English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 21, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Manchester United
Aston Villa 		29.5%
44.4%		26.1%
+245
+110
+240
+110
1.13
1.45		2.58
o3+104
u3-118
o3+105
u3-125
Games for Dec 20, 2025
Games for Dec 22, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Chelsea
Arsenal		34.2%
38.1%		27.6%
-115
+370
-115
+350
2
0		-0.65464-0.67321-1.07216
Tottenham
Wolverhampton		33.0%
40.4%		26.6%
+145
+220
+150
+205
1
0		-0.92872-0.96063-1.10818
Manchester United
Southampton		46.3%
29.5%		24.2%
-165
+451
-170
+440
1
1		-1.50359-1.49580-1.41770
Watford
Brighton and Hove Albion		26.5%
47.1%		26.4%
+460
-135
+445
-140
0
2		-0.58096-0.59019-0.75232
Brentford
Crystal Palace		31.3%
40.3%		28.4%
+190
+165
+190
+165
0
0		-1.20811-1.17967-1.25885
Everton
Leeds United		29.3%
45.4%		25.3%
+265
+110
+259
+110
2
2		-1.29828-1.28201-1.37472
Newcastle United
Aston Villa		24.5%
54.5%		21.0%
+330
-120
+320
-120
0
2		-0.63999-0.64724-0.60741
Norwich City
Manchester City		6.6%
88.2%		5.2%
+2300
-800
+2355
-900
0
5		-0.14636-0.14070-0.12594
Burnley
Liverpool		13.8%
74.1%		12.0%
+1150
-375
+1150
-400
0
2		-0.25386-0.25876-0.29942
Manchester City
Tottenham		63.0%
20.6%		16.4%
-170
+535
-171
+490
0
1		-1.87061-1.81284-1.57920
West Ham United
Newcastle United		41.5%
32.3%		26.2%
+115
+245
+120
+235
4
2		-0.79769-0.82650-0.87977
Liverpool
Norwich City		62.4%
19.6%		18.0%
-200
+694
-221
+600
3
0		-0.37654-0.40413-0.47186
Aston Villa
Watford		31.6%
40.9%		27.5%
+120
+260
+120
+258
2
3		-1.31569-1.31427-0.89321
Brighton and Hove Albion
Burnley		32.3%
38.6%		29.1%
+145
+225
+146
+230
2
1		-0.92405-0.93586-1.12970
Southampton
Everton		26.5%
51.2%		22.3%
+300
+105
+301
+100
1
3		-0.75351-0.73739-0.66851
Wolverhampton
Leicester City		22.0%
58.0%		20.0%
+425
-135
+400
-140
0
1		-0.58821-0.58780-0.54419
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks84-1-3 (0.688)0-0.94839 
Sportsbooks84-1-3 (0.688)0-0.94716 
DRatings84-1-3 (0.688)0-0.96473
-0.01634
-0.01757

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.