German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 7, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Freiburg 		46.4%
29.4%		24.2%
+143
+205
+130
+210
1.65
1.27		2.92
o2½-110
u2½-102
o2½-115
u2½-105
Augsburg
RB Leipzig 		12.2%
70.9%		16.8%
+600
-225
+550
-235
0.92
2.45		3.37
o3¼-112
u3¼+100
o3½+115
u3½-130
Hamburger SV
Wolfsburg 		31.2%
44.5%		24.3%
+190
+148
+190
+135
1.31
1.62		2.93
o2¾-105
u2¾-113
o2½-140
u3-130
Volatility Bet Value Active
VfB Stuttgart
Mainz 05 		44.1%
30.5%		25.4%
+100
+275
+100
+260
1.50
1.21		2.71
o3-110
u3+101
o3-105
u3+100
Hoffenheim
FC Heidenheim 		58.1%
20.2%		21.8%
-169
+450
-170
+420
1.94
1.06		3.00
o3¼-104
u3¼-109
o3-125
u3½-130
Volatility Bet Value Active
Dortmund
FC Koln 		59.9%
19.7%		20.4%
-115
+324
-125
+330
2.14
1.15		3.29
o2¾-105
u2¾-108
o3+120
u3-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Mar 6, 2026
Games for Mar 8, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
FC Koln
Mainz 05		20.5%
58.3%		21.2%
+287
+100
+300
-110
1
0		-1.38151-1.43658-1.58641
Dortmund
FC St. Pauli		66.2%
15.7%		18.2%
-110
+327
-120
+335
3
3		-1.34017-1.35294-1.46283
Hoffenheim
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		6.6%
82.1%		11.3%
+345
-134
+425
-142
2
1		-1.52560-1.65287-2.71206
Augsburg
Freiburg		21.1%
56.7%		22.2%
+307
-102
+320
-109
3
1		-1.43092-1.46811-1.55590
Werder Bremen
Eintracht Frankfurt		26.3%
50.7%		22.9%
+478
-174
+450
-155
1
4		-0.47379-0.50868-0.67881
VfB Stuttgart
Union Berlin		62.2%
17.3%		20.5%
-114
+319
+105
+310
1
2		-1.46205-1.40584-1.75608
Wolfsburg
FC Heidenheim		41.1%
32.5%		26.4%
+155
+188
+160
+200
3
1		-0.97072-0.96412-0.88897
RB Leipzig
Bayern Munich		6.0%
83.2%		10.8%
+923
-395
+945
-435
0
6		-0.26008-0.25441-0.18333
Union Berlin
Augsburg		24.8%
51.1%		24.1%
+313
-111
+300
-110
2
1		-1.45256-1.42737-1.39372
Bayern Munich
Hoffenheim		76.2%
9.7%		14.1%
-148
+355
-155
+375
4
0		-0.54512-0.52633-0.27237
Eintracht Frankfurt
Freiburg		29.0%
46.7%		24.4%
+203
+135
+195
+130
3
1		-1.13769-1.12772-1.23915
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Mainz 05		48.8%
27.3%		23.9%
+177
+148
+180
+135
2
2		-1.37563-1.38962-1.43158
Wolfsburg
Borussia Monchengladbach		26.5%
49.8%		23.6%
+181
+130
+172
+125
1
0		-1.06155-1.04959-1.32689
VfL Bochum
FC St. Pauli		24.3%
52.9%		22.8%
+365
-134
+370
-145
2
0		-1.56236-1.59489-1.41646
VfB Stuttgart
RB Leipzig		21.6%
56.6%		21.8%
+242
-104
+230
-105
3
2		-1.25868-1.24320-1.53322
Holstein Kiel
Dortmund		5.8%
84.1%		10.1%
+1550
-675
+1300
-730
0
3		-0.16914-0.16939-0.17344
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.24501 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.21573 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.12341
0.12160
0.09232

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.