Leverkusen at St. Pauli

Updated

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

49.7%23.5%26.8%
Leverkusen WinDrawSt. Pauli Win
1.75Projected Goals 1.23
2Final Score 1

FC St. Pauli

Last 5 Games

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Borussia Monchengladbach-192
W 1-3 vs Eintracht Frankfurt+115
T 3-3 at Werder Bremen-109
L 2-1 vs Hoffenheim-142
T 2-2 at Mainz 05+180
FC St. Pauli
Money Line
L 0-2 at VfB Stuttgart+310
W 1-2 vs Augsburg+115
W 2-0 at Hamburger SV+200
T 3-3 vs Dortmund+335
L 2-0 vs VfL Bochum-145

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leverkusen+118+135+132+140+134+140+140+148.3
St. Pauli+215+206+205+200+201+205+206+215.5
Draw+255+247+235+250+239+245+247+256.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leverkusen+125-+135-+105+145+145+148.3
St. Pauli+215-+201-+190+195+201+215.5
Draw+245-+239-+240+230+240+256.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Leverkusen: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
St. Pauli: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Leverkusen: 20.0%
St. Pauli: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Leverkusen: 0.0%
St. Pauli: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Leverkusen ML moved from +126 to +120
St. Pauli ML moved from +218 to +200

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Leverkusen: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
St. Pauli: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Leverkusen: 30.0%
St. Pauli: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Leverkusen: 10.0%
St. Pauli: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Leverkusen ML moved from +120 to +110
St. Pauli ML moved from +220 to +195

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-118o2½-114o2½-120o2½-115o2½-116o2½-115o2½-114o2½-104
Underu2½-102u2½-103u2½+100u2½-105u2½-104u2½-105u2½+100u2½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½-120o2½-120-o2½-120o2½-120o2½-120o2½-104
Underu2½-105u2½+100u2½+100-u2½-110u2½+100u2½+100u2½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes58.4%
 
No41.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.09%
Exactly 222.57%
Exactly 416.68%
Exactly 64.93%
Exactly 80.78%
 
Exactly 115.16%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.93%
Exactly 72.10%
Exactly 90.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Exactly 017.35%
Exactly 130.39%
Exactly 226.61%
Exactly 315.54%
Exactly 46.80%
Exactly 52.38%
Exactly 60.70%
Exactly 70.17%
Exact Goals Scored - FC St. Pauli
Exactly 029.34%
Exactly 135.98%
Exactly 222.06%
Exactly 39.01%
Exactly 42.76%
Exactly 50.68%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.19%
Exactly 223.94%
Exactly 43.79%
Exactly 60.24%
 
Exactly 134.73%
Exactly 311.00%
Exactly 51.05%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Exactly 044.45%
Exactly 136.04%
Exactly 214.61%
Exactly 33.95%
Exactly 40.80%
Exactly 50.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - FC St. Pauli
Exactly 056.68%
Exactly 132.18%
Exactly 29.13%
Exactly 31.73%
Exactly 40.25%

Alternate Props

Spread

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Wins by 2+ goals27.06%
Wins by 3+ goals11.93%
Wins by 4+ goals4.33%
Wins by 5+ goals1.31%
FC St. Pauli
Wins by 2+ goals10.93%
Wins by 3+ goals3.51%
Wins by 4+ goals0.91%
Wins by 5+ goals0.18%

Exact Winning Margin

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
FC St. Pauli
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Wins by 1 goal22.60%
Wins by 2 goals15.13%
Wins by 3 goals7.60%
Wins by 4 goals3.02%
Wins by 5 goals0.99%
FC St. Pauli
Wins by 1 goal15.83%
Wins by 2 goals7.42%
Wins by 3 goals2.61%
Wins by 4 goals0.72%
Wins by 5 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.91%5.09%
1.579.75%20.25%
2.557.17%42.83%
3.534.77%65.23%
4.518.10%81.90%
5.58.17%91.83%
6.53.24%96.76%
7.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals Bayer 04 Leverkusen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.65%17.35%
1.552.25%47.75%
2.525.64%74.36%
3.510.10%89.90%
4.53.30%96.70%

Total Goals FC St. Pauli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.66%29.34%
1.534.68%65.32%
2.512.62%87.38%
3.53.61%96.39%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.81%25.19%
1.540.07%59.93%
2.516.13%83.87%
3.55.13%94.87%
4.51.34%98.66%

Score Props

Correct Score

Leverkusen
FC St. Pauli
Score012345
0
5.09%
6.24%
3.83%
1.56%
0.48%
0.12%
1
8.92%
10.93%
6.70%
2.74%
0.84%
0.21%
2
7.81%
9.58%
5.87%
2.40%
0.74%
0.18%
3
4.56%
5.59%
3.43%
1.40%
0.43%
0.11%
4
2.00%
2.45%
1.50%
0.61%
0.19%
0.05%
5
0.70%
0.86%
0.53%
0.21%
0.07%
0.02%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1-08.92%
2-07.81%
2-19.58%
3-04.56%
3-15.59%
3-23.43%
4-02.00%
4-12.45%
4-21.50%
4-30.61%
5-00.70%
5-10.86%
5-20.53%
5-30.21%
Draw
0-05.09%
1-110.93%
2-25.87%
3-31.40%
4-40.19%
FC St. Pauli
0-16.24%
0-23.83%
1-26.70%
0-31.56%
1-32.74%
2-32.40%
0-40.48%
1-40.84%
2-40.74%
3-40.43%
0-50.12%
1-50.21%
2-50.18%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Leverkusen
FC St. Pauli
Score01234
0
25.19%
14.30%
4.06%
0.77%
0.11%
1
20.43%
11.60%
3.29%
0.62%
0.09%
2
8.28%
4.70%
1.33%
0.25%
0.04%
3
2.24%
1.27%
0.36%
0.07%
0.01%
4
0.45%
0.26%
0.07%
0.01%
0.00%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1-020.43%
2-08.28%
2-14.70%
3-02.24%
3-11.27%
3-20.36%
4-00.45%
4-10.26%
Draw
0-025.19%
1-111.60%
2-21.33%
FC St. Pauli
0-114.30%
0-24.06%
1-23.29%
0-30.77%
1-30.62%
2-30.25%
0-40.11%