St. Pauli at Werder Bremen

Updated

FC St. Pauli

16.3%18.9%64.8%
WinDrawWerder Bremen Win
1.06Projected Goals 2.28
0Final Score 1

Werder Bremen

Last 5 Games

FC St. Pauli
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen+201
L 0-2 at VfB Stuttgart+310
W 1-2 vs Augsburg+115
W 2-0 at Hamburger SV+200
T 3-3 vs Dortmund+335
Werder Bremen
Money Line
L 0-4 at Bayern Munich+2350
L 3-0 vs Freiburg+145
W 4-0 at Borussia Monchengladbach+225
T 3-3 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen+275
L 1-4 at Eintracht Frankfurt+450

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
St. Pauli+195+197+200+200+198+200+200+210.8
Werder Bremen+127+137+137+139+134+139+139+147.6
Draw+260+256+235+252+243+252+256+264.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
St. Pauli+189-+182-+170+185+185+210.8
Werder Bremen+130-+140-+115+135+140+147.6
Draw+261-+255-+240+265+265+264.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
St. Pauli: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Werder Bremen: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

St. Pauli: 0.0%
Werder Bremen: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

St. Pauli: 10.0%
Werder Bremen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

St. Pauli ML moved from +185 to +175
Werder Bremen ML moved from +150 to +142

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
St. Pauli: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Werder Bremen: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

St. Pauli: 0.0%
Werder Bremen: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

St. Pauli: 0.0%
Werder Bremen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

St. Pauli ML moved from +189 to +172
Werder Bremen ML moved from +150 to +142

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾+100o3+113o2¾-115o2¾-118o2¾-118o2¾-118o2¾-115o2¾-107
Underu2¾-120u3-133u2¾-105u2¾-102u2¾-102u2¾-102u3-133u2¾+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-130o3+105o3+105-o3+100o3+105o3+105o2¾-107
Underu2½+110u3-125u3-125-u3-130u3-125u3-125u2¾+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-130 to o3+105
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes58.7%
 
No41.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.54%
Exactly 219.76%
Exactly 418.38%
Exactly 66.83%
Exactly 81.36%
Exactly 100.17%
 
Exactly 111.83%
Exactly 322.01%
Exactly 512.28%
Exactly 73.26%
Exactly 90.51%
Exact Goals Scored - FC St. Pauli
Exactly 034.64%
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 219.47%
Exactly 36.88%
Exactly 41.82%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - Werder Bremen
Exactly 010.23%
Exactly 123.32%
Exactly 226.59%
Exactly 320.21%
Exactly 411.52%
Exactly 55.25%
Exactly 62.00%
Exactly 70.65%
Exactly 80.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 021.30%
Exactly 225.47%
Exactly 45.08%
Exactly 60.40%
 
Exactly 132.94%
Exactly 313.13%
Exactly 51.57%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - FC St. Pauli
Exactly 061.21%
Exactly 130.05%
Exactly 27.37%
Exactly 31.21%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Werder Bremen
Exactly 034.80%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 219.39%
Exactly 36.82%
Exactly 41.80%
Exactly 50.38%

Alternate Props

Spread

FC St. Pauli
Wins by 2+ goals5.71%
Wins by 3+ goals1.55%
Wins by 4+ goals0.32%
Werder Bremen
Wins by 2+ goals42.04%
Wins by 3+ goals22.77%
Wins by 4+ goals10.37%
Wins by 5+ goals4.01%
Wins by 6+ goals1.32%
Wins by 7+ goals0.36%

Exact Winning Margin

FC St. Pauli
Werder Bremen
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
FC St. Pauli
Wins by 1 goal10.54%
Wins by 2 goals4.16%
Wins by 3 goals1.23%
Wins by 4 goals0.28%
Werder Bremen
Wins by 1 goal22.67%
Wins by 2 goals19.27%
Wins by 3 goals12.40%
Wins by 4 goals6.35%
Wins by 5 goals2.69%
Wins by 6 goals0.97%
Wins by 7 goals0.29%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.46%3.54%
1.584.62%15.38%
2.564.86%35.14%
3.542.85%57.15%
4.524.48%75.52%
5.512.20%87.80%
6.55.37%94.63%
7.52.11%97.89%

Total Goals FC St. Pauli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.36%34.64%
1.528.64%71.36%
2.59.17%90.83%
3.52.29%97.71%

Total Goals Werder Bremen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.77%10.23%
1.566.45%33.55%
2.539.86%60.14%
3.519.66%80.34%
4.58.14%91.86%
5.52.89%97.11%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.70%21.30%
1.545.76%54.24%
2.520.29%79.71%
3.57.16%92.84%
4.52.09%97.91%

Score Props

Correct Score

St. Pauli
Werder Bremen
Score012345
0
3.54%
8.08%
9.21%
7.00%
3.99%
1.82%
1
3.76%
8.56%
9.76%
7.42%
4.23%
1.93%
2
1.99%
4.54%
5.18%
3.93%
2.24%
1.02%
3
0.70%
1.60%
1.83%
1.39%
0.79%
0.36%
4
0.19%
0.43%
0.48%
0.37%
0.21%
0.10%
FC St. Pauli
1-03.76%
2-01.99%
2-14.54%
3-00.70%
3-11.60%
3-21.83%
4-00.19%
4-10.43%
4-20.48%
4-30.37%
Draw
0-03.54%
1-18.56%
2-25.18%
3-31.39%
4-40.21%
Werder Bremen
0-18.08%
0-29.21%
1-29.76%
0-37.00%
1-37.42%
2-33.93%
0-43.99%
1-44.23%
2-42.24%
3-40.79%
0-51.82%
1-51.93%
2-51.02%
3-50.36%

Correct Score - First Half

St. Pauli
Werder Bremen
Score012345
0
21.30%
22.48%
11.87%
4.18%
1.10%
0.23%
1
10.46%
11.04%
5.83%
2.05%
0.54%
0.11%
2
2.57%
2.71%
1.43%
0.50%
0.13%
0.03%
3
0.42%
0.44%
0.23%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
FC St. Pauli
1-010.46%
2-02.57%
2-12.71%
3-00.42%
3-10.44%
3-20.23%
Draw
0-021.30%
1-111.04%
2-21.43%
Werder Bremen
0-122.48%
0-211.87%
1-25.83%
0-34.18%
1-32.05%
2-30.50%
0-41.10%
1-40.54%
2-40.13%
0-50.23%
1-50.11%