Mainz 05 at Dortmund

Updated

Mainz 05

12.0%15.7%72.3%
WinDrawDortmund Win
1.01Projected Goals 2.66
0Final Score 4

Dortmund

Last 5 Games

Mainz 05
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Augsburg+100
W 2-1 at RB Leipzig+450
W 1-3 vs Wolfsburg+135
L 1-2 at FC Koln+255
W 1-2 vs FC Heidenheim-130
Dortmund
Money Line
W 2-1 at Wolfsburg-145
W 2-3 vs FC Heidenheim-385
W 3-0 at Union Berlin+130
W 2-3 vs FC St. Pauli-345
W 0-3 vs Werder Bremen-250

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mainz 05+395+420+400+420+420+420+420+438.8
Dortmund-168-145-157-158-158-158-145-144.5
Draw+345+300+310+332+332+332+332+347.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mainz 05+425-+450--+395+395+438.8
Dortmund-180--180---160-160-144.5
Draw+360-+340--+330+340+347.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mainz 05: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mainz 05: 0.0%
Dortmund: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mainz 05: 10.0%
Dortmund: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mainz 05 ML moved from +430 to +410
Dortmund ML moved from -148 to -154

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mainz 05: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mainz 05: 0.0%
Dortmund: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mainz 05: 0.0%
Dortmund: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mainz 05 ML moved from +410 to +395
Dortmund ML moved from -170 to -180

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-112o3+100o3-105o3+100o3+100o3+100o3+100o3+109
Underu3-108u3-110u3-115u3-120u3-120u3-120u3-110u3-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-120o3-110o3-110--o3+105o3+105o3+109
Underu3+100u3-110u3-110--u3-125u3-110u3-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3+100 to u3-125

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes59.3%
 
No40.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.54%
Exactly 217.13%
Exactly 419.26%
Exactly 68.66%
Exactly 82.09%
Exactly 100.31%
 
Exactly 19.33%
Exactly 320.98%
Exactly 514.15%
Exactly 74.55%
Exactly 90.85%
Exactly 110.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Mainz 05
Exactly 036.24%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.67%
Exactly 36.32%
Exactly 41.60%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Dortmund
Exactly 07.01%
Exactly 118.62%
Exactly 224.76%
Exactly 321.94%
Exactly 414.58%
Exactly 57.75%
Exactly 63.43%
Exactly 71.30%
Exactly 80.43%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 018.25%
Exactly 226.40%
Exactly 46.36%
Exactly 60.61%
 
Exactly 131.05%
Exactly 314.97%
Exactly 52.16%
Exactly 70.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Mainz 05
Exactly 062.51%
Exactly 129.37%
Exactly 26.90%
Exactly 31.08%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Dortmund
Exactly 029.20%
Exactly 135.95%
Exactly 222.12%
Exactly 39.08%
Exactly 42.79%
Exactly 50.69%
Exactly 60.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Mainz 05
Wins by 2+ goals3.97%
Wins by 3+ goals1.02%
Wins by 4+ goals0.20%
Dortmund
Wins by 2+ goals51.25%
Wins by 3+ goals30.93%
Wins by 4+ goals15.93%
Wins by 5+ goals7.07%
Wins by 6+ goals2.72%
Wins by 7+ goals0.91%
Wins by 8+ goals0.25%

Exact Winning Margin

Mainz 05
Dortmund
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Mainz 05
Wins by 1 goal8.02%
Wins by 2 goals2.95%
Wins by 3 goals0.82%
Wins by 4 goals0.17%
Dortmund
Wins by 1 goal21.01%
Wins by 2 goals20.31%
Wins by 3 goals15.00%
Wins by 4 goals8.87%
Wins by 5 goals4.35%
Wins by 6 goals1.81%
Wins by 7 goals0.66%
Wins by 8 goals0.20%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.46%2.54%
1.588.13%11.87%
2.571.00%29.00%
3.550.03%49.97%
4.530.77%69.23%
5.516.61%83.39%
6.57.95%92.05%
7.53.40%96.60%
8.51.31%98.69%

Total Goals Mainz 05 Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.76%36.24%
1.526.97%73.03%
2.58.31%91.69%
3.51.99%98.01%

Total Goals Dortmund Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.99%7.01%
1.574.37%25.63%
2.549.62%50.38%
3.527.68%72.32%
4.513.10%86.90%
5.55.35%94.65%
6.51.91%98.09%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.75%18.25%
1.550.70%49.30%
2.524.30%75.70%
3.59.33%90.67%
4.52.97%97.03%

Score Props

Correct Score

Mainz 05
Dortmund
Score0123456
0
2.54%
6.75%
8.97%
7.95%
5.28%
2.81%
1.24%
1
2.58%
6.85%
9.11%
8.07%
5.36%
2.85%
1.26%
2
1.31%
3.48%
4.62%
4.10%
2.72%
1.45%
0.64%
3
0.44%
1.18%
1.56%
1.39%
0.92%
0.49%
0.22%
4
0.11%
0.30%
0.40%
0.35%
0.23%
0.12%
0.06%
Mainz 05
1-02.58%
2-01.31%
2-13.48%
3-00.44%
3-11.18%
3-21.56%
4-00.11%
4-10.30%
4-20.40%
4-30.35%
Draw
0-02.54%
1-16.85%
2-24.62%
3-31.39%
4-40.23%
Dortmund
0-16.75%
0-28.97%
1-29.11%
0-37.95%
1-38.07%
2-34.10%
0-45.28%
1-45.36%
2-42.72%
3-40.92%
0-52.81%
1-52.85%
2-51.45%
3-50.49%
4-50.12%
0-61.24%
1-61.26%
2-60.64%
3-60.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Mainz 05
Dortmund
Score012345
0
18.25%
22.47%
13.83%
5.67%
1.75%
0.43%
1
8.58%
10.56%
6.50%
2.67%
0.82%
0.20%
2
2.02%
2.48%
1.53%
0.63%
0.19%
0.05%
3
0.32%
0.39%
0.24%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Mainz 05
1-08.58%
2-02.02%
2-12.48%
3-00.32%
3-10.39%
3-20.24%
Draw
0-018.25%
1-110.56%
2-21.53%
Dortmund
0-122.47%
0-213.83%
1-26.50%
0-35.67%
1-32.67%
2-30.63%
0-41.75%
1-40.82%
2-40.19%
0-50.43%
1-50.20%