Leverkusen at Freiburg

Updated

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

46.4%24.2%29.4%
Leverkusen WinDrawFreiburg Win
1.65Projected Goals 1.27

Freiburg

Last 5 Games

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Mainz 05-140
L 0-1 at Union Berlin+135
W 0-4 vs FC St. Pauli-195
T 1-1 at Borussia Monchengladbach+100
W 3-1 at Eintracht Frankfurt+115
Freiburg
Money Line
L 0-2 at Eintracht Frankfurt+215
W 1-2 vs Borussia Monchengladbach+110
L 0-3 at Hoffenheim+360
W 0-1 vs Werder Bremen+116
L 0-1 at VfB Stuttgart+390

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leverkusen+120+146+147+130+130+130+147+143.7
Freiburg+215+186+185+200+200+200+200+217.9
Draw+248+240+235+243+243+243+243+263.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leverkusen-----+143.7
Freiburg-----+217.9
Draw-----+263.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Leverkusen: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Freiburg: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Leverkusen: 20.0%
Freiburg: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Leverkusen: 30.0%
Freiburg: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Leverkusen ML
Freiburg ML moved from +196 to +188

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-120o2½-115o2½-118o2½-118o2½-118o2½-118o2½-115o2½-107
Underu2½+100u2½+102u2½-102u2½-102u2½-102u2½-102u2½+102u2½+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-107
Under-----u2½+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes58.2%
 
No41.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.37%
Exactly 222.96%
Exactly 416.36%
Exactly 64.66%
Exactly 80.71%
 
Exactly 115.71%
Exactly 322.38%
Exactly 59.57%
Exactly 71.95%
Exactly 90.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Exactly 019.14%
Exactly 131.64%
Exactly 226.16%
Exactly 314.42%
Exactly 45.96%
Exactly 51.97%
Exactly 60.54%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Freiburg
Exactly 028.07%
Exactly 135.66%
Exactly 222.65%
Exactly 39.59%
Exactly 43.05%
Exactly 50.77%
Exactly 60.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.82%
Exactly 223.67%
Exactly 43.62%
Exactly 60.22%
 
Exactly 134.96%
Exactly 310.68%
Exactly 50.98%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Exactly 046.50%
Exactly 135.60%
Exactly 213.63%
Exactly 33.48%
Exactly 40.67%
Exactly 50.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Freiburg
Exactly 055.53%
Exactly 132.66%
Exactly 29.61%
Exactly 31.88%
Exactly 40.28%

Alternate Props

Spread

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Wins by 2+ goals24.24%
Wins by 3+ goals10.20%
Wins by 4+ goals3.52%
Wins by 5+ goals1.01%
Freiburg
Wins by 2+ goals12.42%
Wins by 3+ goals4.13%
Wins by 4+ goals1.10%
Wins by 5+ goals0.23%

Exact Winning Margin

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Freiburg
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Wins by 1 goal22.12%
Wins by 2 goals14.04%
Wins by 3 goals6.68%
Wins by 4 goals2.51%
Wins by 5 goals0.78%
Freiburg
Wins by 1 goal16.99%
Wins by 2 goals8.29%
Wins by 3 goals3.03%
Wins by 4 goals0.87%
Wins by 5 goals0.20%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.63%5.37%
1.578.92%21.08%
2.555.96%44.04%
3.533.58%66.42%
4.517.22%82.78%
5.57.65%92.35%
6.52.98%97.02%
7.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals Bayer 04 Leverkusen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.86%19.14%
1.549.22%50.78%
2.523.06%76.94%
3.58.64%91.36%
4.52.68%97.32%

Total Goals Freiburg Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.93%28.07%
1.536.27%63.73%
2.513.61%86.39%
3.54.02%95.98%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.18%25.82%
1.539.21%60.79%
2.515.55%84.45%
3.54.87%95.13%
4.51.25%98.75%

Score Props

Correct Score

Leverkusen
Freiburg
Score012345
0
5.37%
6.82%
4.33%
1.84%
0.58%
0.15%
1
8.88%
11.28%
7.17%
3.04%
0.96%
0.24%
2
7.34%
9.33%
5.93%
2.51%
0.80%
0.20%
3
4.05%
5.14%
3.27%
1.38%
0.44%
0.11%
4
1.67%
2.13%
1.35%
0.57%
0.18%
0.05%
5
0.55%
0.70%
0.45%
0.19%
0.06%
0.02%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1-08.88%
2-07.34%
2-19.33%
3-04.05%
3-15.14%
3-23.27%
4-01.67%
4-12.13%
4-21.35%
4-30.57%
5-00.55%
5-10.70%
5-20.45%
5-30.19%
Draw
0-05.37%
1-111.28%
2-25.93%
3-31.38%
4-40.18%
Freiburg
0-16.82%
0-24.33%
1-27.17%
0-31.84%
1-33.04%
2-32.51%
0-40.58%
1-40.96%
2-40.80%
3-40.44%
0-50.15%
1-50.24%
2-50.20%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Leverkusen
Freiburg
Score01234
0
25.82%
15.19%
4.47%
0.88%
0.13%
1
19.77%
11.63%
3.42%
0.67%
0.10%
2
7.57%
4.45%
1.31%
0.26%
0.04%
3
1.93%
1.14%
0.33%
0.07%
0.01%
4
0.37%
0.22%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1-019.77%
2-07.57%
2-14.45%
3-01.93%
3-11.14%
3-20.33%
4-00.37%
4-10.22%
Draw
0-025.82%
1-111.63%
2-21.31%
Freiburg
0-115.19%
0-24.47%
1-23.42%
0-30.88%
1-30.67%
2-30.26%
0-40.13%