Freiburg at Mainz 05

Updated

Freiburg

31.5%25.8%42.6%
Freiburg WinDrawMainz 05 Win
1.21Projected Goals 1.45
1Final Score 1

Mainz 05

Last 5 Games

Freiburg
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Hoffenheim-120
T 0-0 at Borussia Monchengladbach+198
T 1-1 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen+130
W 2-0 at VfL Bochum+148
W 1-2 vs VfB Stuttgart+105
Mainz 05
Money Line
T 1-1 at Hertha BSC+130
W 0-1 vs Hoffenheim-110
W 0-4 vs Borussia Monchengladbach+113
W 3-2 at Bayer 04 Leverkusen+300
W 1-3 vs Augsburg-125

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Freiburg+210+292+275+305-+305+305+319.2
Mainz 05+120+103+105+100-+100+105+107.0
Draw+265+241+245+247-+247+247+259.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Freiburg+230-+284-+225+300+300+319.2
Mainz 05+120-+100--105+100+100+107.0
Draw+240-+236-+220+235+236+259.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Freiburg: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Freiburg: 30.0%
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Freiburg: 0.0%
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Freiburg ML moved from +301 to +292
No Steam Moves On Mainz 05 ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Freiburg: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Freiburg: 30.0%
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Freiburg: 0.0%
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Freiburg ML moved from +235 to +225
Mainz 05 ML moved from +112 to -101

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-122o2½+114o2¼-112o2¼-115-o2¼-115o2¼-112o2¼-104
Underu2½+102u2½-134u2¼-108u2¼-105-u2¼-105u2½-134u2¼+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2-140o2½+120-o2-140o2½+120o2-140o2¼-104
Underu2½-105u2+120u2½-140-u2+110u2½-140u2½-140u2¼+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2-140 to o2½+120
The Under moved from u2½-130 to u2+110

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.7%
 
No46.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.02%
Exactly 224.77%
Exactly 414.57%
Exactly 63.43%
Exactly 80.43%
 
Exactly 118.64%
Exactly 321.93%
Exactly 57.74%
Exactly 71.30%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Freiburg
Exactly 029.85%
Exactly 136.09%
Exactly 221.81%
Exactly 38.79%
Exactly 42.66%
Exactly 50.64%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Mainz 05
Exactly 023.51%
Exactly 134.04%
Exactly 224.64%
Exactly 311.89%
Exactly 44.30%
Exactly 51.25%
Exactly 60.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.23%
Exactly 222.11%
Exactly 42.79%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.95%
Exactly 39.07%
Exactly 50.69%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Freiburg
Exactly 057.14%
Exactly 131.98%
Exactly 28.95%
Exactly 31.67%
Exactly 40.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Mainz 05
Exactly 051.15%
Exactly 134.29%
Exactly 211.49%
Exactly 32.57%
Exactly 40.43%

Alternate Props

Spread

Freiburg
Wins by 2+ goals13.10%
Wins by 3+ goals4.24%
Wins by 4+ goals1.10%
Wins by 5+ goals0.23%
Mainz 05
Wins by 2+ goals20.48%
Wins by 3+ goals7.77%
Wins by 4+ goals2.37%
Wins by 5+ goals0.57%

Exact Winning Margin

Freiburg
Mainz 05
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Freiburg
Wins by 1 goal18.42%
Wins by 2 goals8.86%
Wins by 3 goals3.14%
Wins by 4 goals0.87%
Wins by 5 goals0.20%
Mainz 05
Wins by 1 goal22.06%
Wins by 2 goals12.70%
Wins by 3 goals5.40%
Wins by 4 goals1.80%
Wins by 5 goals0.48%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.98%7.02%
1.574.34%25.66%
2.549.57%50.43%
3.527.64%72.36%
4.513.07%86.93%
5.55.33%94.67%
6.51.90%98.10%

Total Goals Freiburg Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.15%29.85%
1.534.06%65.94%
2.512.24%87.76%
3.53.45%96.55%

Total Goals Mainz 05 Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.49%23.51%
1.542.46%57.54%
2.517.82%82.18%
3.55.93%94.07%
4.51.62%98.38%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.77%29.23%
1.534.82%65.18%
2.512.71%87.29%
3.53.64%96.36%

Score Props

Correct Score

Freiburg
Mainz 05
Score012345
0
7.02%
10.16%
7.36%
3.55%
1.28%
0.37%
1
8.48%
12.28%
8.89%
4.29%
1.55%
0.45%
2
5.13%
7.42%
5.37%
2.59%
0.94%
0.27%
3
2.07%
2.99%
2.17%
1.05%
0.38%
0.11%
4
0.62%
0.90%
0.65%
0.32%
0.11%
0.03%
5
0.15%
0.22%
0.16%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
Freiburg
1-08.48%
2-05.13%
2-17.42%
3-02.07%
3-12.99%
3-22.17%
4-00.62%
4-10.90%
4-20.65%
4-30.32%
5-00.15%
5-10.22%
5-20.16%
Draw
0-07.02%
1-112.28%
2-25.37%
3-31.05%
4-40.11%
Mainz 05
0-110.16%
0-27.36%
1-28.89%
0-33.55%
1-34.29%
2-32.59%
0-41.28%
1-41.55%
2-40.94%
3-40.38%
0-50.37%
1-50.45%
2-50.27%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Freiburg
Mainz 05
Score01234
0
29.23%
19.59%
6.57%
1.47%
0.25%
1
16.36%
10.97%
3.68%
0.82%
0.14%
2
4.58%
3.07%
1.03%
0.23%
0.04%
3
0.85%
0.57%
0.19%
0.04%
0.01%
4
0.12%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Freiburg
1-016.36%
2-04.58%
2-13.07%
3-00.85%
3-10.57%
3-20.19%
4-00.12%
Draw
0-029.23%
1-110.97%
2-21.03%
Mainz 05
0-119.59%
0-26.57%
1-23.68%
0-31.47%
1-30.82%
2-30.23%
0-40.25%
1-40.14%