France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 5, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Monaco
Brest 		48.0%
27.3%		24.7%
+105
+263
+100
+248
1.61
1.15		2.76
o3-114
u3+103
o3-130
u3+115
Marseille
Lille 		26.4%
47.4%		26.2%
+212
+135
+225
+130
1.03
1.47		2.50
o2¾-103
u2¾-108
o2½-125
u2½+120
Games for Dec 4, 2025
Games for Dec 6, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Metz
Lyon		16.7%
62.4%		20.9%
+630
-236
+624
-235
0
3		-0.38447-0.38669-0.47156
Auxerre
Nice		18.9%
57.9%		23.2%
+355
-119
+320
-115
1
3		-0.63796-0.67160-0.54720
Angers
Paris Saint-Germain		3.1%
89.1%		7.8%
+3009
-1275
+2600
-1350
0
1		-0.10526-0.11547-0.11526
Paris Saint-Germain
Nantes		77.8%
7.8%		14.4%
-480
+1250
-530
+1300
1
0		-0.22363-0.22314-0.25040
Lorient
Auxerre		17.9%
60.3%		21.8%
+194
+161
+205
+140
0
1		-0.98803-0.92637-0.50640
Strasbourg
Metz		29.3%
43.5%		27.2%
+104
+280
+100
+275
1
0		-0.74739-0.74036-1.22700
Lille
Brest		34.2%
37.6%		28.2%
+205
+153
+185
+160
3
3		-1.20035-1.19902-1.26556
Toulouse
Nice		21.1%
54.8%		24.0%
+325
-102
+260
+100
1
0		-1.47495-1.35445-1.55443
Le Havre
Monaco		6.8%
79.6%		13.6%
+1200
-422
+1125
-450
1
3		-0.23852-0.25073-0.22763
Lyon
Lens		43.4%
30.5%		26.1%
+185
+153
+180
+150
1
0		-1.07711-1.07960-0.83487
Marseille
Rennes		46.2%
27.9%		25.9%
-105
+302
-105
+275
0
1		-1.42416-1.37322-1.27776
Metz
Reims		21.2%
53.7%		25.2%
+199
+160
+210
+140
3
1		-1.12729-1.18185-1.55259
Reims
Metz		31.1%
40.2%		28.7%
+253
+120
+250
+120
1
1		-1.24890-1.22550-1.24974
Brest
Nice		16.3%
62.1%		21.6%
+520
-190
+485
-200
0
6		-0.44735-0.45678-0.47636
Montpellier
Nantes		17.4%
61.1%		21.5%
+550
-175
+510
-185
0
3		-0.47451-0.48203-0.49209
Reims
Lille		9.3%
73.7%		17.0%
+800
-264
+675
-250
1
2		-0.34950-0.38480-0.30583
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.