Aston Villa at Brighton

Updated

Aston Villa

18.3%22.9%58.8%
WinDrawBrighton Win
0.90Projected Goals 1.80
2Final Score 1

Brighton and Hove Albion

Last 5 Games

Aston Villa
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Manchester United+230
L 0-4 at Newcastle United+380
W 0-4 vs Brentford+105
L 0-3 at Fulham+136
L 2-0 vs Chelsea+300
Brighton and Hove Albion
Money Line
W 3-2 at Wolverhampton+115
W 1-4 vs Chelsea+205
L 1-3 at Manchester City+1225
T 0-0 vs Nottingham Forest-275
L 0-2 at Brentford+125

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+319+397+390+415+432+415+432+443.8
Brighton-113-133-135-136-135-136-133-128.3
Draw+268+273+265+278+285+278+285+293.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+320-+375-+375+400+400+443.8
Brighton-115--134--170-140-134-128.3
Draw+260-+271-+245+270+271+293.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Brighton: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 30.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +400 to +390
Brighton ML moved from -130 to -145

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Brighton: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Aston Villa ML
Brighton ML moved from -140 to -170

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-106o2½-110o2½-102o2¼-135o2½-102o2¼-135o2¼-135o2½+105
Underu2½-110u2½-108u2½-118u2¼+119u2½-113u2¼+119u2½-108u2½-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-110o2½-115o2½+124-o2½-105o2½+105o2½+124o2½+105
Underu2½-110u2½-105u2½-144-u2½-125u2½-125u2½-105u2½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-108 to u2¼+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.3%
 
No50.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.75%
Exactly 224.53%
Exactly 414.85%
Exactly 63.59%
Exactly 80.47%
 
Exactly 118.20%
Exactly 322.03%
Exactly 58.00%
Exactly 71.38%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 040.95%
Exactly 136.56%
Exactly 216.32%
Exactly 34.86%
Exactly 41.08%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 016.49%
Exactly 129.72%
Exactly 226.79%
Exactly 316.09%
Exactly 47.25%
Exactly 52.61%
Exactly 60.78%
Exactly 70.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.71%
Exactly 222.35%
Exactly 42.90%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.83%
Exactly 39.30%
Exactly 50.72%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 066.14%
Exactly 127.34%
Exactly 25.65%
Exactly 30.78%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 043.41%
Exactly 136.22%
Exactly 215.11%
Exactly 34.20%
Exactly 40.88%
Exactly 50.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals5.90%
Wins by 3+ goals1.44%
Wins by 4+ goals0.27%
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 2+ goals33.81%
Wins by 3+ goals15.64%
Wins by 4+ goals5.93%
Wins by 5+ goals1.87%
Wins by 6+ goals0.48%

Exact Winning Margin

Aston Villa
Brighton and Hove Albion
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal12.37%
Wins by 2 goals4.46%
Wins by 3 goals1.18%
Wins by 4 goals0.24%
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 1 goal24.97%
Wins by 2 goals18.17%
Wins by 3 goals9.71%
Wins by 4 goals4.06%
Wins by 5 goals1.39%
Wins by 6 goals0.40%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.25%6.75%
1.575.04%24.96%
2.550.52%49.48%
3.528.48%71.52%
4.513.64%86.36%
5.55.63%94.37%
6.52.04%97.96%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.05%40.95%
1.522.49%77.51%
2.56.17%93.83%
3.51.31%98.69%

Total Goals Brighton and Hove Albion Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.51%16.49%
1.553.78%46.22%
2.527.00%73.00%
3.510.91%89.09%
4.53.66%96.34%
5.51.04%98.96%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.29%28.71%
1.535.46%64.54%
2.513.10%86.90%
3.53.81%96.19%

Score Props

Correct Score

Aston Villa
Brighton and Hove Albion
Score012345
0
6.75%
12.17%
10.97%
6.59%
2.97%
1.07%
1
6.03%
10.87%
9.79%
5.88%
2.65%
0.96%
2
2.69%
4.85%
4.37%
2.63%
1.18%
0.43%
3
0.80%
1.44%
1.30%
0.78%
0.35%
0.13%
4
0.18%
0.32%
0.29%
0.17%
0.08%
0.03%
Aston Villa
1-06.03%
2-02.69%
2-14.85%
3-00.80%
3-11.44%
3-21.30%
4-00.18%
4-10.32%
4-20.29%
4-30.17%
Draw
0-06.75%
1-110.87%
2-24.37%
3-30.78%
Brighton and Hove Albion
0-112.17%
0-210.97%
1-29.79%
0-36.59%
1-35.88%
2-32.63%
0-42.97%
1-42.65%
2-41.18%
3-40.35%
0-51.07%
1-50.96%
2-50.43%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Aston Villa
Brighton and Hove Albion
Score01234
0
28.71%
23.96%
10.00%
2.78%
0.58%
1
11.87%
9.90%
4.13%
1.15%
0.24%
2
2.45%
2.05%
0.85%
0.24%
0.05%
3
0.34%
0.28%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
Aston Villa
1-011.87%
2-02.45%
2-12.05%
3-00.34%
3-10.28%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-028.71%
1-19.90%
2-20.85%
Brighton and Hove Albion
0-123.96%
0-210.00%
1-24.13%
0-32.78%
1-31.15%
2-30.24%
0-40.58%
1-40.24%