German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
FC Heidenheim
Mainz 05		16.4%
64.1%		19.5%
+383
-125
+380
-130
1
2		-0.61456-0.60792-0.44547
Werder Bremen
Dortmund		11.4%
73.1%		15.4%
+705
-250
+635
-250
0
3		-0.36504-0.37647-0.31297
Eintracht Frankfurt
VfB Stuttgart		25.0%
51.4%		23.6%
+378
-139
+395
-155
2
3		-0.56509-0.53940-0.66555
Wolfsburg
Bayern Munich		3.9%
87.7%		8.4%
+1800
-769
+1725
-900
1
8		-0.14835-0.15333-0.13109
Augsburg
Borussia Monchengladbach		25.9%
51.0%		23.1%
+310
-106
+310
-115
0
4		-0.69277-0.67360-0.67285
VfB Stuttgart
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		22.8%
55.7%		21.5%
+215
+122
+210
+120
4
1		-1.17467-1.16825-1.47916
FC Koln
FC Heidenheim		39.2%
34.8%		26.0%
+155
+184
+145
+182
2
2		-1.27608-1.30012-1.34627
Hamburger SV
Freiburg		24.5%
52.0%		23.4%
+390
-125
+395
-135
1
2		-0.62230-0.60354-0.65396
Mainz 05
Union Berlin		28.9%
45.7%		25.4%
+302
+114
+275
+115
2
2		-1.19779-1.20431-1.36944
Dortmund
Eintracht Frankfurt		43.8%
32.0%		24.1%
+106
+255
+100
+260
3
3		-1.37460-1.36920-1.42105
Bayern Munich
FC Heidenheim		86.1%
4.5%		9.4%
-588
+1475
-725
+1500
4
0		-0.18470-0.17471-0.14975
FC St. Pauli
Mainz 05		21.2%
57.2%		21.6%
+310
+104
+290
+105
0
0		-1.25162-1.26135-1.53322
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
RB Leipzig		30.3%
44.9%		24.8%
+233
+112
+225
+120
3
1		-1.23753-1.20648-1.19462
Eintracht Frankfurt
Hamburger SV		46.8%
29.6%		23.6%
+193
+153
+175
+150
1
1		-1.25818-1.31330-1.44223
Werder Bremen
Augsburg		31.0%
44.1%		24.9%
+230
+128
+200
+130
0
0		-1.26937-1.31557-1.39183
Hoffenheim
VfB Stuttgart		21.8%
56.7%		21.5%
+265
+100
+230
+107
0
0		-1.38123-1.40263-1.53735
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.