France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated 5 hr ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
05/07/2023 01:00 PM	Clermont Foot Auxerre	27.6% 45.7%	26.7%	+216 +146 +210 +135	1 1	-1.22173-1.24382	-1.32081
05/07/2023 01:00 PM	Toulouse Ajaccio	33.5% 35.9%	30.5%	+104 +296 +100 +280	0 0	-1.29106-1.29000	-1.18646
05/07/2023 11:00 AM	Monaco Angers	64.7% 15.3%	20.0%	-166 +465 -175 +460	2 1	-0.49944-0.48379	-0.43479
05/06/2023 07:00 PM	Marseille Lens	26.3% 48.1%	25.6%	+206 +147 +190 +140	1 2	-0.92143-0.92553	-0.73216
05/06/2023 05:00 PM	Lille Reims	45.0% 27.1%	27.8%	-100 +277 +105 +245	0 1	-1.34788-1.28870	-1.30505
05/06/2023 03:00 PM	Rennes Nice	30.4% 42.4%	27.2%	+183 +165 +185 +145	1 2	-0.99085-0.94788	-0.85710
05/03/2023 07:00 PM	Nantes Brest	19.8% 57.4%	22.8%	+232 +152 +215 +145	0 2	-0.93961-0.94317	-0.55577
05/02/2023 07:00 PM	Lens Toulouse	46.9% 27.4%	25.6%	-157 +437 -160 +390	1 0	-0.51443-0.53623	-0.75670
04/30/2023 06:45 PM	Auxerre Marseille	8.5% 76.3%	15.1%	+1054 -324 +815 -335	1 2	-0.29194-0.31173	-0.27026
04/30/2023 03:05 PM	Lorient Paris Saint-Germain	4.2% 86.1%	9.6%	+1150 -625	3 1	-2.57755	-3.16676
04/30/2023 01:00 PM	Nice Troyes	45.2% 27.7%	27.1%	-144 +438 -135 +350	1 0	-0.55125-0.60605	-0.79421
04/30/2023 01:00 PM	Angers Rennes	10.1% 73.2%	16.7%	+1000 -322 +900 -350	2 4	-0.29503-0.30028	-0.31180
04/30/2023 01:00 PM	Reims Clermont Foot	30.2% 40.6%	29.2%	+125 +228 +130 +200	0 1	-1.21382-1.15103	-0.90108
04/30/2023 11:00 AM	Montpellier Monaco	7.5% 79.5%	13.0%	+510 -182 +470 -205	4 0	-1.83465-1.79084	-2.59561
04/29/2023 03:00 PM	Ajaccio Lille	9.3% 72.2%	18.5%	+1163 -349 +1350 -450	0 3	-0.28187-0.25049	-0.32541
04/28/2023 07:00 PM	Lyon Strasbourg	46.6% 27.9%	25.5%	+174 +170 +170 +170	2 1	-1.03614-1.03176	-0.76462

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	5	4-0-1 (0.900)	0	-0.76516
Sportsbooks	5	4-0-1 (0.900)	0	-0.77355
DRatings	5	3-1-1 (0.700)	0	-0.90790	-0.14274 -0.13435

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.