St. Pauli at Dortmund

Updated

FC St. Pauli

9.6%13.5%76.9%
WinDrawDortmund Win
0.99Projected Goals 2.94
2Final Score 3

Dortmund

Last 5 Games

FC St. Pauli
Money Line
L 1-2 at Wolfsburg+330
T 0-0 at Mainz 05+290
W 1-2 vs FC Heidenheim-120
T 1-1 at FC Koln+290
L 1-3 at Bayern Munich+2300
Dortmund
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Werder Bremen-250
T 3-3 at Eintracht Frankfurt+100
W 0-2 vs Borussia Monchengladbach-205
T 1-1 at Freiburg+105
W 0-2 vs Hoffenheim-155

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
St. Pauli+725+998+850+1025+1025+1050+1050+1091.1
Dortmund-285-303-310-323-323-320-303-278.2
Draw+415+440+420+450+450+435+450+454.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
St. Pauli+745-+950--+1050+1050+1091.1
Dortmund-290--345---370-345-278.2
Draw+425-+447--+460+460+454.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
St. Pauli: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

St. Pauli: 0.0%
Dortmund: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

St. Pauli: 10.0%
Dortmund: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

St. Pauli ML moved from +1048 to +998
Dortmund ML moved from -294 to -303

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
St. Pauli: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

St. Pauli: 0.0%
Dortmund: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

St. Pauli: 10.0%
Dortmund: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

St. Pauli ML moved from +1000 to +950
Dortmund ML moved from -310 to -370

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-110o2½-116o2½-120o2½-122o2½-122o2½-122o2½-116o2½-111
Underu2¾-110u2½+103u2½+100u2½+102u2½+102u2½+102u2½+103u2½+111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-145o2½-125o2½-125--o2½-125o2½-125o2½-111
Underu2½+125u2½+105u2½+105--u2½+105u2½+105u2½+111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2¾-105 to u2½+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes59.4%
 
No40.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 01.97%
Exactly 215.19%
Exactly 419.52%
Exactly 610.04%
Exactly 82.77%
Exactly 100.47%
 
Exactly 17.73%
Exactly 319.88%
Exactly 515.34%
Exactly 75.63%
Exactly 91.21%
Exactly 110.17%
Exact Goals Scored - FC St. Pauli
Exactly 037.24%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.17%
Exactly 35.98%
Exactly 41.48%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Dortmund
Exactly 05.29%
Exactly 115.55%
Exactly 222.85%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 416.46%
Exactly 59.67%
Exactly 64.74%
Exactly 71.99%
Exactly 80.73%
Exactly 90.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 016.23%
Exactly 226.83%
Exactly 47.39%
Exactly 60.82%
 
Exactly 129.51%
Exactly 316.26%
Exactly 52.69%
Exactly 70.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - FC St. Pauli
Exactly 063.29%
Exactly 128.95%
Exactly 26.62%
Exactly 31.01%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Dortmund
Exactly 025.64%
Exactly 134.90%
Exactly 223.75%
Exactly 310.77%
Exactly 43.67%
Exactly 51.00%
Exactly 60.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

FC St. Pauli
Wins by 2+ goals3.05%
Wins by 3+ goals0.75%
Dortmund
Wins by 2+ goals57.43%
Wins by 3+ goals37.04%
Wins by 4+ goals20.58%
Wins by 5+ goals9.90%
Wins by 6+ goals4.15%
Wins by 7+ goals1.50%
Wins by 8+ goals0.45%

Exact Winning Margin

FC St. Pauli
Dortmund
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
FC St. Pauli
Wins by 1 goal6.52%
Wins by 2 goals2.29%
Wins by 3 goals0.61%
Dortmund
Wins by 1 goal19.40%
Wins by 2 goals20.39%
Wins by 3 goals16.46%
Wins by 4 goals10.68%
Wins by 5 goals5.76%
Wins by 6 goals2.64%
Wins by 7 goals1.05%
Wins by 8 goals0.36%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.598.03%1.97%
1.590.30%9.70%
2.575.11%24.89%
3.555.23%44.77%
4.535.70%64.30%
5.520.37%79.63%
6.510.33%89.67%
7.54.69%95.31%
8.51.93%98.07%

Total Goals FC St. Pauli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.76%37.24%
1.525.98%74.02%
2.57.81%92.19%
3.51.83%98.17%

Total Goals Dortmund Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.71%5.29%
1.579.17%20.83%
2.556.32%43.68%
3.533.93%66.07%
4.517.47%82.53%
5.57.80%92.20%
6.53.06%96.94%
7.51.07%98.93%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.77%16.23%
1.554.26%45.74%
2.527.43%72.57%
3.511.17%88.83%
4.53.78%96.22%
5.51.09%98.91%

Score Props

Correct Score

St. Pauli
Dortmund
Score0123456
0
1.97%
5.79%
8.51%
8.34%
6.13%
3.60%
1.77%
1
1.95%
5.72%
8.41%
8.24%
6.05%
3.56%
1.74%
2
0.96%
2.82%
4.15%
4.07%
2.99%
1.76%
0.86%
3
0.32%
0.93%
1.37%
1.34%
0.98%
0.58%
0.28%
FC St. Pauli
1-01.95%
2-00.96%
2-12.82%
3-00.32%
3-10.93%
3-21.37%
Draw
0-01.97%
1-15.72%
2-24.15%
3-31.34%
4-40.24%
Dortmund
0-15.79%
0-28.51%
1-28.41%
0-38.34%
1-38.24%
2-34.07%
0-46.13%
1-46.05%
2-42.99%
3-40.98%
0-53.60%
1-53.56%
2-51.76%
3-50.58%
4-50.14%
0-61.77%
1-61.74%
2-60.86%
3-60.28%

Correct Score - First Half

St. Pauli
Dortmund
Score0123456
0
16.23%
22.09%
15.03%
6.82%
2.32%
0.63%
0.14%
1
7.42%
10.10%
6.88%
3.12%
1.06%
0.29%
0.07%
2
1.70%
2.31%
1.57%
0.71%
0.24%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.26%
0.35%
0.24%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
FC St. Pauli
1-07.42%
2-01.70%
2-12.31%
3-00.26%
3-10.35%
3-20.24%
Draw
0-016.23%
1-110.10%
2-21.57%
3-30.11%
Dortmund
0-122.09%
0-215.03%
1-26.88%
0-36.82%
1-33.12%
2-30.71%
0-42.32%
1-41.06%
2-40.24%
0-50.63%
1-50.29%
0-60.14%