Leverkusen at Mainz 05

Updated

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

48.7%24.3%27.0%
Leverkusen WinDrawMainz 05 Win
1.66Projected Goals 1.17
2Final Score 3

Mainz 05

Last 5 Games

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Money Line
W 2-4 vs VfB Stuttgart-270
W 5-2 at Dortmund+260
W 1-5 vs Augsburg-240
W 2-1 at Borussia Monchengladbach+130
T 2-2 vs Union Berlin-130
Mainz 05
Money Line
T 1-1 at Freiburg+257
W 0-2 vs Hoffenheim+168
L 1-2 at SpVgg Greuther Furth-115
W 0-1 vs VfL Bochum-150
L 1-4 at RB Leipzig+365

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leverkusen+135+135+132--+132+135+131.6
Mainz 05+185+195+205--+205+205+229.1
Draw+255+235+260--+260+260+278.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leverkusen+120-+121-+105+120+121+131.6
Mainz 05+205-+207-+185+205+207+229.1
Draw+270-+265-+250+270+270+278.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Leverkusen: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Leverkusen: 20.0%
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Leverkusen: 30.0%
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Leverkusen ML
Mainz 05 ML moved from +230 to +205

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Leverkusen: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Leverkusen: 20.0%
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Leverkusen: 0.0%
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Leverkusen ML
No Steam Moves On Mainz 05 ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+105o2¾-110o3+110--o3+110o2¾-110o3+114
Underu3-125u2¾-110u3-130--u3-130u3-130u3-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100o3+110o3+122-o3-105o3+105o3+122o3+114
Underu3-120u3-130u3-142-u3-125u3-125u3-125u3-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes55.9%
 
No44.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.88%
Exactly 223.61%
Exactly 415.79%
Exactly 64.23%
Exactly 80.61%
 
Exactly 116.67%
Exactly 322.30%
Exactly 58.95%
Exactly 71.71%
Exactly 90.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Exactly 019.03%
Exactly 131.57%
Exactly 226.19%
Exactly 314.49%
Exactly 46.01%
Exactly 51.99%
Exactly 60.55%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Mainz 05
Exactly 030.91%
Exactly 136.29%
Exactly 221.31%
Exactly 38.34%
Exactly 42.45%
Exactly 50.57%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.93%
Exactly 223.17%
Exactly 43.32%
Exactly 60.19%
 
Exactly 135.33%
Exactly 310.13%
Exactly 50.87%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Exactly 046.39%
Exactly 135.63%
Exactly 213.69%
Exactly 33.50%
Exactly 40.67%
Exactly 50.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Mainz 05
Exactly 058.06%
Exactly 131.57%
Exactly 28.58%
Exactly 31.55%
Exactly 40.21%

Alternate Props

Spread

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Wins by 2+ goals25.76%
Wins by 3+ goals10.94%
Wins by 4+ goals3.81%
Wins by 5+ goals1.10%
Mainz 05
Wins by 2+ goals10.79%
Wins by 3+ goals3.37%
Wins by 4+ goals0.84%
Wins by 5+ goals0.17%

Exact Winning Margin

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Mainz 05
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Wins by 1 goal22.90%
Wins by 2 goals14.81%
Wins by 3 goals7.13%
Wins by 4 goals2.71%
Wins by 5 goals0.84%
Mainz 05
Wins by 1 goal16.21%
Wins by 2 goals7.42%
Wins by 3 goals2.53%
Wins by 4 goals0.68%
Wins by 5 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.12%5.88%
1.577.45%22.55%
2.553.84%46.16%
3.531.55%68.45%
4.515.75%84.25%
5.56.80%93.20%
6.52.58%97.42%

Total Goals Bayer 04 Leverkusen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.97%19.03%
1.549.40%50.60%
2.523.20%76.80%
3.58.72%91.28%
4.52.71%97.29%

Total Goals Mainz 05 Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.09%30.91%
1.532.80%67.20%
2.511.50%88.50%
3.53.16%96.84%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.07%26.93%
1.537.74%62.26%
2.514.56%85.44%
3.54.43%95.57%
4.51.11%98.89%

Score Props

Correct Score

Leverkusen
Mainz 05
Score012345
0
5.88%
6.91%
4.05%
1.59%
0.47%
0.11%
1
9.76%
11.46%
6.73%
2.63%
0.77%
0.18%
2
8.10%
9.51%
5.58%
2.18%
0.64%
0.15%
3
4.48%
5.26%
3.09%
1.21%
0.35%
0.08%
4
1.86%
2.18%
1.28%
0.50%
0.15%
0.03%
5
0.62%
0.72%
0.42%
0.17%
0.05%
0.01%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1-09.76%
2-08.10%
2-19.51%
3-04.48%
3-15.26%
3-23.09%
4-01.86%
4-12.18%
4-21.28%
4-30.50%
5-00.62%
5-10.72%
5-20.42%
5-30.17%
Draw
0-05.88%
1-111.46%
2-25.58%
3-31.21%
4-40.15%
Mainz 05
0-16.91%
0-24.05%
1-26.73%
0-31.59%
1-32.63%
2-32.18%
0-40.47%
1-40.77%
2-40.64%
3-40.35%
0-50.11%
1-50.18%
2-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Leverkusen
Mainz 05
Score0123
0
26.93%
14.64%
3.98%
0.72%
1
20.69%
11.25%
3.06%
0.55%
2
7.95%
4.32%
1.17%
0.21%
3
2.03%
1.11%
0.30%
0.05%
4
0.39%
0.21%
0.06%
0.01%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1-020.69%
2-07.95%
2-14.32%
3-02.03%
3-11.11%
3-20.30%
4-00.39%
4-10.21%
Draw
0-026.93%
1-111.25%
2-21.17%
Mainz 05
0-114.64%
0-23.98%
1-23.06%
0-30.72%
1-30.55%
2-30.21%