Hoffenheim at Freiburg

Updated

Hoffenheim

21.9%21.9%56.2%
Hoffenheim WinDrawFreiburg Win
1.14Projected Goals 1.94
2Final Score 3

Freiburg

Last 5 Games

Hoffenheim
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Mainz 05+155
L 1-3 at RB Leipzig+400
T 1-1 vs Augsburg+135
L 0-1 at FC St. Pauli+230
T 1-1 vs FC Heidenheim-115
Freiburg
Money Line
W 2-1 at Borussia Monchengladbach+205
L 4-1 vs Dortmund+220
L 2-1 vs Union Berlin-105
T 2-2 at Mainz 05+370
T 0-0 vs RB Leipzig+155

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Hoffenheim+270+291+280+297+288+297+297+310.7
Freiburg-110-109-110-109-115-109-109-101.7
Draw+280+280+285+283+281+283+285+296.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Hoffenheim+285-+280-+250+280+280+310.7
Freiburg-110--115--120-110-110-101.7
Draw+275-+293-+240+280+293+296.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Hoffenheim: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Freiburg: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Hoffenheim: 0.0%
Freiburg: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Hoffenheim: 0.0%
Freiburg: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Hoffenheim ML moved from +286 to +277
No Steam Moves On Freiburg ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Hoffenheim: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Freiburg: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Hoffenheim: 0.0%
Freiburg: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Hoffenheim: 0.0%
Freiburg: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Hoffenheim ML moved from +285 to +270
Freiburg ML moved from -104 to -115

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-108o3+120o2¾-115o2¾-114o2¾-115o2¾-114o3+120o2¾-104
Underu2¾-112u3-141u2¾-105u2¾-106u2¾-105u2¾-106u2¾-105u2¾+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-145o2½-140o2½-140-o2½-140o3+100o2½-140o2¾-104
Underu2½+125u2½+120u2½+120-u2½+110u3-120u3-120u2¾+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-116 to u2¾-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-140 to o3+100
The Under moved from u3-120 to u2½+125

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes58.1%
 
No41.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.61%
Exactly 221.81%
Exactly 417.22%
Exactly 65.44%
Exactly 80.92%
 
Exactly 114.17%
Exactly 322.38%
Exactly 510.60%
Exactly 72.39%
Exactly 90.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Hoffenheim
Exactly 032.15%
Exactly 136.48%
Exactly 220.70%
Exactly 37.83%
Exactly 42.22%
Exactly 50.50%
Exact Goals Scored - Freiburg
Exactly 014.32%
Exactly 127.84%
Exactly 227.04%
Exactly 317.52%
Exactly 48.51%
Exactly 53.31%
Exactly 61.07%
Exactly 70.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.05%
Exactly 224.42%
Exactly 44.13%
Exactly 60.28%
 
Exactly 134.27%
Exactly 311.60%
Exactly 51.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Hoffenheim
Exactly 059.13%
Exactly 131.07%
Exactly 28.16%
Exactly 31.43%
Exactly 40.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Freiburg
Exactly 040.67%
Exactly 136.59%
Exactly 216.46%
Exactly 34.94%
Exactly 41.11%
Exactly 50.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Hoffenheim
Wins by 2+ goals8.24%
Wins by 3+ goals2.41%
Wins by 4+ goals0.53%
Freiburg
Wins by 2+ goals32.89%
Wins by 3+ goals15.76%
Wins by 4+ goals6.25%
Wins by 5+ goals2.06%
Wins by 6+ goals0.55%

Exact Winning Margin

Hoffenheim
Freiburg
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Hoffenheim
Wins by 1 goal13.54%
Wins by 2 goals5.83%
Wins by 3 goals1.88%
Wins by 4 goals0.46%
Freiburg
Wins by 1 goal23.19%
Wins by 2 goals17.13%
Wins by 3 goals9.51%
Wins by 4 goals4.19%
Wins by 5 goals1.52%
Wins by 6 goals0.45%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.39%4.61%
1.581.22%18.78%
2.559.41%40.59%
3.537.02%62.98%
4.519.80%80.20%
5.59.20%90.80%
6.53.76%96.24%
7.51.37%98.63%

Total Goals Hoffenheim Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.85%32.15%
1.531.37%68.63%
2.510.67%89.33%
3.52.84%97.16%

Total Goals Freiburg Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.68%14.32%
1.557.84%42.16%
2.530.80%69.20%
3.513.28%86.72%
4.54.77%95.23%
5.51.46%98.54%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.95%24.05%
1.541.68%58.32%
2.517.26%82.74%
3.55.66%94.34%
4.51.53%98.47%

Score Props

Correct Score

Hoffenheim
Freiburg
Score012345
0
4.61%
8.95%
8.69%
5.63%
2.74%
1.06%
1
5.23%
10.16%
9.87%
6.39%
3.10%
1.21%
2
2.97%
5.76%
5.60%
3.63%
1.76%
0.68%
3
1.12%
2.18%
2.12%
1.37%
0.67%
0.26%
4
0.32%
0.62%
0.60%
0.39%
0.19%
0.07%
Hoffenheim
1-05.23%
2-02.97%
2-15.76%
3-01.12%
3-12.18%
3-22.12%
4-00.32%
4-10.62%
4-20.60%
4-30.39%
Draw
0-04.61%
1-110.16%
2-25.60%
3-31.37%
4-40.19%
Freiburg
0-18.95%
0-28.69%
1-29.87%
0-35.63%
1-36.39%
2-33.63%
0-42.74%
1-43.10%
2-41.76%
3-40.67%
0-51.06%
1-51.21%
2-50.68%
3-50.26%

Correct Score - First Half

Hoffenheim
Freiburg
Score012345
0
24.05%
21.64%
9.73%
2.92%
0.66%
0.12%
1
12.64%
11.37%
5.11%
1.53%
0.34%
0.06%
2
3.32%
2.99%
1.34%
0.40%
0.09%
0.02%
3
0.58%
0.52%
0.24%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Hoffenheim
1-012.64%
2-03.32%
2-12.99%
3-00.58%
3-10.52%
3-20.24%
Draw
0-024.05%
1-111.37%
2-21.34%
Freiburg
0-121.64%
0-29.73%
1-25.11%
0-32.92%
1-31.53%
2-30.40%
0-40.66%
1-40.34%
0-50.12%