France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated 11 hr ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
10/22/2023 06:45 PM	Clermont Foot Lyon	11.9% 70.0%	18.1%	+325 -110 +300 -115	2 1	-1.47587-1.43658	-2.12830
10/22/2023 01:00 PM	Reims Toulouse	26.0% 47.6%	26.4%	+173 +172 +160 +170	1 1	-1.27225-1.26107	-1.33150
10/22/2023 01:00 PM	Montpellier Nantes	24.8% 50.5%	24.7%	+135 +205 +135 +190	0 2	-1.14583-1.11544	-0.68248
10/22/2023 11:00 AM	Rennes Lorient	44.3% 29.1%	26.5%	-114 +335 -115 +290	1 2	-1.49557-1.41075	-1.23282
10/21/2023 07:00 PM	Marseille Nice	42.2% 30.4%	27.4%	+235 +136 +215 +135	0 1	-0.87919-0.90387	-1.19171
10/21/2023 03:00 PM	Strasbourg Paris Saint-Germain	5.8% 82.3%	11.9%	+1200 -464 +1350 -600	0 3	-0.23021-0.20400	-0.19514
10/20/2023 07:00 PM	Lens Le Havre	49.6% 23.8%	26.6%	-114 +360 -115 +340	0 0	-1.29825-1.28906	-1.32490
10/08/2023 06:45 PM	Paris Saint-Germain Rennes	58.6% 19.0%	22.5%	-116 +318 -120 +315	3 1	-0.64762-0.64495	-0.53525
10/08/2023 03:05 PM	Lille Lens	30.6% 42.0%	27.4%	+207 +140 +205 +135	1 1	-1.27011-1.25956	-1.29335
10/08/2023 01:00 PM	Lorient Lyon	13.6% 67.6%	18.7%	+370 -130 +375 -145	3 3	-1.41391-1.43734	-1.67510
10/08/2023 01:00 PM	Toulouse Brest	30.1% 43.8%	26.1%	+425 -140 +390 -135	1 1	-1.38107-1.35600	-1.34308
10/08/2023 11:00 AM	Le Havre Marseille	7.2% 77.6%	15.2%	+625 -208 +565 -215	0 3	-0.41826-0.43329	-0.25389
10/07/2023 07:00 PM	Monaco Reims	36.8% 35.0%	28.1%	+155 +168 +160 +160	3 1	-0.96756-1.00518	-0.99859
10/06/2023 07:00 PM	Nantes Strasbourg	28.6% 44.6%	26.8%	+227 +138 +230 +130	2 1	-1.21790-1.24303	-1.25250
10/01/2023 06:45 PM	Nantes Rennes	22.4% 53.1%	24.6%	+433 -150 +475 -170	1 3	-0.54185-0.50898	-0.63343
10/01/2023 03:05 PM	Montpellier Lorient	37.4% 35.4%	27.1%	+130 +216 +125 +210	3 0	-0.86531-0.86232	-0.98307

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	4	1-2-1 (0.375)	0	-1.22193
Sportsbooks	4	1-2-1 (0.375)	0	-1.20167
DRatings	4	1-2-1 (0.375)	0	-1.16923	0.05270 0.03244

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.