Freiburg at Dortmund

Updated

Freiburg

20.9%15.6%63.5%
Freiburg WinDrawDortmund Win
0.84Projected Goals 2.54
1Final Score 5

Dortmund

Last 5 Games

Freiburg
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Arminia Bielefeld-115
W 1-2 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen+159
T 0-0 at Union Berlin+200
L 2-1 vs Hoffenheim+120
W 6-0 at Borussia Monchengladbach+346
Dortmund
Money Line
W 3-2 at Eintracht Frankfurt-125
L 2-3 at Hertha BSC-175
W 0-3 vs SpVgg Greuther Furth-900
T 1-1 at VfL Bochum-205
L 3-2 vs Bayern Munich+260

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Freiburg+400+500+565+564+505+565+565+576.4
Dortmund-170-230-225-216-227-225-216-199.4
Draw+330+400+415+418+398+415+418+437.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Freiburg+465-+530-+420+550+550+576.4
Dortmund-200--230--235-230-230-199.4
Draw+385-+408-+330+400+408+437.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Freiburg: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Freiburg: 20.0%
Dortmund: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Freiburg: 10.0%
Dortmund: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Freiburg ML moved from +548 to +505
Dortmund ML moved from -210 to -220

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Freiburg: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Freiburg: 20.0%
Dortmund: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Freiburg: 0.0%
Dortmund: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Freiburg ML
Dortmund ML moved from -215 to -230

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-118o3¼-118o3½+100o3½+106-o3½+100o3¼-118o3¼-107
Underu3-102u3¼-102u3½-120u3½-121-u3½-120u3½-120u3¼+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-120o3½-105o3½+102-o3½-115o3½-105o3½+102o3¼-107
Underu3+100u3½-115u3½-122-u3½-115u3½-115u3½-115u3¼+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-140 to o3½-105
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.2%
 
No47.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.42%
Exactly 219.48%
Exactly 418.50%
Exactly 67.03%
Exactly 81.43%
Exactly 100.18%
 
Exactly 111.54%
Exactly 321.92%
Exactly 512.49%
Exactly 73.39%
Exactly 90.54%
Exact Goals Scored - Freiburg
Exactly 043.31%
Exactly 136.24%
Exactly 215.16%
Exactly 34.23%
Exactly 40.89%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Dortmund
Exactly 07.89%
Exactly 120.04%
Exactly 225.44%
Exactly 321.54%
Exactly 413.67%
Exactly 56.94%
Exactly 62.94%
Exactly 71.07%
Exactly 80.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.95%
Exactly 225.59%
Exactly 45.21%
Exactly 60.42%
 
Exactly 132.74%
Exactly 313.34%
Exactly 51.63%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Freiburg
Exactly 067.88%
Exactly 126.30%
Exactly 25.10%
Exactly 30.66%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Dortmund
Exactly 030.86%
Exactly 136.28%
Exactly 221.33%
Exactly 38.36%
Exactly 42.46%
Exactly 50.58%
Exactly 60.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Freiburg
Wins by 2+ goals2.96%
Wins by 3+ goals0.66%
Dortmund
Wins by 2+ goals52.31%
Wins by 3+ goals31.09%
Wins by 4+ goals15.62%
Wins by 5+ goals6.69%
Wins by 6+ goals2.44%
Wins by 7+ goals0.73%
Wins by 8+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Freiburg
Dortmund
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Freiburg
Wins by 1 goal7.19%
Wins by 2 goals2.30%
Wins by 3 goals0.55%
Dortmund
Wins by 1 goal21.81%
Wins by 2 goals21.22%
Wins by 3 goals15.47%
Wins by 4 goals8.93%
Wins by 5 goals4.25%
Wins by 6 goals1.71%
Wins by 7 goals0.58%
Wins by 8 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.58%3.42%
1.585.04%14.96%
2.565.57%34.43%
3.543.64%56.36%
4.525.14%74.86%
5.512.65%87.35%
6.55.62%94.38%
7.52.23%97.77%

Total Goals Freiburg Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.69%43.31%
1.520.45%79.55%
2.55.29%94.71%
3.51.06%98.94%

Total Goals Dortmund Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.11%7.89%
1.572.07%27.93%
2.546.62%53.38%
3.525.09%74.91%
4.511.41%88.59%
5.54.47%95.53%
6.51.53%98.47%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.05%20.95%
1.546.31%53.69%
2.520.72%79.28%
3.57.38%92.62%
4.52.17%97.83%

Score Props

Correct Score

Freiburg
Dortmund
Score012345
0
3.42%
8.68%
11.02%
9.33%
5.92%
3.01%
1
2.86%
7.26%
9.22%
7.81%
4.96%
2.52%
2
1.20%
3.04%
3.86%
3.27%
2.07%
1.05%
3
0.33%
0.85%
1.08%
0.91%
0.58%
0.29%
Freiburg
1-02.86%
2-01.20%
2-13.04%
3-00.33%
3-10.85%
3-21.08%
Draw
0-03.42%
1-17.26%
2-23.86%
3-30.91%
4-40.12%
Dortmund
0-18.68%
0-211.02%
1-29.22%
0-39.33%
1-37.81%
2-33.27%
0-45.92%
1-44.96%
2-42.07%
3-40.58%
0-53.01%
1-52.52%
2-51.05%
3-50.29%

Correct Score - First Half

Freiburg
Dortmund
Score012345
0
20.95%
24.63%
14.48%
5.67%
1.67%
0.39%
1
8.12%
9.54%
5.61%
2.20%
0.65%
0.15%
2
1.57%
1.85%
1.09%
0.43%
0.13%
0.03%
3
0.20%
0.24%
0.14%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Freiburg
1-08.12%
2-01.57%
2-11.85%
3-00.20%
3-10.24%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-020.95%
1-19.54%
2-21.09%
Dortmund
0-124.63%
0-214.48%
1-25.61%
0-35.67%
1-32.20%
2-30.43%
0-41.67%
1-40.65%
2-40.13%
0-50.39%
1-50.15%