German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 7, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Freiburg 		46.4%
29.4%		24.2%
+141
+212
+130
+210
1.65
1.27		2.92
o2½-111
u2½-102
o2½-115
u2½-105
Augsburg
RB Leipzig 		12.2%
70.9%		16.8%
+580
-222
+550
-235
0.92
2.45		3.37
o3¼-108
u3¼-105
o3½+115
u3½-130
Hamburger SV
Wolfsburg 		31.2%
44.5%		24.3%
+196
+144
+190
+135
1.31
1.62		2.93
o2¾-108
u2¾-102
o2½-140
u3-130
Volatility Bet Value Active
VfB Stuttgart
Mainz 05 		44.1%
30.5%		25.4%
+100
+265
+100
+260
1.50
1.21		2.71
o3-115
u3¼-119
o3-105
u3+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Hoffenheim
FC Heidenheim 		58.1%
20.2%		21.8%
-169
+440
-170
+420
1.94
1.06		3.00
o3¼-104
u3¼-105
o3-125
u3½-130
Volatility Bet Value Active
Dortmund
FC Koln 		59.9%
19.7%		20.4%
-115
+305
-125
+330
2.14
1.15		3.29
o2¾-114
u2¾+101
o3+105
u3-110
Games for Mar 6, 2026
Games for Mar 8, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Dortmund
Mainz 05		50.4%
26.3%		23.2%
+104
+255
+105
+255
2
0		-0.74474-0.75754-0.68522
RB Leipzig
Wolfsburg		35.8%
37.8%		26.4%
+154
+170
+145
+175
1
0		-0.96312-0.93731-1.02753
Augsburg
FC Heidenheim		37.4%
35.9%		26.7%
+138
+200
+145
+180
1
2		-1.13398-1.07180-1.02496
Werder Bremen
Bayern Munich		6.1%
83.2%		10.7%
+2353
-907
+2350
-1200
0
4		-0.12908-0.12619-0.18365
Wolfsburg
Dortmund		10.5%
74.3%		15.2%
+445
-175
+425
-180
0
1		-0.48321-0.49132-0.29723
Borussia Monchengladbach
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		13.3%
69.8%		16.8%
+502
-173
+475
-192
1
1		-1.53104-1.58231-1.78171
Union Berlin
Eintracht Frankfurt		8.4%
78.0%		13.6%
+420
-157
+420
-165
4
3		-1.68222-1.69097-2.48147
FC Koln
RB Leipzig		17.9%
62.1%		20.0%
+290
-111
+290
-110
1
3		-0.67248-0.68134-0.47718
Bayern Munich
Hoffenheim		80.9%
7.2%		11.8%
-258
+685
-285
+650
4
1		-0.35081-0.34023-0.21166
Freiburg
Werder Bremen		20.3%
58.2%		21.5%
+187
+145
+170
+145
3
0		-1.08738-1.04441-1.59356
FC Heidenheim
Hamburger SV		18.5%
61.0%		20.5%
+345
-122
+335
-125
1
2		-0.62760-0.63006-0.49358
Mainz 05
Augsburg		41.8%
32.6%		25.6%
+165
+170
+160
+170
4
1		-1.00745-1.00261-0.87290
FC St. Pauli
VfB Stuttgart		9.8%
75.8%		14.4%
+310
-110
+310
-115
0
2		-0.66728-0.65904-0.27706
Werder Bremen
Borussia Monchengladbach		32.8%
42.4%		24.7%
+225
+113
+225
+105
4
0		-1.20855-1.22316-1.11364
Augsburg
FC St. Pauli		25.8%
50.8%		23.4%
+275
+116
+255
+115
1
2		-0.79613-0.80558-0.67662
Hamburger SV
Bayern Munich		5.5%
84.6%		9.9%
+2537
-1379
+2500
-1500
0
5		-0.09479-0.10737-0.16711
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.24501 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.21573 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.12341
0.12160
0.09232

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.