St. Pauli at RB Leipzig

Updated

FC St. Pauli

12.3%16.5%71.2%
WinDrawRB Leipzig Win
0.95Projected Goals 2.51
0Final Score 2

RB Leipzig

Last 5 Games

FC St. Pauli
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Augsburg+110
W 0-3 vs Union Berlin+140
W 2-0 at FC Heidenheim+205
L 0-1 at VfL Bochum+185
L 1-0 vs Eintracht Frankfurt+245
RB Leipzig
Money Line
T 0-0 at Union Berlin+130
T 2-2 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen+260
T 3-3 at VfL Bochum+110
L 1-2 at VfB Stuttgart+260
W 2-4 vs Werder Bremen-115

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
St. Pauli+495-+380+405+389+405+405+423.6
RB Leipzig-183--150-145-149-145-145-133.0
Draw+353-+285+305+296+305+305+319.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
St. Pauli+435-+425-+385+380+425+423.6
RB Leipzig-165--164--205-145-145-133.0
Draw+320-+315-+300+300+315+319.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
St. Pauli: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
RB Leipzig: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

St. Pauli: 0.0%
RB Leipzig: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

St. Pauli: 0.0%
RB Leipzig: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

St. Pauli ML moved from +380 to +370
RB Leipzig ML moved from -168 to -175

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
St. Pauli: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
RB Leipzig: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

St. Pauli: 0.0%
RB Leipzig: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

St. Pauli: 10.0%
RB Leipzig: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

St. Pauli ML moved from +415 to +380
RB Leipzig ML moved from -205 to -220

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-116-o2½-122o2¾+100o2½-121o2¾+100o2½-121o2¾+109
Underu2¾-104-u2½+102u2¾-120u2½-101u2¾-120u2¾-120u2¾-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-140o2½-125o2½-130-o2½-145o2½-130o2½-125o2¾+109
Underu2½+120u2½+105u2½+110-u2½+115u2½+110u2½+115u2¾-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes56.4%
 
No43.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.15%
Exactly 218.83%
Exactly 418.76%
Exactly 67.48%
Exactly 81.60%
Exactly 100.21%
 
Exactly 110.89%
Exactly 321.70%
Exactly 512.98%
Exactly 73.70%
Exactly 90.61%
Exact Goals Scored - FC St. Pauli
Exactly 038.60%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 217.49%
Exactly 35.55%
Exactly 41.32%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - RB Leipzig
Exactly 08.16%
Exactly 120.45%
Exactly 225.62%
Exactly 321.40%
Exactly 413.41%
Exactly 56.72%
Exactly 62.81%
Exactly 71.01%
Exactly 80.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.17%
Exactly 225.85%
Exactly 45.52%
Exactly 60.47%
 
Exactly 132.29%
Exactly 313.80%
Exactly 51.77%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - FC St. Pauli
Exactly 064.35%
Exactly 128.37%
Exactly 26.25%
Exactly 30.92%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - RB Leipzig
Exactly 031.34%
Exactly 136.36%
Exactly 221.10%
Exactly 38.16%
Exactly 42.37%
Exactly 50.55%
Exactly 60.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

FC St. Pauli
Wins by 2+ goals3.92%
Wins by 3+ goals0.97%
Wins by 4+ goals0.18%
RB Leipzig
Wins by 2+ goals49.19%
Wins by 3+ goals28.68%
Wins by 4+ goals14.15%
Wins by 5+ goals5.95%
Wins by 6+ goals2.13%
Wins by 7+ goals0.63%
Wins by 8+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

FC St. Pauli
RB Leipzig
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
FC St. Pauli
Wins by 1 goal8.31%
Wins by 2 goals2.95%
Wins by 3 goals0.79%
Wins by 4 goals0.16%
RB Leipzig
Wins by 1 goal21.89%
Wins by 2 goals20.51%
Wins by 3 goals14.53%
Wins by 4 goals8.20%
Wins by 5 goals3.82%
Wins by 6 goals1.51%
Wins by 7 goals0.50%
Wins by 8 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.85%3.15%
1.585.96%14.04%
2.567.13%32.87%
3.545.43%54.57%
4.526.67%73.33%
5.513.69%86.31%
6.56.21%93.79%
7.52.52%97.48%

Total Goals FC St. Pauli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.40%38.60%
1.524.66%75.34%
2.57.17%92.83%
3.51.62%98.38%

Total Goals RB Leipzig Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.84%8.16%
1.571.40%28.60%
2.545.78%54.22%
3.524.37%75.63%
4.510.96%89.04%
5.54.24%95.76%
6.51.44%98.56%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.83%20.17%
1.547.54%52.46%
2.521.69%78.31%
3.57.90%92.10%
4.52.37%97.63%

Score Props

Correct Score

St. Pauli
RB Leipzig
Score012345
0
3.15%
7.89%
9.89%
8.26%
5.18%
2.59%
1
3.00%
7.51%
9.41%
7.86%
4.93%
2.47%
2
1.43%
3.58%
4.48%
3.74%
2.35%
1.18%
3
0.45%
1.13%
1.42%
1.19%
0.74%
0.37%
4
0.11%
0.27%
0.34%
0.28%
0.18%
0.09%
FC St. Pauli
1-03.00%
2-01.43%
2-13.58%
3-00.45%
3-11.13%
3-21.42%
4-00.11%
4-10.27%
4-20.34%
4-30.28%
Draw
0-03.15%
1-17.51%
2-24.48%
3-31.19%
4-40.18%
RB Leipzig
0-17.89%
0-29.89%
1-29.41%
0-38.26%
1-37.86%
2-33.74%
0-45.18%
1-44.93%
2-42.35%
3-40.74%
0-52.59%
1-52.47%
2-51.18%
3-50.37%

Correct Score - First Half

St. Pauli
RB Leipzig
Score012345
0
20.17%
23.40%
13.58%
5.25%
1.52%
0.35%
1
8.89%
10.31%
5.98%
2.31%
0.67%
0.16%
2
1.96%
2.27%
1.32%
0.51%
0.15%
0.03%
3
0.29%
0.33%
0.19%
0.07%
0.02%
0.01%
FC St. Pauli
1-08.89%
2-01.96%
2-12.27%
3-00.29%
3-10.33%
3-20.19%
Draw
0-020.17%
1-110.31%
2-21.32%
RB Leipzig
0-123.40%
0-213.58%
1-25.98%
0-35.25%
1-32.31%
2-30.51%
0-41.52%
1-40.67%
2-40.15%
0-50.35%
1-50.16%