13%
Exactly 132.85%
Exactly 225.53%
Exactly 313.23%
Exactly 45.14%
Exactly 51.60%
Exactly 60.41%
Exact Goals Scored - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 038.31%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 217.63%
Exactly 35.64%
Exactly 41.35%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.23%
Exactly 221.15%
Exactly 42.39%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.34%
Exactly 38.21%
Exactly 50.56%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Liverpool
Exactly 048.69%
Exactly 135.04%
Exactly 212.61%
Exactly 33.03%
Exactly 40.54%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 064.13%
Exactly 128.49%
Exactly 26.33%
Exactly 30.94%
Exactly 40.10%

Alternate Props

Spread

Liverpool
Wins by 2+ goals26.46%
Wins by 3+ goals10.82%
Wins by 4+ goals3.55%
Wins by 5+ goals0.92%
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 2+ goals8.09%
Wins by 3+ goals2.13%
Wins by 4+ goals0.43%

Exact Winning Margin

Liverpool
Brighton and Hove Albion
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Liverpool
Wins by 1 goal24.61%
Wins by 2 goals15.64%
Wins by 3 goals7.26%
Wins by 4 goals2.63%
Wins by 5 goals0.76%
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 1 goal15.19%
Wins by 2 goals5.96%
Wins by 3 goals1.70%
Wins by 4 goals0.37%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.90%8.10%
1.571.55%28.45%
2.545.97%54.03%
3.524.54%75.46%
4.511.07%88.93%
5.54.30%95.70%
6.51.46%98.54%

Total Goals Liverpool Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.87%21.13%
1.546.02%53.98%
2.520.49%79.51%
3.57.27%92.73%
4.52.13%97.87%

Total Goals Brighton and Hove Albion Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.69%38.31%
1.524.93%75.07%
2.57.30%92.70%
3.51.66%98.34%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.77%31.23%
1.532.43%67.57%
2.511.28%88.72%
3.53.07%96.93%

Score Props

Correct Score

Liverpool
Brighton and Hove Albion
Score01234
0
8.10%
7.77%
3.73%
1.19%
0.29%
1
12.58%
12.07%
5.79%
1.85%
0.44%
2
9.78%
9.38%
4.50%
1.44%
0.35%
3
5.07%
4.86%
2.33%
0.75%
0.18%
4
1.97%
1.89%
0.91%
0.29%
0.07%
5
0.61%
0.59%
0.28%
0.09%
0.02%
Liverpool
1-012.58%
2-09.78%
2-19.38%
3-05.07%
3-14.86%
3-22.33%
4-01.97%
4-11.89%
4-20.91%
4-30.29%
5-00.61%
5-10.59%
5-20.28%
Draw
0-08.10%
1-112.07%
2-24.50%
3-30.75%
Brighton and Hove Albion
0-17.77%
0-23.73%
1-25.79%
0-31.19%
1-31.85%
2-31.44%
0-40.29%
1-40.44%
2-40.35%
3-40.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Liverpool
Brighton and Hove Albion
Score0123
0
31.23%
13.87%
3.08%
0.46%
1
22.47%
9.98%
2.22%
0.33%
2
8.09%
3.59%
0.80%
0.12%
3
1.94%
0.86%
0.19%
0.03%
4
0.35%
0.16%
0.03%
0.01%
Liverpool
1-022.47%
2-08.09%
2-13.59%
3-01.94%
3-10.86%
3-20.19%
4-00.35%
4-10.16%
Draw
0-031.23%
1-19.98%
2-20.80%
Brighton and Hove Albion
0-113.87%
0-23.08%
1-22.22%
0-30.46%
1-30.33%
2-30.12%