English Premier League Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Manchester City
Everton
68.5%
12.8%
18.7%
-405
+1150
-425
+1100
1
0
-0.25587-0.25696-0.37879
Watford
Manchester United
7.2%
78.4%
14.4%
+775
-244
+750
-267
0
0
-1.64553-1.66168-1.93753
Burnley
Crystal Palace
28.7%
42.8%
28.5%
+394
-105
+370
-114
1
1
-1.21359-1.25197-1.25593
Aston Villa
Brighton and Hove Albion
23.0%
52.0%
25.0%
+261
+127
+250
+124
2
0
-1.29700-1.28735-1.47055
Newcastle United
Brentford
28.6%
44.2%
27.1%
+255
+143
+237
+135
2
0
-1.27755-1.25878-1.25148
Tottenham
Leeds United
33.5%
39.9%
26.6%
+102
+280
-107
+310
4
0
-0.71760-0.67376-1.09336
Wolverhampton
Arsenal
17.3%
60.2%
22.5%
+502
-143
+480
-150
1
2
-0.54780-0.55262-0.50760
Leeds United
Liverpool
7.3%
78.7%
14.0%
+1400
-507
+1450
-590
0
6
-0.19940-0.20405-0.23979
Crystal Palace
Watford
25.9%
45.9%
28.2%
+170
+200
+158
+210
4
1
-1.01517-0.97506-1.35166
Tottenham
Burnley
40.0%
33.0%
27.0%
-117
+380
-125
+375
0
1
-1.58270-1.59037-1.10960
Leicester City
Wolverhampton
38.4%
33.3%
28.2%
+279
+120
+265
+116
1
2
-0.80876-0.81376-1.09862
Manchester United
Leeds United
50.3%
24.7%
25.0%
-146
+411
-140
+400
4
2
-0.54271-0.56879-0.68740
Tottenham
Manchester City
6.0%
82.5%
11.5%
+1129
-348
+1025
-400
3
2
-2.52074-2.46958-2.81525
Everton
Southampton
29.1%
45.1%
25.8%
+290
+118
+260
+111
0
2
-0.77219-0.78904-0.79593
Norwich City
Liverpool
4.1%
85.8%
10.1%
+2219
-700
+2200
-765
1
3
-0.15709-0.16110-0.15331
Chelsea
Crystal Palace
64.1%
14.8%
21.1%
-141
+515
-146
+450
1
0
-0.54010-0.56286-0.44538
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.