St. Pauli at Leverkusen

Updated

FC St. Pauli

9.5%13.8%76.7%
WinDrawLeverkusen Win
0.93Projected Goals 2.84
0Final Score 4

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Last 5 Games

FC St. Pauli
Money Line
W 1-2 vs VfB Stuttgart+365
L 1-2 at Augsburg+340
T 1-1 vs RB Leipzig+390
T 0-0 vs Hamburger SV+190
L 2-3 at Dortmund+1050
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Money Line
T 1-1 at Borussia Monchengladbach+100
W 3-1 at Eintracht Frankfurt+115
W 0-1 vs Werder Bremen-180
L 0-1 at Hoffenheim+188
L 4-1 vs VfB Stuttgart+120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.0%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
St. Pauli+575+580+525+569+569+569+580+592.7
Leverkusen-218-189-196-196-196-196-189-177.4
Draw+350+330+330+347+347+347+347+362.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
St. Pauli+590-+550--+525+550+592.7
Leverkusen-215--205---195-195-177.4
Draw+350-+340--+335+340+362.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
St. Pauli: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leverkusen: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

St. Pauli: 0.0%
Leverkusen: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

St. Pauli: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

St. Pauli: 0.0%
Leverkusen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

St. Pauli ML moved from +600 to +560
Leverkusen ML moved from -189 to -196

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
St. Pauli: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leverkusen: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

St. Pauli: 0.0%
Leverkusen: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

St. Pauli: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

St. Pauli: 0.0%
Leverkusen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

St. Pauli ML moved from +560 to +525
Leverkusen ML moved from -205 to -220

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-118o2½-114o2½-115o2½-118o2½-118o2½-118o2½-114o2½-107
Underu2½-102u2½+103u2½-105u2½-102u2½-102u2½-102u2½+103u2½+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½-125o2½-113--o2½-120o2½-113o2½-107
Underu2½-105u2½+105u2½-107--u2½+100u2½+105u2½+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes57.0%
 
No43.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.31%
Exactly 216.39%
Exactly 419.40%
Exactly 69.19%
Exactly 82.33%
Exactly 100.37%
 
Exactly 18.69%
Exactly 320.59%
Exactly 514.63%
Exactly 74.95%
Exactly 90.98%
Exactly 110.13%
Exact Goals Scored - FC St. Pauli
Exactly 039.47%
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 217.06%
Exactly 35.29%
Exactly 41.23%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Exactly 05.84%
Exactly 116.60%
Exactly 223.56%
Exactly 322.31%
Exactly 415.84%
Exactly 58.99%
Exactly 64.26%
Exactly 71.73%
Exactly 80.61%
Exactly 90.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 017.46%
Exactly 226.59%
Exactly 46.75%
Exactly 60.69%
 
Exactly 130.47%
Exactly 315.47%
Exactly 52.36%
Exactly 70.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - FC St. Pauli
Exactly 065.02%
Exactly 127.99%
Exactly 26.02%
Exactly 30.86%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Exactly 026.85%
Exactly 135.31%
Exactly 223.21%
Exactly 310.17%
Exactly 43.34%
Exactly 50.88%
Exactly 60.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

FC St. Pauli
Wins by 2+ goals2.90%
Wins by 3+ goals0.69%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Wins by 2+ goals56.69%
Wins by 3+ goals35.97%
Wins by 4+ goals19.57%
Wins by 5+ goals9.20%
Wins by 6+ goals3.76%
Wins by 7+ goals1.33%
Wins by 8+ goals0.39%

Exact Winning Margin

FC St. Pauli
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
FC St. Pauli
Wins by 1 goal6.53%
Wins by 2 goals2.21%
Wins by 3 goals0.57%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Wins by 1 goal19.96%
Wins by 2 goals20.72%
Wins by 3 goals16.40%
Wins by 4 goals10.38%
Wins by 5 goals5.44%
Wins by 6 goals2.43%
Wins by 7 goals0.94%
Wins by 8 goals0.31%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.69%2.31%
1.589.00%11.00%
2.572.61%27.39%
3.552.03%47.97%
4.532.62%67.38%
5.518.00%82.00%
6.58.81%91.19%
7.53.86%96.14%
8.51.53%98.47%

Total Goals FC St. Pauli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.53%39.47%
1.523.84%76.16%
2.56.78%93.22%
3.51.50%98.50%

Total Goals Bayer 04 Leverkusen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.16%5.84%
1.577.56%22.44%
2.554.00%46.00%
3.531.69%68.31%
4.515.86%84.14%
5.56.86%93.14%
6.52.61%97.39%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.54%17.46%
1.552.07%47.93%
2.525.48%74.52%
3.510.01%89.99%
4.53.26%96.74%

Score Props

Correct Score

St. Pauli
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Score0123456
0
2.31%
6.55%
9.30%
8.80%
6.25%
3.55%
1.68%
1
2.14%
6.09%
8.65%
8.18%
5.81%
3.30%
1.56%
2
1.00%
2.83%
4.02%
3.80%
2.70%
1.53%
0.73%
3
0.31%
0.88%
1.25%
1.18%
0.84%
0.48%
0.23%
FC St. Pauli
1-02.14%
2-01.00%
2-12.83%
3-00.31%
3-10.88%
3-21.25%
Draw
0-02.31%
1-16.09%
2-24.02%
3-31.18%
4-40.19%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-16.55%
0-29.30%
1-28.65%
0-38.80%
1-38.18%
2-33.80%
0-46.25%
1-45.81%
2-42.70%
3-40.84%
0-53.55%
1-53.30%
2-51.53%
3-50.48%
4-50.11%
0-61.68%
1-61.56%
2-60.73%
3-60.23%

Correct Score - First Half

St. Pauli
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Score0123456
0
17.46%
22.96%
15.09%
6.61%
2.17%
0.57%
0.13%
1
7.52%
9.88%
6.50%
2.85%
0.94%
0.25%
0.05%
2
1.62%
2.13%
1.40%
0.61%
0.20%
0.05%
0.01%
3
0.23%
0.31%
0.20%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
FC St. Pauli
1-07.52%
2-01.62%
2-12.13%
3-00.23%
3-10.31%
3-20.20%
Draw
0-017.46%
1-19.88%
2-21.40%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-122.96%
0-215.09%
1-26.50%
0-36.61%
1-32.85%
2-30.61%
0-42.17%
1-40.94%
2-40.20%
0-50.57%
1-50.25%
0-60.13%
M'gladbach at Eint Frankfurt
Freiburg at Hoffenheim