Mainz 05 at Freiburg

Updated

Mainz 05

24.9%20.2%54.9%
Mainz 05 WinDrawFreiburg Win
0.95Projected Goals 2.09
1Final Score 1

Freiburg

Last 5 Games

Mainz 05
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Hoffenheim+168
L 1-2 at SpVgg Greuther Furth-115
W 0-1 vs VfL Bochum-150
L 1-4 at RB Leipzig+365
L 0-1 at Eintracht Frankfurt+185
Freiburg
Money Line
L 0-1 at FC Koln+195
W 0-2 vs VfB Stuttgart-115
L 1-5 at Dortmund+550
T 2-2 vs Arminia Bielefeld-115
W 1-2 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen+159

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mainz 05+240+270+275--+275+275+278.2
Freiburg+115+110+110--+110+110+121.5
Draw+235+225+241--+241+241+252.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mainz 05+250-+257-+230+250+257+278.2
Freiburg+110-+109--110+110+110+121.5
Draw+245-+240-+230+245+245+252.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mainz 05: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Freiburg: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mainz 05: 0.0%
Freiburg: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mainz 05: 0.0%
Freiburg: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Mainz 05 ML
No Steam Moves On Freiburg ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mainz 05: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Freiburg: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mainz 05: 0.0%
Freiburg: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mainz 05: 0.0%
Freiburg: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Mainz 05 ML
No Steam Moves On Freiburg ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-118o2¼-115o2¼-113--o2¼-113o2¼-113o2½+119
Underu2½-102u2¼-105u2¼-107--u2¼-107u2¼-105u2½-119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½-105o2½+112-o2½-105o2½+105o2½+112o2½+119
Underu2½-115u2½-115u2½-132-u2½-125u2½-125u2½-115u2½-119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-118 to u2¼-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.6%
 
No46.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.81%
Exactly 222.14%
Exactly 417.00%
Exactly 65.22%
Exactly 80.86%
 
Exactly 114.59%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.32%
Exactly 72.26%
Exactly 90.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Mainz 05
Exactly 038.82%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 217.38%
Exactly 35.48%
Exactly 41.30%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Freiburg
Exactly 012.38%
Exactly 125.86%
Exactly 227.01%
Exactly 318.81%
Exactly 49.83%
Exactly 54.11%
Exactly 61.43%
Exactly 70.43%
Exactly 80.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.53%
Exactly 224.22%
Exactly 43.99%
Exactly 60.26%
 
Exactly 134.47%
Exactly 311.35%
Exactly 51.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Mainz 05
Exactly 064.53%
Exactly 128.27%
Exactly 26.19%
Exactly 30.90%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Freiburg
Exactly 038.01%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.78%
Exactly 35.73%
Exactly 41.39%
Exactly 50.27%

Alternate Props

Spread

Mainz 05
Wins by 2+ goals5.30%
Wins by 3+ goals1.33%
Wins by 4+ goals0.25%
Freiburg
Wins by 2+ goals39.83%
Wins by 3+ goals20.48%
Wins by 4+ goals8.77%
Wins by 5+ goals3.18%
Wins by 6+ goals0.98%
Wins by 7+ goals0.25%

Exact Winning Margin

Mainz 05
Freiburg
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Mainz 05
Wins by 1 goal10.79%
Wins by 2 goals3.97%
Wins by 3 goals1.08%
Wins by 4 goals0.22%
Freiburg
Wins by 1 goal23.83%
Wins by 2 goals19.35%
Wins by 3 goals11.71%
Wins by 4 goals5.60%
Wins by 5 goals2.20%
Wins by 6 goals0.73%
Wins by 7 goals0.21%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.19%4.81%
1.580.61%19.39%
2.558.47%41.53%
3.536.07%63.93%
4.519.07%80.93%
5.58.75%91.25%
6.53.53%96.47%
7.51.27%98.73%

Total Goals Mainz 05 Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.18%38.82%
1.524.45%75.55%
2.57.07%92.93%
3.51.59%98.41%

Total Goals Freiburg Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.62%12.38%
1.561.76%38.24%
2.534.74%65.26%
3.515.93%84.07%
4.56.10%93.90%
5.52.00%98.00%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.47%24.53%
1.541.00%59.00%
2.516.78%83.22%
3.55.43%94.57%
4.51.45%98.55%

Score Props

Correct Score

Mainz 05
Freiburg
Score012345
0
4.81%
10.04%
10.49%
7.30%
3.81%
1.59%
1
4.55%
9.50%
9.92%
6.91%
3.61%
1.51%
2
2.15%
4.49%
4.69%
3.27%
1.71%
0.71%
3
0.68%
1.42%
1.48%
1.03%
0.54%
0.23%
4
0.16%
0.34%
0.35%
0.24%
0.13%
0.05%
Mainz 05
1-04.55%
2-02.15%
2-14.49%
3-00.68%
3-11.42%
3-21.48%
4-00.16%
4-10.34%
4-20.35%
4-30.24%
Draw
0-04.81%
1-19.50%
2-24.69%
3-31.03%
4-40.13%
Freiburg
0-110.04%
0-210.49%
1-29.92%
0-37.30%
1-36.91%
2-33.27%
0-43.81%
1-43.61%
2-41.71%
3-40.54%
0-51.59%
1-51.51%
2-50.71%
3-50.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Mainz 05
Freiburg
Score012345
0
24.53%
23.72%
11.47%
3.70%
0.89%
0.17%
1
10.75%
10.39%
5.03%
1.62%
0.39%
0.08%
2
2.35%
2.28%
1.10%
0.36%
0.09%
0.02%
3
0.34%
0.33%
0.16%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Mainz 05
1-010.75%
2-02.35%
2-12.28%
3-00.34%
3-10.33%
3-20.16%
Draw
0-024.53%
1-110.39%
2-21.10%
Freiburg
0-123.72%
0-211.47%
1-25.03%
0-33.70%
1-31.62%
2-30.36%
0-40.89%
1-40.39%
0-50.17%