German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 7, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Freiburg 		46.4%
29.4%		24.2%
+146
+205
+145
+195
1.65
1.27		2.92
o2½-110
u2½-102
o2½-115
u2½-105
Augsburg
RB Leipzig 		12.2%
70.9%		16.8%
+560
-222
+550
-235
0.92
2.45		3.37
o3¼-109
u3¼-104
o3½+115
u3½-130
Hamburger SV
Wolfsburg 		31.2%
44.5%		24.3%
+196
+138
+190
+135
1.31
1.62		2.93
o2¾-115
u2¾-102
o2½-140
u3-130
Volatility Bet Value Active
VfB Stuttgart
Mainz 05 		44.1%
30.5%		25.4%
+115
+235
+115
+220
1.50
1.21		2.71
o3-102
u3-111
o3-105
u3-115
Hoffenheim
FC Heidenheim 		58.1%
20.2%		21.8%
-167
+440
-165
+392
1.94
1.06		3.00
o3¼+100
u3¼-112
o3-125
u3+115
Dortmund
FC Koln 		59.9%
19.7%		20.4%
-122
+325
-130
+325
2.14
1.15		3.29
o3-105
u3-106
o3-110
u3-110
Games for Mar 6, 2026
Games for Mar 8, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Augsburg
FC Koln		21.0%
57.5%		21.6%
+258
+104
+290
-101
1
1		-1.37884-1.36653-1.53424
Borussia Monchengladbach
Union Berlin		41.3%
33.0%		25.7%
+238
+130
+220
+125
1
3		-0.85821-0.85668-1.10951
Freiburg
Borussia Monchengladbach		25.7%
51.0%		23.3%
+174
+175
+170
+170
0
0		-1.24414-1.23677-1.45762
Mainz 05
Hamburger SV		32.7%
42.3%		25.0%
+118
+220
+115
+220
0
4		-1.19696-1.21345-0.86147
FC Heidenheim
VfB Stuttgart		7.7%
79.3%		13.0%
+680
-260
+635
-260
0
1		-0.36042-0.37302-0.23171
Bayern Munich
Eintracht Frankfurt		58.2%
20.8%		21.0%
-273
+695
-310
+750
3
0		-0.33754-0.31920-0.54104
Union Berlin
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		8.1%
78.3%		13.6%
+395
-138
+395
-135
0
2		-0.57759-0.58044-0.24501
RB Leipzig
Dortmund		16.0%
65.3%		18.7%
+330
-140
+330
-150
1
1		-1.55713-1.57484-1.67681
FC St. Pauli
Werder Bremen		16.3%
64.8%		18.9%
+200
+139
+185
+140
0
1		-0.90342-0.91614-0.43434
Wolfsburg
Augsburg		36.0%
37.5%		26.5%
+176
+158
+175
+150
1
3		-0.97814-0.96446-0.97971
FC Koln
Hoffenheim		44.1%
31.5%		24.4%
+273
-103
+260
-108
1
0		-1.34908-1.32686-0.81937
Hamburger SV
Union Berlin		45.9%
29.2%		24.9%
+290
-101
+290
+100
0
0		-1.32708-1.30435-1.39183
VfB Stuttgart
FC Koln		39.2%
35.2%		25.6%
+169
+159
+160
+155
2
1		-1.01586-1.00147-0.93535
Hoffenheim
Freiburg		18.5%
61.2%		20.3%
+218
+132
+205
+130
1
1		-1.27311-1.30416-1.59623
Eintracht Frankfurt
Borussia Monchengladbach		38.0%
36.8%		25.1%
+130
+202
+140
+195
6
4		-0.86705-0.91212-0.96653
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
FC St. Pauli		49.7%
26.8%		23.5%
+140
+206
+145
+201
2
1		-0.90661-0.93003-0.69906
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.24501 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.21573 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.12341
0.12160
0.09232

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.