German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 7, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Freiburg 		46.4%
29.4%		24.2%
+143
+205
+130
+210
1.65
1.27		2.92
o2½-110
u2½-102
o2½-115
u2½-105
Augsburg
RB Leipzig 		12.2%
70.9%		16.8%
+580
-222
+550
-235
0.92
2.45		3.37
o3¼-108
u3¼-105
o3½+115
u3½-130
Hamburger SV
Wolfsburg 		31.2%
44.5%		24.3%
+190
+148
+190
+135
1.31
1.62		2.93
o2¾-105
u2¾-113
o2½-140
u3-130
Volatility Bet Value Active
VfB Stuttgart
Mainz 05 		44.1%
30.5%		25.4%
+100
+265
+100
+260
1.50
1.21		2.71
o3¼+104
u3¼-116
o3-105
u3+100
Hoffenheim
FC Heidenheim 		58.1%
20.2%		21.8%
-169
+450
-170
+420
1.94
1.06		3.00
o3¼-104
u3¼-109
o3-125
u3½-130
Volatility Bet Value Active
Dortmund
FC Koln 		59.9%
19.7%		20.4%
-116
+318
-125
+330
2.14
1.15		3.29
o2¾-109
u2¾-103
o3+120
u3-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Mar 6, 2026
Games for Mar 8, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
FC Koln
Wolfsburg		23.6%
53.6%		22.8%
+303
-104
+290
-105
3
3		-1.33613-1.34646-1.47793
VfB Stuttgart
Freiburg		46.9%
28.5%		24.6%
+170
+166
+160
+175
1
3		-1.00671-1.04109-1.25446
RB Leipzig
Mainz 05		34.8%
39.3%		25.9%
+190
+136
+175
+145
1
0		-1.09661-1.05999-1.05561
Dortmund
FC Heidenheim		68.2%
14.0%		17.8%
-162
+425
-175
+435
2
0		-0.51519-0.49648-0.38306
Hoffenheim
Union Berlin		30.1%
44.7%		25.1%
+155
+186
+155
+170
4
2		-0.96645-0.98011-1.19925
Eintracht Frankfurt
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		23.5%
54.4%		22.1%
+238
+115
+215
+115
1
3		-0.79067-0.81353-0.60866
Freiburg
FC Koln		20.8%
57.4%		21.7%
+179
+164
+176
+155
1
4		-1.00332-0.98355-0.55478
Union Berlin
Dortmund		4.6%
86.1%		9.3%
+630
-223
+600
-233
0
3		-0.40146-0.40072-0.14920
Mainz 05
Wolfsburg		30.0%
44.7%		25.3%
+242
+118
+234
+115
1
1		-1.31145-1.31215-1.37476
Bayern Munich
Augsburg		78.1%
8.5%		13.4%
-327
+855
-330
+860
3
2		-0.29940-0.29962-0.24695
Borussia Monchengladbach
VfB Stuttgart		12.9%
70.5%		16.6%
+398
-165
+405
-180
0
1		-0.50216-0.49195-0.34983
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Werder Bremen		39.0%
35.3%		25.6%
-105
+280
-109
+275
3
3		-1.40944-1.39489-1.36141
Eintracht Frankfurt
Hoffenheim		50.4%
26.7%		22.9%
+146
+176
+148
+170
3
1		-0.92834-0.94104-0.68506
FC Heidenheim
RB Leipzig		17.2%
62.4%		20.4%
+480
-199
+480
-200
0
2		-0.44248-0.44973-0.47180
FC St. Pauli
Hamburger SV		18.0%
62.4%		19.6%
+212
+150
+200
+140
2
0		-1.16475-1.14599-1.71552
Hamburger SV
Borussia Monchengladbach		28.2%
48.6%		23.2%
+274
-103
+290
-105
0
0		-1.39744-1.40474-1.43238
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.24501 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.21573 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.12341
0.12160
0.09232

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.