Hoffenheim at St. Pauli

Updated

Hoffenheim

30.7%24.2%45.1%
Hoffenheim WinDrawSt. Pauli Win
1.32Projected Goals 1.64
0Final Score 1

FC St. Pauli

Last 5 Games

Hoffenheim
Money Line
T 1-1 vs FC Heidenheim-115
W 1-0 at VfL Bochum+190
T 1-1 vs VfB Stuttgart+250
W 3-1 at Werder Bremen+310
L 4-0 vs Union Berlin+130
FC St. Pauli
Money Line
T 1-1 at Wolfsburg+370
L 2-0 vs Dortmund+325
L 0-2 at Mainz 05+390
L 1-0 vs Freiburg+150
L 0-2 at RB Leipzig+425

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Hoffenheim+210-+225+245+233+245+245+256.8
St. Pauli+125-+130+130+126+130+130+137.9
Draw+250-+225+223+221+223+225+234.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Hoffenheim+235-+215-+210+240+230+256.8
St. Pauli+125-+135-+110+120+135+137.9
Draw+225-+223-+205+230+230+234.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Hoffenheim: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
St. Pauli: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Hoffenheim: 0.0%
St. Pauli: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Hoffenheim: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Hoffenheim: 20.0%
St. Pauli: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Hoffenheim ML moved from +250 to +240
St. Pauli ML moved from +137 to +124

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Hoffenheim: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
St. Pauli: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Hoffenheim: 0.0%
St. Pauli: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Hoffenheim: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Hoffenheim: 0.0%
St. Pauli: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Hoffenheim ML moved from +225 to +215
No Steam Moves On St. Pauli ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-112-o2¼-118o2¼-122o2¼-117o2¼-122o2¼-117o2¼-111
Underu2½-108-u2¼-102u2¼+102u2¼-103u2¼+102u2¼+102u2¼+111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+115o2½+115o2½+115-o2½+105o2½+115o2½+115o2¼-111
Underu2½-135u2½-135u2½-135-u2½-135u2½-135u2½-135u2¼+111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-117 to u2¼+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes59.0%
 
No41.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.20%
Exactly 222.73%
Exactly 416.55%
Exactly 64.82%
Exactly 80.75%
 
Exactly 115.38%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.78%
Exactly 72.03%
Exactly 90.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Hoffenheim
Exactly 026.84%
Exactly 135.30%
Exactly 223.21%
Exactly 310.18%
Exactly 43.35%
Exactly 50.88%
Exactly 60.19%
Exact Goals Scored - FC St. Pauli
Exactly 019.39%
Exactly 131.81%
Exactly 226.09%
Exactly 314.27%
Exactly 45.85%
Exactly 51.92%
Exactly 60.52%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.45%
Exactly 223.83%
Exactly 43.72%
Exactly 60.23%
 
Exactly 134.83%
Exactly 310.87%
Exactly 51.02%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Hoffenheim
Exactly 054.39%
Exactly 133.12%
Exactly 210.08%
Exactly 32.05%
Exactly 40.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - FC St. Pauli
Exactly 046.79%
Exactly 135.54%
Exactly 213.50%
Exactly 33.42%
Exactly 40.65%

Alternate Props

Spread

Hoffenheim
Wins by 2+ goals13.29%
Wins by 3+ goals4.54%
Wins by 4+ goals1.25%
Wins by 5+ goals0.27%
FC St. Pauli
Wins by 2+ goals23.34%
Wins by 3+ goals9.73%
Wins by 4+ goals3.33%
Wins by 5+ goals0.95%
Wins by 6+ goals0.22%

Exact Winning Margin

Hoffenheim
FC St. Pauli
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Hoffenheim
Wins by 1 goal17.42%
Wins by 2 goals8.75%
Wins by 3 goals3.29%
Wins by 4 goals0.98%
Wins by 5 goals0.23%
FC St. Pauli
Wins by 1 goal21.72%
Wins by 2 goals13.61%
Wins by 3 goals6.40%
Wins by 4 goals2.38%
Wins by 5 goals0.73%
Wins by 6 goals0.18%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.80%5.20%
1.579.41%20.59%
2.556.68%43.32%
3.534.28%65.72%
4.517.73%82.27%
5.57.95%92.05%
6.53.13%96.87%
7.51.10%98.90%

Total Goals Hoffenheim Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.16%26.84%
1.537.85%62.15%
2.514.64%85.36%
3.54.46%95.54%
4.51.12%98.88%

Total Goals FC St. Pauli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.61%19.39%
1.548.81%51.19%
2.522.72%77.28%
3.58.45%91.55%
4.52.60%97.40%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.55%25.45%
1.539.72%60.28%
2.515.89%84.11%
3.55.02%94.98%
4.51.30%98.70%

Score Props

Correct Score

Hoffenheim
FC St. Pauli
Score012345
0
5.20%
8.54%
7.00%
3.83%
1.57%
0.52%
1
6.84%
11.23%
9.21%
5.04%
2.07%
0.68%
2
4.50%
7.38%
6.06%
3.31%
1.36%
0.45%
3
1.97%
3.24%
2.65%
1.45%
0.60%
0.20%
4
0.65%
1.06%
0.87%
0.48%
0.20%
0.06%
5
0.17%
0.28%
0.23%
0.13%
0.05%
0.02%
Hoffenheim
1-06.84%
2-04.50%
2-17.38%
3-01.97%
3-13.24%
3-22.65%
4-00.65%
4-11.06%
4-20.87%
4-30.48%
5-00.17%
5-10.28%
5-20.23%
5-30.13%
Draw
0-05.20%
1-111.23%
2-26.06%
3-31.45%
4-40.20%
FC St. Pauli
0-18.54%
0-27.00%
1-29.21%
0-33.83%
1-35.04%
2-33.31%
0-41.57%
1-42.07%
2-41.36%
3-40.60%
0-50.52%
1-50.68%
2-50.45%
3-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Hoffenheim
FC St. Pauli
Score01234
0
25.45%
19.33%
7.34%
1.86%
0.35%
1
15.50%
11.77%
4.47%
1.13%
0.21%
2
4.72%
3.58%
1.36%
0.34%
0.07%
3
0.96%
0.73%
0.28%
0.07%
0.01%
4
0.15%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Hoffenheim
1-015.50%
2-04.72%
2-13.58%
3-00.96%
3-10.73%
3-20.28%
4-00.15%
4-10.11%
Draw
0-025.45%
1-111.77%
2-21.36%
FC St. Pauli
0-119.33%
0-27.34%
1-24.47%
0-31.86%
1-31.13%
2-30.34%
0-40.35%
1-40.21%
Heidenheim at Hoffenheim
M'gladbach at Werder Bremen