Leverkusen at Holstein Kiel

Updated

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

76.7%13.9%9.4%
Leverkusen WinDrawWin
2.82Projected Goals 0.92
2Final Score 0

Holstein Kiel

Last 5 Games

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Bayern Munich+205
T 0-0 at Wolfsburg+110
W 1-3 vs Hoffenheim-780
T 2-2 at RB Leipzig+105
W 1-3 vs Borussia Monchengladbach-415
Holstein Kiel
Money Line
L 1-3 at Eintracht Frankfurt+775
T 2-2 vs VfL Bochum+130
L 3-4 at Bayern Munich+4150
T 2-2 at Wolfsburg+580
L 3-1 vs Hoffenheim+190

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leverkusen-345-470-480-500-527-500-470-411.6
Holstein Kiel+800+1303+1100+1450+1303+1450+1450+1505.5
Draw+500+594+600+625+598+625+625+650.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leverkusen-415--510---440-440-411.6
Holstein Kiel+985-+1325--+1050+1325+1505.5
Draw+550-+610--+565+610+650.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Leverkusen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Holstein Kiel: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Leverkusen: 0.0%
Holstein Kiel: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Leverkusen: 0.0%
Holstein Kiel: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Leverkusen ML moved from -470 to -500
Holstein Kiel ML moved from +1200 to +1100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Leverkusen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Holstein Kiel: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Leverkusen: 0.0%
Holstein Kiel: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Leverkusen: 0.0%
Holstein Kiel: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Leverkusen ML moved from -485 to -510
Holstein Kiel ML moved from +1000 to +960

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-105o3-132o3¼+102o3¼+100o3¼+100o3¼+100o3¼+102o3¼+109
Underu3¼-115u3+112u3¼-122u3¼-120u3¼-122u3¼-120u3¼-120u3¼-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+110o3½+105o3-125-o3½+100o3½+105o3-125o3¼+109
Underu3½-130u3½-125u3+105-u3½-130u3½-125u3½-125u3¼-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3½-135 to u3+105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes56.5%
 
No43.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.38%
Exactly 216.64%
Exactly 419.36%
Exactly 69.01%
Exactly 82.25%
Exactly 100.35%
 
Exactly 18.91%
Exactly 320.73%
Exactly 514.47%
Exactly 74.81%
Exactly 90.93%
Exactly 110.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Exactly 05.97%
Exactly 116.83%
Exactly 223.71%
Exactly 322.28%
Exactly 415.70%
Exactly 58.85%
Exactly 64.16%
Exactly 71.67%
Exactly 80.59%
Exactly 90.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Holstein Kiel
Exactly 039.93%
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 216.83%
Exactly 35.15%
Exactly 41.18%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 017.73%
Exactly 226.53%
Exactly 46.62%
Exactly 60.66%
 
Exactly 130.67%
Exactly 315.30%
Exactly 52.29%
Exactly 70.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Exactly 027.12%
Exactly 135.39%
Exactly 223.09%
Exactly 310.04%
Exactly 43.28%
Exactly 50.86%
Exactly 60.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Holstein Kiel
Exactly 065.37%
Exactly 127.79%
Exactly 25.91%
Exactly 30.84%

Alternate Props

Spread

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Wins by 2+ goals56.50%
Wins by 3+ goals35.72%
Wins by 4+ goals19.35%
Wins by 5+ goals9.04%
Wins by 6+ goals3.67%
Holstein Kiel
Wins by 2+ goals2.88%
Wins by 3+ goals0.68%

Exact Winning Margin

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Holstein Kiel
6
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Wins by 1 goal20.08%
Wins by 2 goals20.78%
Wins by 3 goals16.37%
Wins by 4 goals10.30%
Wins by 5 goals5.37%
Wins by 6 goals2.38%
Holstein Kiel
Wins by 1 goal6.54%
Wins by 2 goals2.20%
Wins by 3 goals0.56%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.62%2.38%
1.588.71%11.29%
2.572.07%27.93%
3.551.34%48.66%
4.531.98%68.02%
5.517.52%82.48%
6.58.51%91.49%
7.53.70%96.30%
8.51.45%98.55%

Total Goals Bayer 04 Leverkusen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.03%5.97%
1.577.20%22.80%
2.553.49%46.51%
3.531.22%68.78%
4.515.52%84.48%
5.56.67%93.33%
6.52.52%97.48%

Total Goals Holstein Kiel Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.07%39.93%
1.523.41%76.59%
2.56.59%93.41%
3.51.44%98.56%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.27%17.73%
1.551.60%48.40%
2.525.07%74.93%
3.59.77%90.23%
4.53.16%96.84%

Score Props

Correct Score

Leverkusen
Holstein Kiel
Score0123
0
2.38%
2.19%
1.00%
0.31%
1
6.72%
6.17%
2.83%
0.87%
2
9.47%
8.69%
3.99%
1.22%
3
8.89%
8.17%
3.75%
1.15%
4
6.27%
5.75%
2.64%
0.81%
5
3.53%
3.24%
1.49%
0.46%
6
1.66%
1.52%
0.70%
0.21%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1-06.72%
2-09.47%
2-18.69%
3-08.89%
3-18.17%
3-23.75%
4-06.27%
4-15.75%
4-22.64%
4-30.81%
5-03.53%
5-13.24%
5-21.49%
5-30.46%
5-40.10%
6-01.66%
6-11.52%
6-20.70%
6-30.21%
Draw
0-02.38%
1-16.17%
2-23.99%
3-31.15%
4-40.19%
Holstein Kiel
0-12.19%
0-21.00%
1-22.83%
0-30.31%
1-30.87%
2-31.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Leverkusen
Holstein Kiel
Score0123
0
17.73%
7.54%
1.60%
0.23%
1
23.13%
9.83%
2.09%
0.30%
2
15.09%
6.42%
1.36%
0.19%
3
6.57%
2.79%
0.59%
0.08%
4
2.14%
0.91%
0.19%
0.03%
5
0.56%
0.24%
0.05%
0.01%
6
0.12%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1-023.13%
2-015.09%
2-16.42%
3-06.57%
3-12.79%
3-20.59%
4-02.14%
4-10.91%
4-20.19%
5-00.56%
5-10.24%
6-00.12%
Draw
0-017.73%
1-19.83%
2-21.36%
Holstein Kiel
0-17.54%
0-21.60%
1-22.09%
0-30.23%
1-30.30%
2-30.19%